Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs Rangers FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 5 Aug 2023 · 16:15 UTC Rugby Park 9,256 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brad Lyons 65' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs Rangers FCPremier League at Rugby Park.

Match Details

  • Referee William Collum
  • Assistant 1 Dougie Potter
  • Assistant 2 Craig Ferguson
  • 4th Official

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Rangers FC H 1–0 W
28 May Ross County FC H 3–1 W
24 May Dundee United FC A 3–0 W
20 May St. Johnstone FC H 0–1 L
13 May Livingston FC H 2–0 W
06 May Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Kilmarnock FC A 0–1 L
27 May St. Mirren FC A 3–0 W
24 May Heart of Midlothian FC H 2–2 D
21 May Hibernian FC A 3–1 W
13 May Celtic FC H 3–0 W
07 May Aberdeen FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC Rangers FC
#11 Position #2
28 Points 69
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 19 / 12 / 2
37 Scored 66
65 Conceded 31
-28 GD +35
0.85 PPG 2.09
18% Win % 58%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). Rangers FC are 2nd (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Rugby Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Kilmarnock FC and Rangers FC.
  • 5' Kilmarnock FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Rangers FC that had 402 games and scored 785 goals.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Brad Lyons made 382 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' David Watson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' Kilmarnock FC are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Rangers FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Kilmarnock FC and Rangers FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' Kilmarnock FC is showing some good football. However, Kilmarnock FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' It’s high time Derek McInnes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' Rangers FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' The 29-year-old John Souttar has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FCKyle Vassell on, Marley Watkins off on 63 minutes.
  • 65' What a moment for Brad Lyons! That strike on 65 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 70' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 72' John Lundstram makes way for Ryan Jack at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Rangers FC.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Kilmarnock FCRory McKenzie on, Kyle Magennis off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Corrie Ndaba, as he is very good at scoring at Rugby Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 84' The Rangers FC bench stirs into life. Sam Lammers is withdrawn and Kemar Roofe gets his opportunity.
  • 89' Kilmarnock FC ring the changes. Danny Armstrong has done his job and it is now time for Innes Cameron to step up.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Rangers FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.95 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Rangers FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC24% Draw24% Rangers FC52%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
47%
Draw or Rangers FC
76%
Kilmarnock FC or Rangers FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC14% Draw41% Rangers FC45%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.3%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
0 – 3
7.1%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 1
4.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push Rangers FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 23% 40%
+1.5 60% 40%
+2 60% 19% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.