Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee John Beaton
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Heart of Midlothian FC H 3–2 W
20 Dec Dundee United FC A 1–1 D
15 Dec Rangers FC A 0–1 L
06 Dec Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
30 Nov Celtic FC H 1–2 L
25 Nov Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Hibernian FC A 2–3 L
21 Dec Rangers FC H 2–1 W
13 Dec Falkirk FC A 2–0 W
07 Dec Celtic FC A 2–1 W
03 Dec Kilmarnock FC H 1–1 D
29 Nov Motherwell FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Hibernian FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#5 Position #1
51 Points 70
33 Played 33
13 / 12 / 8 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
51 Scored 58
37 Conceded 28
+14 GD +30
1.55 PPG 2.12
39% Win % 64%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hibernian FC are 5th (51 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hibernian FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 Hibernian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Hibernian FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hibernian FC41% Draw26% Heart of Midlothian FC33%
Actual: Hibernian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Hibernian FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
59%
Hibernian FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hibernian FC28% Draw45% Heart of Midlothian FC27%
Actual: Hibernian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.9%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hibernian FC

Handicap Hibernian FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.