Italy vs Wales, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec | Wales | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Dec | SSC Napoli | A | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Russia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Real Valladolid CF | H | 6–2 | W |
| 26 Nov | Czechia | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Nov | RSC Anderlecht | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Wales Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
0.99
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Wales xG
I would bet for:
Wales or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wales win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
62%
Draw or Wales
70%
Italy or Wales
68%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
14.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.3%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Wales covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Wales keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.