Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Hull City AFC

4 – 2

Full Time

Derby County FC

Tue 24 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Hull City AFC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC 2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Derby County FC	H	4–2	W
21 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–3	L
13 Feb	Chelsea FC	H	0–4	L
07 Feb	Bristol City FC	H	2–3	L
03 Feb	Watford FC	H	0–0	D
31 Jan	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	1–0	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W
07 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W
23 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	1–1	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Hull City AFC and Derby County FC.
Hull City AFC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	3
Jarrod Bowen	2
Matt Clarke	1
Sam Baldock	1
Craig Forsyth	1
Tom Lawrence	1
Festy Ebosele	1
Florian Jozefzoon	1

Head to Head

Hull City AFC Form

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC W 2026-02-21 Hull City AFC 1–3 Queens Park Rangers FC L 2026-02-13 Hull City AFC 0–4 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-07 Hull City AFC 2–3 Bristol City FC L 2026-02-03 Hull City AFC 0–0 Watford FC D 2026-01-31 Blackburn Rovers FC 0–1 Hull City AFC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W 2026-02-07 Derby County FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W 2026-01-23 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.57 Hull City AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.6 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Derby County FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC39% Draw26% Derby County FC35%

Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 3.17

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw

65%

Draw or Derby County FC

61%

Hull City AFC or Derby County FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC28% Draw43% Derby County FC29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

11.5%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.3%

0 – 1

0 – 0

5.8%

1 – 0

5.8%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 0

5.1%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 1

4.2%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap	Hull City AFC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	18%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	18%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.