Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2022-23

Heart of Midlothian FC

1 – 0

Full Time

St. Mirren FC

Fri 13 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Tynecastle Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 23' Keanu Baccus

Michael Smith 24' Y

Y 45' Curtis Main

Y 54' Declan Gallagher

Robert Snodgrass 58' Y

Y 80' Dylan Reid

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 23 games · Avg 2.7 goals St. Mirren FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-01-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 St. Mirren FC 2023-01-07 St. Mirren FC 1–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-02-26 St. Mirren FC 0–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2021-11-27 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 St. Mirren FC 2021-08-07 St. Mirren FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jan	St. Mirren FC	H	1–0	W
07 Jan	St. Mirren FC	A	1–1	D
02 Jan	Hibernian FC	H	3–0	W
28 Dec	St. Johnstone FC	A	3–2	W
24 Dec	Dundee United FC	A	2–2	D
17 Dec	Kilmarnock FC	H	3–1	W

St. Mirren FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jan	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	0–1	L
07 Jan	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	1–1	D
02 Jan	Kilmarnock FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Livingston FC	A	1–1	D
24 Dec	Aberdeen FC	H	3–1	W
12 Nov	Rangers FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		St. Mirren FC
#1	Position	#10
70	Points	30
33	Played	33
21 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	7 / 9 / 17
58	Scored	27
28	Conceded	48
+30	GD	-21
2.12	PPG	0.91
64%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC has kicked off!
5' It is a cagey affair so far. Heart of Midlothian FC in their trying to find a way past St. Mirren FC's compact .
10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
15' It looks like no one’s ball. St. Mirren FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
23' A moment of madness from Keanu Baccus on 23 minutes earns him a Yellow card. St. Mirren FC will be frustrated.
24' Heart of Midlothian FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
29' GOAL! Barrie McKay scores on 29.
33' Greg Kiltie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mark O'Hara at the 33 minute mark.
38' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heart of Midlothian FC and St. Mirren FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
45' The referee calls foul for Curtis Main. He receives a Yellow card.
50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heart of Midlothian FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
54' Declan Gallagher catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 54.
58' Controversy at the stadium! Robert Snodgrass argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
60' Alex Cochrane makes way for Cameron Devlin at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
65' St. Mirren FC have won 281 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
67' Another change for St. Mirren FC made on 67 minute. Alex Greive leaves to be changed by Jonah Ayunga.
72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. St. Mirren FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
76' Garang Kuol gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Barrie McKay and will look to change the dynamic.
80' St. Mirren FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 80.
85' Richard Taylor makes way for Eamonn Brophy at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from St. Mirren FC.
87' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Andrew Halliday trudges off to be replaced by Alan Forrest on 87 minutes.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Heart of Midlothian FC take all three points.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Robbie Neilson

St. Mirren FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steve Robinson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Steven Naismith	4
Lawrence Shankland	4
Ryan Strain	3
Steven Naismith	3
Robert Snodgrass	2
Joe Shaughnessy	2
James Wilson	2
Kenneth Vargas	2

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2023-01-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 St. Mirren FC W 2023-01-07 St. Mirren FC 1–1 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2023-01-02 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 Hibernian FC W 2022-12-28 St. Johnstone FC 2–3 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2022-12-24 Dundee United FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2022-12-17 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–1 Kilmarnock FC W

St. Mirren FC Form

2023-01-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 St. Mirren FC L 2023-01-07 St. Mirren FC 1–1 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2023-01-02 Kilmarnock FC 0–0 St. Mirren FC D 2022-12-28 Livingston FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC D 2022-12-24 St. Mirren FC 3–1 Aberdeen FC W 2022-11-12 St. Mirren FC 1–1 Rangers FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.84 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.4 St. Mirren FC xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 71% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC70% Draw21% St. Mirren FC9%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes29% 0% No71%

Avg goals/match: 2.24

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

91%

Draw or St. Mirren FC

30%

Heart of Midlothian FC or St. Mirren FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC48% Draw46% St. Mirren FC6%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

17.5%

0 – 0

12.5%

3 – 0

10.5%

1 – 1

8.2%

2 – 1

4 – 0

4.9%

3 – 1

4.5%

0 – 1

3.4%

4 – 1

2.2%

5 – 0

1.9%

1 – 2

1.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	23%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	27%	28%
-0.5	72%	—	28%
+0.5	94%	—	6%
+1	94%	5%	1%
+1.5	99%	—	1%
+2	99%	1%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

67% ✓

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.