Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Italy vs Wales, European Championship 2021 GROUP STAGE

European Championship · 2021
Italy
1 – 0
Full Time
Wales
Sun 20 Jun 2021 · 16:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 51' Joe Allen
R 56' Ethan Ampadu
Matteo Pessina 79' Y
Y 79' Chris Gunter
Matteo Pessina 80' Y
Y 80' Chris Gunter

Overview

Match Preview

Italy vs Wales — European Championship at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

  • Italy 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Wales 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Referee Ovidiu Hategan
  • Referee Sebastian Gheorghe
  • Referee
  • Referee
  • Referee Orel Grinfeld
13 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Head-to-Head

2
3
Italy 5 games · Avg 2.2 goals Wales
Last 5 meetings
2021-06-20 Italy 1–0 Wales 2018-03-30 Wales 2–1 Italy 2017-08-19 Italy 3–0 Wales 2017-03-24 Wales 2–1 Italy 2016-12-25 Italy 0–1 Wales

Recent Form

Italy
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jun Wales H 1–0 W
16 Jun Switzerland H 3–0 W
11 Jun Turkey A 3–0 W
05 May Royal Standard de Liège A 0–0 D
28 Apr Sweden H 3–1 W
21 Apr Russia A 1–1 D
Wales
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jun Italy A 0–1 L
16 Jun Turkey A 2–0 W
12 Jun Switzerland H 1–1 D
05 May Czechia A 0–1 L
28 Apr Turkey H 0–0 D
21 Apr England A 1–2 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Italy
Nicolo Barella 1 G
Alessandro Bastoni 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Italy welcome Wales for this crunch clash at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Italy in their trying to find a way past Wales's compact .
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Italy that had 111 games and scored 42 goals.
  • 20' Joe Allen is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Italy so far.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Italy and Wales are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Robert Page might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Neco Williams has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Goal! Matteo Pessina scores his 27 goal in 530 matches.
  • 44' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Leonardo Bonucci as he leaves the pitch. Francesco Acerbi steps in for Italy.
  • 51' Poor challenge from Joe Allen. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 56' The referee shows Wales player a Red card on 56.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Wales — Kieffer Moore on, Joe Morrell off on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' The home supporters are growing impatient. Italy must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 75' Harry Wilson gets the nod from Wales. He replaces Daniel James and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Matteo Pessina picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' The referee shows Italy player a Yellow card on 80.
  • 85' Connor Roberts has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' David Brooks has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gareth Bale on 86 minute.
  • 87' The Italy manager makes a substitution. Matteo Pessina departs to be replaced by Gaetano Castrovilli.
  • 89' The supporters are chanting for Salvatore Sirigu. He replaces Gianluigi Donnarumma on 89 minute.
  • 90' Salvatore Sirigu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gianluigi Donnarumma at the 90 minute mark.
  • It finishes all square. Italy and Wales share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Italy Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Roberto Mancini

Wales Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robert Page

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Wales xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Italy50% Draw28% Wales22%
Actual: Italy win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Wales
50%
Italy or Wales
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Italy32% Draw51% Wales17%
Actual: Italy win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
2 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Italy

Handicap Italy covers Push Wales covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 24% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Italy keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Wales keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.