Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2022-23 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND
Overview
Match Preview
Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League at Tynecastle Park.
- Heart of Midlothian FC 12 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Aberdeen FC 12 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 13 | 31 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Falkirk FC | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 12 | 20 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 12 | 17 |
| 6 | Dundee United FC | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | St. Johnstone FC | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | St. Mirren FC | 13 | 14 |
| 9 | Motherwell FC | 13 | 13 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Aberdeen FC | 12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 13 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Aberdeen FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | St. Mirren FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 May | Celtic FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | Ross County FC | H | 6–1 | W |
| 15 Apr | Hibernian FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Apr | St. Mirren FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 May | Hibernian FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 07 May | Rangers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Apr | Rangers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Apr | Ross County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Apr | Kilmarnock FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Heart of Midlothian FC | Aberdeen FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #11 |
| 20 | Points | 11 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 6 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 7 |
| 26 | Scored | 12 |
| 22 | Conceded | 18 |
| +4 | GD | -6 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 0.92 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season
Aberdeen FC this season
Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Aberdeen FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aberdeen FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Heart of Midlothian FC
| Claudio Braga | 6 G | 2 A |
| Calvin Miller | 5 G | 1 A |
| James Wilson | 3 G | |
| Laurent Mendy | 3 G | |
| Joshua McPake | 2 G | 1 A |
Aberdeen FC
| Kevin Nisbet | 4 G | 3 A |
| Connor Ronan | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ayoub Mouloua | 2 G | |
| Lewis Mayo | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Tynecastle Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Heart of Midlothian FC and Aberdeen FC.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Barrie McKay is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Heart of Midlothian FC.
- 11' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jonathan Hayes.
- 16' Heart of Midlothian FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 21' Kye Rowles is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Aberdeen FC tonight.
- 25' A moment of madness from Marley Watkins on 25 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Aberdeen FC will be frustrated.
- 30' Aberdeen FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' The deadlock is broken! Matthew Pollock gets on the scoresheet on 31 minutes.
- 36' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 41' Shayden Morris has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 290 appearances.
- 43' What a moment for Josh Ginnelly! That strike on 43 puts his side firmly in control.
- 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 49' Poor challenge from Bojan Miovski. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ylber Ramadani on 52.
- 56' Lawrence Shankland does the damage! The net is bulging and Heart of Midlothian FC surge ahead!
- 60' Aberdeen FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jack MacKenzie is hanging Angus MacDonald on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' Jorge Grant is ready to make an impact after coming on for Josh Ginnelly at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 75' Aberdeen FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 76' The Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes a substitution. Barrie McKay departs to be replaced by Michael Smith.
- 77' Heart of Midlothian FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alan Forrest is hanging Yutaro Oda on the field on 77 minute.
- 79' The Aberdeen FC bench stirs into life. Marley Watkins is withdrawn and Dilan Markanday gets his opportunity.
- 84' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heart of Midlothian FC and Aberdeen FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 86' Heart of Midlothian FC ring the changes. Peter Haring has done his job and it is now time for Orestis Kiomourtzoglou to step up.
- 88' Alfie Bavidge is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ylber Ramadani at the 88 minute mark.
- 2-1 the final result. Aberdeen FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
-
18
Barrie McKay ↓ Michael Smith 76'
-
30
Josh Ginnelly ↓ Jorge Grant 65'
- 14
- 15
- 5
- 28
- 12
-
88
Yutaro Oda ↓ Alan Forrest 77'
- 9
- 19
Bench
- 72
-
7
Jorge Grant ↑ 65'
-
2
Michael Smith ↑ 76'
- 13
- 16
-
17
Alan Forrest ↑ 77'
-
8
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou ↑ 86'
- 45
- 61
Coach
Steven Naismith
Aberdeen FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 24
- 27
- 18
- 25
-
8
Connor Barron ↓ Shayden Morris 60'
- 20
- 4
-
16
Ylber Ramadani ↓ Alfie Bavidge 88'
-
17
Jonathan Hayes ↓ Ryan Duncan 60'
- 9
Bench
- 1
-
3
Jack MacKenzie ↑ 60'
-
7
Shayden Morris ↑ 60'
- 14
-
23
Ryan Duncan ↑ 60'
-
10
Dilan Markanday ↑ 79'
- 33
-
36
Alfie Bavidge ↑ 88'
Coach
Barry Robson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lawrence Shankland | 5 |
| Sam Cosgrove | 4 |
| Duk | 3 |
| Josh Ginnelly | 3 |
| Michael Smith | 2 |
| Liam Boyce | 2 |
| Matthew Pollock | 2 |
| John Souttar | 2 |
Head to Head
Heart of Midlothian FC Form
2023-05-20
Heart of Midlothian FC
2–1
Aberdeen FC
W
2023-05-13
St. Mirren FC
2–2
Heart of Midlothian FC
D
2023-05-07
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–2
Celtic FC
L
2023-04-22
Heart of Midlothian FC
6–1
Ross County FC
W
2023-04-15
Hibernian FC
1–0
Heart of Midlothian FC
L
2023-04-08
Heart of Midlothian FC
0–2
St. Mirren FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.19
Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Heart of Midlothian FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
44%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC
| Handicap | Heart of Midlothian FC covers | Push | Aberdeen FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 22% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

