Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2022-23 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

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Premier League · 2022-23

Heart of Midlothian FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Aberdeen FC

Sat 20 May 2023 · 11:30 UTC Tynecastle Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 11' Jonathan Hayes

Y 25' Marley Watkins

Cameron Devlin 25' Y

Y 49' Bojan Miovski

Y 52' Ylber Ramadani

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.

Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Aberdeen FC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 24 games · Avg 2.5 goals Aberdeen FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-05-20 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–1 Aberdeen FC 2023-03-18 Aberdeen FC 3–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-01-18 Heart of Midlothian FC 5–0 Aberdeen FC 2022-10-16 Aberdeen FC 2–0 Heart of Midlothian FC 2022-03-02 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	Aberdeen FC	H	2–1	W
13 May	St. Mirren FC	A	2–2	D
07 May	Celtic FC	H	0–2	L
22 Apr	Ross County FC	H	6–1	W
15 Apr	Hibernian FC	A	0–1	L
08 Apr	St. Mirren FC	H	0–2	L

Aberdeen FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 May	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	1–2	L
13 May	Hibernian FC	H	0–0	D
07 May	Rangers FC	A	0–1	L
23 Apr	Rangers FC	H	2–0	W
14 Apr	Ross County FC	A	1–0	W
08 Apr	Kilmarnock FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Aberdeen FC
#1	Position	#8
70	Points	33
33	Played	33
21 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 18
58	Scored	33
28	Conceded	48
+30	GD	-15
2.12	PPG	1.00
64%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Heart of Midlothian FC welcome Aberdeen FC for this crunch clash at Tynecastle Park.
5' It’s high time Steven Naismith made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
11' It’s a booking for Aberdeen FC player. Jonathan Hayes gets a Yellow card.
16' Japan international Yutaro Oda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' The referee has no hesitation. Marley Watkins is booked for Aberdeen FC — Yellow card on 25.
30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
31' What a strike from Matthew Pollock! The score is 0-1.
36' Aberdeen FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
41' Ylber Ramadani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
43' GOAL! Josh Ginnelly fires home to make it 1-1!
48' It looks surprising Aberdeen FC does not make any changes. Zander Clark has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
49' Aberdeen FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
52' A moment of madness from Ylber Ramadani on 52 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Aberdeen FC will be frustrated.
56' The deadlock is broken! Lawrence Shankland gets on the scoresheet on 56 minutes.
60' A change in the Aberdeen FC ranks — Angus MacDonald exits the field as Jack MacKenzie enters on 60.
65' Jorge Grant gets the nod from Heart of Midlothian FC. He replaces Josh Ginnelly and will look to change the dynamic.
70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
75' The energy levels are beginning to show. Steven Naismith might look to freshen things up shortly.
76' Fresh legs for Heart of Midlothian FC! Michael Smith comes on to replace Barrie McKay.
77' Heart of Midlothian FC make a change. Yutaro Oda trudges off to be replaced by Alan Forrest on 77 minutes.
79' The Aberdeen FC manager makes a substitution. Marley Watkins departs to be replaced by Dilan Markanday.
84' Aberdeen FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
86' Time for substitution for Heart of Midlothian FC. Peter Haring is replaced by Orestis Kiomourtzoglou.
88' The Aberdeen FC manager makes a substitution. Ylber Ramadani departs to be replaced by Alfie Bavidge.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Starting XI

21
Toby Sibbick
18
Barrie McKay ↓ Michael Smith 76'
30
Josh Ginnelly ↓ Jorge Grant 65'
14
Cameron Devlin
15
Kye Rowles
5
Peter Haring ↓ Orestis Kiomourtzoglou 86'
28
Zander Clark
12
Nathaniel Atkinson
88
Yutaro Oda ↓ Alan Forrest 77'
9
Lawrence Shankland
19
Alex Cochrane

Bench

Coach Steven Naismith

Aberdeen FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
Joe Lewis
3
Jack MacKenzie ↑ 60'
7
Shayden Morris ↑ 60'
14
Patrik Myslovic
23
Ryan Duncan ↑ 60'
10
Dilan Markanday ↑ 79'
33
Matthew Kennedy
36
Alfie Bavidge ↑ 88'

Coach Barry Robson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	5
Sam Cosgrove	4
Duk	3
Josh Ginnelly	3
Michael Smith	2
Liam Boyce	2
Matthew Pollock	2
John Souttar	2

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2023-05-20 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–1 Aberdeen FC W 2023-05-13 St. Mirren FC 2–2 Heart of Midlothian FC D 2023-05-07 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–2 Celtic FC L 2023-04-22 Heart of Midlothian FC 6–1 Ross County FC W 2023-04-15 Hibernian FC 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2023-04-08 Heart of Midlothian FC 0–2 St. Mirren FC L

Aberdeen FC Form

2023-05-20 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–1 Aberdeen FC L 2023-05-13 Aberdeen FC 0–0 Hibernian FC D 2023-05-07 Rangers FC 1–0 Aberdeen FC L 2023-04-23 Aberdeen FC 2–0 Rangers FC W 2023-04-14 Ross County FC 0–1 Aberdeen FC W 2023-04-08 Aberdeen FC 2–0 Kilmarnock FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.95 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 Aberdeen FC xG

I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC58% Draw24% Aberdeen FC18%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Aberdeen FC

42%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Heart of Midlothian FC43% Draw43% Aberdeen FC14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.1%

1 – 0

10.9%

1 – 1

10.9%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

7.7%

3 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

6.2%

0 – 1

4.4%

1 – 2

4.2%

2 – 2

4.2%

4 – 0

3.5%

4 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	19%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	24%	39%
-0.5	61%	—	39%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.