Wales vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Wales Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 3
1.34
Wales xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Wales or Draw
74%
Draw or Italy
54%
Wales or Italy
72%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Wales
| Handicap | Wales covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.