Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Ajax 1 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
- Assistant 1 Richard Polman
- Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Groningen | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | ADO Den Haag | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–3 | L |
| 05 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 1–4 | L |
| 20 Mar | SBV Excelsior | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Mar | AZ | A | 0–4 | L |
| 06 Mar | FC Utrecht | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Feb | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Groningen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax has kicked off!
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mika Godts makes it 0-1.
- 17' Assisted by Wout Weghorst with the perfectly-timed delivery and Steven Berghuis makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and AFC Ajax are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 27' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 42' Heracles Almelo is showing some good football. However, Heracles Almelo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Thomas Bruns has done his job and it is now time for Sava Cestic to step up.
- 47' What composure from Steven Berghuis! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 0-3.
- 52' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
- 54' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Naci Unuvar by Luka Kulenovic on 54 minute.
- 55' Djevencio van der Kust is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jannes Wieckhoff at the 55 minute mark.
- 60' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past AFC Ajax's compact 4-3-3.
- 65' Heracles Almelo make a change. Ivan Mesik trudges off to be replaced by Walid Ould-Chikh on 65 minutes.
- 66' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Ko Itakura has done his job and it is now time for Takehiro Tomiyasu to step up.
- 71' Heracles Almelo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
- 74' Walid Ould-Chikh was booked on 74.
- 76' Alec Van Hoorenbeeck picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 79' Takehiro Tomiyasu has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 79.
- 84' Sean Steur is replacing Oscar Gloukh for the AFC Ajax side.
- 87' A tactical swap from AFC Ajax — Aaron Bouwman on, Mika Godts off on 87 minutes.
- AFC Ajax celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 22
-
10
Thomas Bruns ↓ Sava Cestic 46'
- 8
-
24
Ivan Mesik ↓ Walid Ould-Chikh 65'
- 4
-
9
Naci Unuvar ↓ Luka Kulenovic 54'
- 3
- 32
- 17
- 25
- 18
Bench
- 30
- 7
-
6
Sava Cestic ↑ 46'
-
5
Djevencio van der Kust ↑ 55'
- 20
- 16
- 21
-
73
Walid Ould-Chikh ↑ 65'
-
14
Erik Ahlstrand ↑ 55'
-
19
Luka Kulenovic ↑ 54'
- 39
Coach
Ernest Faber
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 26
- 23
- 25
-
4
Ko Itakura ↓ Takehiro Tomiyasu 66'
- 37
- 15
- 2
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Aaron Bouwman 87'
-
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 84'
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 5
- 9
-
32
Takehiro Tomiyasu ↑ 66'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 84'
- 7
- 19
- 52
-
30
Aaron Bouwman ↑ 87'
- 43
-
48
Sean Steur ↑ 84'
- 62
- 53
Coach
Óscar García
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Mario Engels | 3 |
| Steven Berghuis | 3 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 2 |
| Cyriel Dessers | 2 |
| Sebastien Haller | 2 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.06
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
49%
Draw or AFC Ajax
77%
Heracles Almelo or AFC Ajax
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 30% |
| +1.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +2 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.