Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at The MKM Stadium.
- Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Joshua Smith
- Assistant 1 Sam Lewis (England)
- Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
7 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Bristol City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Mar | Plymouth Argyle FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Feb | Cardiff City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | Sunderland AFC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Norwich City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Hull City AFC gets underway.
- 5' Oxford United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Oxford United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Ciaron Brown is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Oxford United FC so far.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' Ruben Rodrigues needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 35' Hull City AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' That is a card for Oxford United FC. Ciaron Brown will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Hull City AFC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Oxford United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 55' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 60' Hull City AFC is showing some good football. However, Hull City AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 62' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Elliott Moore is replaced by Ben Nelson.
- 63' Time for substitution for Oxford United FC. Stanley Mills is replaced by Przemyslaw Placheta.
- 66' What composure from Michal Helik! The Poland international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 67' Hull City AFC ring the changes. Kyle Joseph has done his job and it is now time for Mason Burstow to step up.
- 72' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 73' GOAL! Joe Gelhardt fires home to make it 1-1!
- 76' GOAL! Jamie Cumming fires home to make it 1-2!
- 78' Oxford United FC make a change. Ruben Rodrigues trudges off to be replaced by Ole Romeny on 78 minutes.
- 80' The referee has no hesitation. Charlie Hughes is booked for Hull City AFC — card on 80.
- 82' Gustavo Puerta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
- 87' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Alex Matos by Idris El Mizouni on 87 minute.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gustavo Puerta on 90 minutes.
- 90' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Abu Kamara is replaced by John Egan on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Hull City AFC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 30
-
19
Steven Alzate ↓ Regan Slater 67'
- 5
- 6
- 1
-
28
Kyle Joseph ↓ Mason Burstow 67'
- 4
- 20
-
44
Abu Kamara ↓ John Egan 90'
-
24
Matt Crooks ↓ Kasey Palmer 67'
Bench
- 16
-
15
John Egan ↑ 90'
-
45
Kasey Palmer ↑ 67'
-
27
Regan Slater ↑ 67'
- 29
-
48
Mason Burstow ↑ 67'
- 17
- 32
- 37
Coach
Ruben Selles
Oxford United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
-
10
Matt Phillips ↓ Siriki Dembele 78'
- 3
- 4
- 24
- 1
- 47
-
5
Elliott Moore ↓ Ben Nelson 62'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↓ Ole Romeny 78'
- 44
-
18
Alex Matos ↓ Idris El Mizouni 87'
Bench
- 34
- 21
- 2
-
23
Siriki Dembele ↑ 78'
-
15
Idris El Mizouni ↑ 87'
-
11
Ole Romeny ↑ 78'
-
7
Przemyslaw Placheta ↑ 63'
- 30
-
16
Ben Nelson ↑ 62'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Keane Lewis-Potter | 2 |
| Greg Docherty | 1 |
| James Henry | 1 |
| Hidde ter Avest | 1 |
| Joe Gelhardt | 1 |
| Michal Helik | 1 |
| Mohamed Belloumi | 1 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 1 |
Head to Head
Hull City AFC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-03-12
Hull City AFC
2–1
Oxford United FC
L
2025-03-07
Norwich City FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-03-01
Oxford United FC
2–3
Coventry City FC
L
2025-02-22
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
2025-02-15
Oxford United FC
0–2
Portsmouth FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41
Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hull City AFC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Hull City AFC or Draw
79%
Draw or Oxford United FC
48%
Hull City AFC or Oxford United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
12.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC
| Handicap | Hull City AFC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.