Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Croatia vs Spain, European Championship 2021 LAST 16

European Championship · 2021
Croatia
3 – 5
Full Time
Spain
Mon 28 Jun 2021 · 16:00 UTC Parken HT 45' · FT 45'
Marcelo Brozovic 73' Y
Duje Caleta-Car 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Croatia vs Spain — European Championship at Parken.

  • Croatia 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)
  • Spain 0 games · 0 pts (2024/24)

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Andreas Ekberg
  • Referee Bahattin Duran
  • Referee Tarik Ongun
  • Referee Christian Dingert
  • Referee Cuneyt Cakir

Head-to-Head

1
1
3
Croatia 5 games · Avg 3.8 goals Spain
Last 5 meetings
2021-06-28 Croatia 3–5 Spain 2018-04-14 Croatia 0–1 Spain 2017-11-25 Spain 2–2 Croatia 2016-06-21 Croatia 2–1 Spain

Recent Form

Croatia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Spain H 3–5 L
22 Jun Scotland H 3–1 W
18 Jun Czechia H 1–1 D
13 Jun England A 0–1 L
15 Jul France A 2–4 L
11 Jul England H 2–1 W
Spain
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jun Croatia A 5–3 W
23 Jun Slovakia A 5–0 W
19 Jun Poland H 1–1 D
14 Jun Sweden H 0–0 D
01 Jul Russia H 1–1 D
25 Jun Morocco H 2–2 D

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
43% Clean Sheets
Spain this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Spain
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Croatia
Andrej Kramaric 1 G
Spain
Dani Olmo 3 G 2 A
Fabian Ruiz 2 G 2 A
Nico Williams 2 G 1 A
Alvaro Morata 1 G
Dani Carvajal 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Parken. Croatia are looking to make home advantage count against Spain.
  • 5' Azpilicueta has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Parken. Spain seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Unai Simon doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 25' Spain has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Busquets is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Spain.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 38' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Pablo Sarabia makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 43' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mikel Oiarzabal, as he is very good at scoring at Parken with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 46' Andrej Kramaric is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Petkovic at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' Gaya has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 429 appearances.
  • 56' Spain come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 57' Azpilicueta has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
  • 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Duje Caleta-Car suffering a number of foals already.
  • 67' Mislav Orsic gets the nod from Croatia. He replaces Ante Rebic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' Dani Olmo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pablo Sarabia on 71 minute.
  • 72' Pau Torres has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eric Garcia on 72 minute.
  • 73' Josip Brekalo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josip Juranovic at the 73 minute mark.
  • 73' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Marcelo Brozovic.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Croatia — Josip Brekalo on, Josip Juranovic off on 74 minutes.
  • 77' What a moment for Ferran Torres! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 77' Jordi Alba gets the nod from Spain. He replaces Gaya and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Jordi Alba. He replaces Gaya on 78 minute.
  • 79' A change in the Croatia ranks — Mateo Kovacic exits the field as Ante Budimir enters on 79.
  • 84' Poor challenge from Duje Caleta-Car. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 85' A stunning finish from Mislav Orsic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 88' The Spain manager makes a substitution. Ferran Torres departs to be replaced by Mikel Oiarzabal.
  • The final score is 3-5.

Lineups

Croatia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Zlatko Dalić

Spain Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Enrique

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63 Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 Spain xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Croatia30% Draw24% Spain46%
Actual: Spain win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

Croatia or Draw
54%
Draw or Spain
70%
Croatia or Spain
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Croatia24% Draw39% Spain37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Croatia

Handicap Croatia covers Push Spain covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 19% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Croatia keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Spain keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.