Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 4 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 5 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 6 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Millwall FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough FC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Charlton Athletic FC | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Birmingham City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sheffield United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Southampton FC | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Wrexham AFC | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Watford FC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Burnley FC | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | West Ham United FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | Norwich City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 25 | Preston North End FC | 0 | 0 |
| 26 | Stoke City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 27 | Lincoln City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 28 | Portsmouth FC | 0 | 0 |
| 29 | Bristol City FC | 0 | 0 |
| 30 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Bristol City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Norwich City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Hull City AFC | Oxford United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 73 | Points | 47 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 21 / 10 / 15 | W / D / L | 11 / 14 / 21 |
| 70 | Scored | 45 |
| 66 | Conceded | 59 |
| +4 | GD | -14 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.02 |
| 46% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Hull City AFC are 3rd (73 pts). Oxford United FC are 4th (47 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Hull City AFC to score. At the same time, Oxford United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Hull City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 15' Matt Phillips has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hull City AFC and Oxford United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' Hull City AFC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mark Harris is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hull City AFC.
- 45' That is a card for Oxford United FC. Ciaron Brown will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Hull City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 366 games and scored 485 goals.
- 62' The whistle greets Elliott Moore as he departs to be replaced by Ben Nelson.
- 63' Oxford United FC make a change. Stanley Mills trudges off to be replaced by Przemyslaw Placheta on 63 minutes.
- 66' Oxford United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Michal Helik on 66.
- 67' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Kyle Joseph is replaced by Mason Burstow on 67 minute.
- 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ben Nelson suffering a number of foals already.
- 73' What an equalizer from Joe Gelhardt!
- 76' Jamie Cumming does the damage! The net is bulging and Oxford United FC surge ahead!
- 78' The crowd applauds Ruben Rodrigues as he leaves the pitch. Ole Romeny steps in for Oxford United FC.
- 80' It’s a booking for Hull City AFC player. Charlie Hughes gets a card.
- 82' The referee shows Hull City AFC player a card on 82.
- 87' Idris El Mizouni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Matos on 87 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gustavo Puerta.
- 90' John Egan is replacing Abu Kamara for the Hull City AFC side.
- It finishes all square. Hull City AFC and Oxford United FC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 30
-
19
Steven Alzate ↓ Regan Slater 67'
- 5
- 6
- 1
-
28
Kyle Joseph ↓ Mason Burstow 67'
- 4
- 20
-
44
Abu Kamara ↓ John Egan 90'
-
24
Matt Crooks ↓ Kasey Palmer 67'
Bench
- 16
-
15
John Egan ↑ 90'
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↑ 67'
-
27
Regan Slater ↑ 67'
- 29
-
48
Mason Burstow ↑ 67'
- 17
- 32
- 37
Coach
Ruben Selles
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Matt Phillips ↓ Siriki Dembele 78'
- 3
- 4
- 24
- 1
- 47
-
5
Elliott Moore ↓ Ben Nelson 62'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Ole Romeny 78'
- 44
-
18
Alex Matos ↓ Idris El Mizouni 87'
Bench
- 34
- 21
- 2
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↑ 78'
-
15
Idris El Mizouni ↑ 87'
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 78'
-
7
Przemyslaw Placheta ↑ 63'
- 30
-
16
Ben Nelson ↑ 62'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keane Lewis-Potter | 2 |
| Hidde ter Avest | 1 |
| Joe Gelhardt | 1 |
| Michal Helik | 1 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | 1 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 1 |
| Greg Docherty | 1 |
| James Henry | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-03-12
Hull City AFC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-07
Norwich City FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-03-01
Oxford United FC
2–3
Coventry City FC
L
2025-02-22
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
2025-02-15
Oxford United FC
0–2
Portsmouth FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Hull City AFC to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hull City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
81%
Draw or Oxford United FC
44%
Hull City AFC or Oxford United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

