Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 12 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC The MKM Stadium 19,024 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 66' Michal Helik
Joe Gelhardt 73' 1–1
Jamie Cumming og 76' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FCChampionship at The MKM Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Joshua Smith
  • Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
  • Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Sunderland AFC A 1–0 W
15 Feb Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–2 L
07 Mar Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–3 L
22 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
15 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–2 L
11 Feb Derby County FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Oxford United FC
#6 Position #22
73 Points 47
46 Played 46
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
70 Scored 45
66 Conceded 59
+4 GD -14
1.59 PPG 1.02
46% Win % 24%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hull City AFC and Oxford United FC get this one started.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gary Rowett will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' Oxford United FC come into this ranked 18 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' Ciaron Brown, a Northern Ireland , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hull City AFC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ciaron Brown on 45.
  • 50' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Joe Gelhardt is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hull City AFC.
  • 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Elliott Moore is replaced by Ben Nelson.
  • 63' The whistle greets Stanley Mills as he departs to be replaced by Przemyslaw Placheta.
  • 66' What a strike from Michal Helik! The score is 0-1.
  • 67' Hull City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mason Burstow is hanging Kyle Joseph on the field on 67 minute.
  • 72' Oxford United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 73' Brilliant from the ! Joe Gelhardt makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 73.
  • 76' Goal! Jamie Cumming scores his 1 goal in 409 matches.
  • 78' Ole Romeny is replacing Ruben Rodrigues for the Oxford United FC side.
  • 80' That is a card for Hull City AFC. Charlie Hughes will be fuming at that decision.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Gustavo Puerta. He receives a card.
  • 87' Oxford United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Idris El Mizouni is hanging Alex Matos on the field on 87 minute.
  • 90' Gustavo Puerta was booked on 90.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Hull City AFC. Abu Kamara is replaced by John Egan.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Hull City AFC 2-1 Oxford United FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC to win 56% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC56% Draw25% Oxford United FC19%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
81%
Draw or Oxford United FC
44%
Hull City AFC or Oxford United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC37% Draw48% Oxford United FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
42%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.