Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Hibernian FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Kilmarnock FC

Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Easter Road Stadium 19,265 HT 45' · FT 45'

Nectarios Triantis 25' 1–0

Y 44' Liam Polworth

Hyeok-kyu Kwon 53' Y

Y 59' Danny Armstrong

YR 63' Danny Armstrong

Y 90' Brad Lyons

Overview

Match Preview

Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at Easter Road Stadium.

Hibernian FC 12 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Kilmarnock FC 13 games · 9 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel McFarlane
Assistant 1 Ross MacLeod
Assistant 2 Paul O'Neill

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Celtic FC	13	31
2	Rangers FC	12	27
3	Falkirk FC	13	21
4	Heart of Midlothian FC	12	20
5	Dundee FC	12	17
6	Dundee United FC	12	17
7	St. Johnstone FC	13	17
8	St. Mirren FC	13	14
9	Motherwell FC	13	13
10	Hibernian FC	12	11
11	Aberdeen FC	12	11
12	Kilmarnock FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

Hibernian FC 23 games · Avg 2.3 goals Kilmarnock FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-29 Hibernian FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC 2024-09-01 Kilmarnock FC 1–1 Hibernian FC 2024-01-27 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Hibernian FC 2023-11-11 Hibernian FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC 2023-09-16 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Hibernian FC

Recent Form

Hibernian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	H	1–0	W
26 Dec	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	2–1	W
21 Dec	Aberdeen FC	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	Ross County FC	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	Celtic FC	A	0–3	L
30 Nov	Motherwell FC	A	3–0	W

Kilmarnock FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Dec	Hibernian FC	A	0–1	L
26 Dec	Aberdeen FC	H	4–0	W
20 Dec	Motherwell FC	A	1–1	D
15 Dec	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	1–0	W
07 Dec	Dundee United FC	A	1–1	D
04 Dec	Rangers FC	A	0–6	L

Season Stats

Hibernian FC		Kilmarnock FC
#10	Position	#12
11	Points	9
12	Played	13
3 / 2 / 7	W / D / L	2 / 3 / 8
15	Scored	13
17	Conceded	29
-2	GD	-16
0.92	PPG	0.69
25%	Win %	15%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

8% Clean Sheets
Hibernian FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

Hibernian FC are 10th (11 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hibernian FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

1/7

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/1

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kilmarnock FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

1/4

31-45

3/8

46-60

4/3

61-75

2/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hibernian FC

Callum Wright	3 G	1 A
Martin Boyle	3 G
Owen Elding	2 G	1 A

Kilmarnock FC

Greg Kiltie	3 G
Joe Hugill	2 G	2 A
Michael Schjonning-Larsen	2 G
Jason Holt	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Hibernian FC host Kilmarnock FC — let the battle begin!
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Hibernian FC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Kilmarnock FC's compact 4-4-2.
10' Hibernian FC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
15' The travelling Kilmarnock FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
20' Robbie Deas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
25' What a moment for Nectarios Triantis! That strike on 25 puts his side firmly in control.
30' Kilmarnock FC come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
31' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FC — Robbie Deas on, Joe Wright off on 31 minutes.
36' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hibernian FC and Kilmarnock FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
44' The referee calls foul for Liam Polworth. He receives a card.
46' Hibernian FC make a change. Joe Newell trudges off to be replaced by Hyeok-kyu Kwon on 46 minutes.
51' Scotland international Robby McCrorie has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
53' Hyeok-kyu Kwon is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
58' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
59' Danny Armstrong has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 59.
63' The referee has no hesitation. Danny Armstrong is booked for Kilmarnock FC — card on 63.
68' Hibernian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jordan Obita is hanging Jack Iredale on the field on 68 minute.
71' The supporters are chanting for Kyle Magennis. He replaces Liam Polworth on 71 minute.
74' Dwight Gayle is ready to make an impact after coming on for Junior Hoilett at the 74 minute mark.
79' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hibernian FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
89' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hibernian FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
90' The referee shows Kilmarnock FC player a card on 90.
90' A change in the Kilmarnock FC ranks — David Watson exits the field as Jack Burroughs enters on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Kilmarnock FC.

Lineups

Hibernian FC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach David Gray

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Derek McInnes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Eamonn Brophy	4
Martin Boyle	3
Joe Newell	3
Chris Burke	2
Greg Stewart	2
Nectarios Triantis	1
Greg Stewart	1
Felix Passlack	1

Head to Head

Hibernian FC Form

2024-12-29 Hibernian FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC W 2024-12-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Hibernian FC W 2024-12-21 Aberdeen FC 1–3 Hibernian FC W 2024-12-14 Hibernian FC 3–1 Ross County FC W 2024-12-07 Celtic FC 3–0 Hibernian FC L 2024-11-30 Motherwell FC 0–3 Hibernian FC W

Kilmarnock FC Form

2024-12-29 Hibernian FC 1–0 Kilmarnock FC L 2024-12-26 Kilmarnock FC 4–0 Aberdeen FC W 2024-12-20 Motherwell FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-12-15 Kilmarnock FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2024-12-07 Dundee United FC 1–1 Kilmarnock FC D 2024-12-04 Rangers FC 6–0 Kilmarnock FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.99 Hibernian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 Kilmarnock FC xG

I would bet for: Hibernian FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hibernian FC63% Draw22% Kilmarnock FC15%

Actual: Hibernian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Hibernian FC or Draw

85%

Draw or Kilmarnock FC

37%

Hibernian FC or Kilmarnock FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Hibernian FC45% Draw43% Kilmarnock FC12%

Actual: Hibernian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.8%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

10.6%

2 – 1

9.4%

0 – 0

7.8%

3 – 0

7.6%

3 – 1

6.3%

0 – 1

4.1%

2 – 2

3.8%

1 – 2

3.8%

4 – 0

3.8%

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Hibernian FC

Handicap	Hibernian FC covers	Push	Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	20%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	24%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	9%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.