Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2022-23 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 20 May 2023 · 11:30 UTC Tynecastle Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League at Tynecastle Park.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May Aberdeen FC H 2–1 W
13 May St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
07 May Celtic FC H 0–2 L
22 Apr Ross County FC H 6–1 W
15 Apr Hibernian FC A 0–1 L
08 Apr St. Mirren FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–2 L
13 May Hibernian FC H 0–0 D
07 May Rangers FC A 0–1 L
23 Apr Rangers FC H 2–0 W
14 Apr Ross County FC A 1–0 W
08 Apr Kilmarnock FC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Aberdeen FC
#4 Position #8
3 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
5 Scored 2
2 Conceded 3
+3 GD -1
1.50 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aberdeen FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Tynecastle Park. Heart of Midlothian FC are looking to make home advantage count against Aberdeen FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marley Watkins, as he is very good at scoring at Tynecastle Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jack MacKenzie is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Aberdeen FC.
  • 11' Aberdeen FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 16' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryan Duncan made 351 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 21' Barrie McKay is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heart of Midlothian FC tonight.
  • 25' Marley Watkins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 25.
  • 30' Shayden Morris has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 31' Aberdeen FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Matthew Pollock on 31.
  • 36' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 41' Aberdeen FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 43' Against the run of play, Josh Ginnelly has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 48' The travelling Aberdeen FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 49' The referee has no hesitation. Bojan Miovski is booked for Aberdeen FC — Yellow card on 49.
  • 52' The referee shows Aberdeen FC player a Yellow card on 52.
  • 56' What a moment for Lawrence Shankland! That strike on 56 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 60' Aberdeen FC make a change. Angus MacDonald trudges off to be replaced by Jack MacKenzie on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Josh Ginnelly makes way for Jorge Grant at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • 70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Angus MacDonald suffering a number of foals already.
  • 76' Another change for Heart of Midlothian FC made on 76 minute. Barrie McKay leaves to be changed by Michael Smith.
  • 77' Alan Forrest is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yutaro Oda at the 77 minute mark.
  • 79' Aberdeen FC ring the changes. Marley Watkins has done his job and it is now time for Dilan Markanday to step up.
  • 84' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 86' The crowd applauds Peter Haring as he leaves the pitch. Orestis Kiomourtzoglou steps in for Heart of Midlothian FC.
  • 88' Alfie Bavidge gets the nod from Aberdeen FC. He replaces Ylber Ramadani and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Heart of Midlothian FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.4 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC63% Draw21% Aberdeen FC16%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
37%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC50% Draw38% Aberdeen FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
5%
4 – 0
4.9%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
41%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.