Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Hull City AFC

4 – 2

Full Time

Derby County FC

Tue 24 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.9 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Hull City AFC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC 2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Derby County FC	H	4–2	W
21 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–3	L
13 Feb	Chelsea FC	H	0–4	L
07 Feb	Bristol City FC	H	2–3	L
03 Feb	Watford FC	H	0–0	D
31 Jan	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	1–0	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W
07 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W
23 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC — let the football do the talking.
It finishes all square. Hull City AFC and Derby County FC share the spoils 4-2.

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	3
Jarrod Bowen	2
Matt Clarke	1
Sam Baldock	1
Craig Forsyth	1
Tom Lawrence	1
Festy Ebosele	1
Florian Jozefzoon	1

Head to Head

Hull City AFC Form

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC W 2026-02-21 Hull City AFC 1–3 Queens Park Rangers FC L 2026-02-13 Hull City AFC 0–4 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-07 Hull City AFC 2–3 Bristol City FC L 2026-02-03 Hull City AFC 0–0 Watford FC D 2026-01-31 Blackburn Rovers FC 0–1 Hull City AFC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W 2026-02-07 Derby County FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W 2026-01-23 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.57 Hull City AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.6 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC39% Draw26% Derby County FC35%

Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.17

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw

65%

Draw or Derby County FC

61%

Hull City AFC or Derby County FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC28% Draw43% Derby County FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

11.5%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

0 – 0

5.8%

1 – 0

5.8%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap	Hull City AFC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	18%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	18%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.