Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
- Assistant 1 Richard Polman
- Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven
5 games this season
🟨 2.6/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Mar | SBV Excelsior | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | AZ | A | 0–4 | L |
| 06 Mar | FC Utrecht | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Feb | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Groningen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax has kicked off!
- 5' Heracles Almelo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Heracles Almelo currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Germany international Mario Engels has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 16' Mika Godts makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 17' A stunning finish from Steven Berghuis — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 22' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
- 27' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Another change for Heracles Almelo made on 46 minute. Thomas Bruns leaves to be changed by Sava Cestic.
- 47' Goal! Steven Berghuis scores his 86 goal in 335 matches.
- 52' AFC Ajax come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 54' The crowd applauds Naci Unuvar as he leaves the pitch. Luka Kulenovic steps in for Heracles Almelo.
- 55' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Jannes Wieckhoff is replaced by Djevencio van der Kust on 55 minute.
- 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 65' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Ivan Mesik is withdrawn and Walid Ould-Chikh gets his opportunity.
- 66' AFC Ajax make a change. Ko Itakura trudges off to be replaced by Takehiro Tomiyasu on 66 minutes.
- 71' Alec Van Hoorenbeeck is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
- 74' The referee shows Heracles Almelo player a card on 74.
- 76' It’s gonna be a card for Alec Van Hoorenbeeck.
- 79' Controversy at the stadium! Takehiro Tomiyasu argues furiously but the card stands.
- 84' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Oscar Gloukh by Sean Steur on 84 minute.
- 87' Aaron Bouwman is replacing Mika Godts for the AFC Ajax side.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. AFC Ajax take all three points.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
-
10
Thomas Bruns ↓ Sava Cestic 46'
- 8
-
24
Ivan Mesik ↓ Walid Ould-Chikh 65'
- 4
-
9
Naci Unuvar ↓ Luka Kulenovic 54'
- 3
- 32
- 17
- 25
- 18
Bench
- 30
- 7
-
6
Sava Cestic ↑ 46'
-
5
Djevencio van der Kust ↑ 55'
- 20
- 16
- 21
-
73
Walid Ould-Chikh ↑ 65'
-
14
Erik Ahlstrand ↑ 55'
-
19
Luka Kulenovic ↑ 54'
- 39
Coach
Ernest Faber
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 26
- 23
- 25
-
4
Ko Itakura ↓ Takehiro Tomiyasu 66'
- 37
- 15
- 2
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Aaron Bouwman 87'
-
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 84'
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 5
- 9
-
32
Takehiro Tomiyasu ↑ 66'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 84'
- 7
- 19
- 52
-
30
Aaron Bouwman ↑ 87'
- 43
-
48
Sean Steur ↑ 84'
- 62
- 53
Coach
Óscar García
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Mario Engels | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 3 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 |
| Sebastien Haller | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Luka Kulenovic | 2 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
49%
Draw or AFC Ajax
77%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

