Sunday , 16 August 2026

Croatia vs Spain, European Championship 2021 LAST 16

3 5
Full Time
Mon 28 Jun 2021 · 16:00 UTC Parken HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Croatia vs SpainEuropean Championship at Parken.

  • Croatia 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Andreas Ekberg
  • Referee Bahattin Duran
  • Referee Tarik Ongun
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Cuneyt Cakir

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Spain H 3–5 L
22 Jun Scotland H 3–1 W
18 Jun Czechia H 1–1 D
13 Jun England A 0–1 L
15 Jul France A 2–4 L
11 Jul England H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Croatia A 5–3 W
23 Jun Slovakia A 5–0 W
19 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
14 Jun Sweden H 0–0 D
01 Jul Russia H 1–1 D
25 Jun Morocco H 2–2 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Croatia
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/
31-45
3/
46-60
3/
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Croatia
Andrej Kramaric 1 G
Spain
Dani Olmo 3 G 2 A
Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A
Nico Williams 2 G 1 A
Alvaro Morata 1 G
Dani Carvajal 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Croatia host Spain — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Azpilicueta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Jordi Alba has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Against the run of play, Unai Simon has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mateo Kovacic made 409 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Spain is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' Magnificent from Pablo Sarabia! That is 72 goals in 418 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 43' The travelling Spain supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Croatia! Andrej Kramaric comes on to replace Bruno Petkovic.
  • 51' Spain has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Enrique will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Azpilicueta makes it 1-2.
  • 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Croatia and Spain are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 67' The Croatia bench stirs into life. Ante Rebic is withdrawn and Mislav Orsic gets his opportunity.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Spain team. Pablo Sarabia is replaced by Dani Olmo on 71 minute.
  • 72' Another change for Spain made on 72 minute. Eric Garcia leaves to be changed by Pau Torres.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Croatia team. Josip Juranovic is replaced by Josip Brekalo on 73 minute.
  • 73' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Marcelo Brozovic on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Croatia make a change. Josip Juranovic trudges off to be replaced by Josip Brekalo on 74 minutes.
  • 77' Ferran Torres makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Spain are in front.
  • 77' The Spain manager makes a substitution. Gaya departs to be replaced by Jordi Alba.
  • 78' Jordi Alba gets the nod from Spain. He replaces Gaya and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Mateo Kovacic as he leaves the pitch. Ante Budimir steps in for Croatia.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Duje Caleta-Car on 84 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Croatia will be frustrated.
  • 85' GOAL! Mislav Orsic fires home to make it 2-3!
  • 88' The Spain bench stirs into life. Ferran Torres is withdrawn and Mikel Oiarzabal gets his opportunity.
  • Spain celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63 Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 Spain xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Croatia30% Draw24% Spain46%
Actual: Spain win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Croatia or Draw
54%
Draw or Spain
70%
Croatia or Spain
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Croatia24% Draw39% Spain37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Croatia

Handicap Croatia covers Push Spain covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 19% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Croatia keeps clean sheet
13%
Spain keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.