Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hull City AFC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 12 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC The MKM Stadium 19,024 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 66' Michal Helik
Joe Gelhardt 73' 1–1
Jamie Cumming og 76' 2–1

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Oxford United FC H 2–1 W
08 Mar Bristol City FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC H 2–0 W
25 Feb Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Sunderland AFC A 1–0 W
15 Feb Norwich City FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Hull City AFC A 1–2 L
07 Mar Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–3 L
22 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
15 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–2 L
11 Feb Derby County FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Hull City AFC Oxford United FC
#3 Position #4
73 Points 47
46 Played 46
21 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 11 / 14 / 21
70 Scored 45
66 Conceded 59
+4 GD -14
1.59 PPG 1.02
46% Win % 24%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 3rd (73 pts). Oxford United FC are 4th (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Hull City AFC to score. At the same time, Oxford United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Hull City AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Matt Phillips has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Hull City AFC and Oxford United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' Hull City AFC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mark Harris is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hull City AFC.
  • 45' That is a card for Oxford United FC. Ciaron Brown will be fuming at that decision.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Hull City AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 366 games and scored 485 goals.
  • 62' The whistle greets Elliott Moore as he departs to be replaced by Ben Nelson.
  • 63' Oxford United FC make a change. Stanley Mills trudges off to be replaced by Przemyslaw Placheta on 63 minutes.
  • 66' Oxford United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Michal Helik on 66.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Hull City AFC team. Kyle Joseph is replaced by Mason Burstow on 67 minute.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ben Nelson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 73' What an equalizer from Joe Gelhardt!
  • 76' Jamie Cumming does the damage! The net is bulging and Oxford United FC surge ahead!
  • 78' The crowd applauds Ruben Rodrigues as he leaves the pitch. Ole Romeny steps in for Oxford United FC.
  • 80' It’s a booking for Hull City AFC player. Charlie Hughes gets a card.
  • 82' The referee shows Hull City AFC player a card on 82.
  • 87' Idris El Mizouni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alex Matos on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gustavo Puerta.
  • 90' John Egan is replacing Abu Kamara for the Hull City AFC side.
  • It finishes all square. Hull City AFC and Oxford United FC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 Hull City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Hull City AFC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC56% Draw25% Oxford United FC19%
Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw
81%
Draw or Oxford United FC
44%
Hull City AFC or Oxford United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hull City AFC37% Draw47% Oxford United FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap Hull City AFC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 24% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet
42%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.