Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
8 games this season
🟨 4.4/game
⚽ 13.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Bristol City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Norwich City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hull City AFC and Oxford United FC get this one started.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' Hull City AFC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hull City AFC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Elliott Moore suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hidde ter Avest is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Oxford United FC.
- 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 35' Kyle Joseph is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hull City AFC tonight.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hull City AFC and Oxford United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ciaron Brown on 45.
- 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ruben Selles will be considering his options from the bench.
- 62' Ben Nelson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Elliott Moore on 62 minute.
- 63' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Stanley Mills is replaced by Przemyslaw Placheta.
- 66' A goal from the Poland international Michal Helik! He fires home on 66 to make it 0-1!
- 67' Mason Burstow is replacing Kyle Joseph for the Hull City AFC side.
- 72' Hull City AFC is showing some good football. However, Hull City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 73' The deadlock is broken! Joe Gelhardt gets on the scoresheet on 73 minutes.
- 76' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamie Cumming makes no mistake. 1-2!
- 78' Ruben Rodrigues makes way for Ole Romeny at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Oxford United FC.
- 80' The referee shows Hull City AFC player a card on 80.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Gustavo Puerta argues furiously but the card stands.
- 87' Oxford United FC make a change. Alex Matos trudges off to be replaced by Idris El Mizouni on 87 minutes.
- 90' Hull City AFC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' John Egan gets the nod from Hull City AFC. He replaces Abu Kamara and will look to change the dynamic.
- The points are shared — Hull City AFC 2-1 Oxford United FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 30
-
19
Steven Alzate ↓ Regan Slater 67'
- 5
- 6
- 1
-
28
Kyle Joseph ↓ Mason Burstow 67'
- 4
- 20
-
44
Abu Kamara ↓ John Egan 90'
-
24
Matt Crooks ↓ Kasey Palmer 67'
Bench
- 16
-
15
John Egan ↑ 90'
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↑ 67'
-
27
Regan Slater ↑ 67'
- 29
-
48
Mason Burstow ↑ 67'
- 17
- 32
- 37
Coach
Ruben Selles
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Matt Phillips ↓ Siriki Dembele 78'
- 3
- 4
- 24
- 1
- 47
-
5
Elliott Moore ↓ Ben Nelson 62'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Ole Romeny 78'
- 44
-
18
Alex Matos ↓ Idris El Mizouni 87'
Bench
- 34
- 21
- 2
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↑ 78'
-
15
Idris El Mizouni ↑ 87'
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 78'
-
7
Przemyslaw Placheta ↑ 63'
- 30
-
16
Ben Nelson ↑ 62'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keane Lewis-Potter | 2 |
| Greg Docherty | 1 |
| James Henry | 1 |
| Hidde ter Avest | 1 |
| Joe Gelhardt | 1 |
| Michal Helik | 1 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | 1 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-03-12
Hull City AFC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-07
Norwich City FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-03-01
Oxford United FC
2–3
Coventry City FC
L
2025-02-22
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
2025-02-15
Oxford United FC
0–2
Portsmouth FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hull City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
79%
Draw or Oxford United FC
48%
Hull City AFC or Oxford United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.