Italy vs Wales, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Wales Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Matteo Pessina | 1 |
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.98
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
Wales xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 57% + Italy to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
80%
Draw or Wales
43%
Italy or Wales
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Wales covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Wales keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.