Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2024-25 CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 14:00 UTC The SMISA Stadium 7,587 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mikael Mandron 60' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League at The SMISA Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ross Hardie (Scotland)
  • Assistant 1 Alaistair Taylor (Scotland)
  • Assistant 2 Ross Nelson (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Aberdeen FC H 1–0 W
26 Apr Rangers FC H 2–2 D
12 Apr Ross County FC H 3–2 W
05 Apr Dundee FC A 0–2 L
29 Mar Kilmarnock FC H 5–1 W
15 Mar Motherwell FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
13 Apr Rangers FC H 2–2 D
05 Apr Ross County FC A 1–0 W
29 Mar Motherwell FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar St. Johnstone FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Aberdeen FC
#10 Position #8
30 Points 33
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
27 Scored 33
48 Conceded 48
-21 GD -15
0.91 PPG 1.00
21% Win % 27%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (26 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! St. Mirren FC welcome Aberdeen FC for this crunch clash at The SMISA Stadium.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at The SMISA Stadium. Aberdeen FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The 32-year-old Marcus Fraser has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 13' Poor challenge from Nicky Devlin. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 17' Jonah Ayunga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 17.
  • 22' Jeppe Okkels has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 23' Poor challenge from Graeme Shinnie. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 28' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Fletcher Boyd is clearly more than just a goal scorer for St. Mirren FC.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Killian Phillips, as he is very good at scoring at The SMISA Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 41' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Killian Phillips on 41 minutes.
  • 46' A tactical swap from St. Mirren FCRoland Idowu on, Jonah Ayunga off on 46 minutes.
  • 47' That looks like a foul for a card for Mikael Mandron.
  • 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 55' The crowd applauds Leighton Clarkson as he leaves the pitch. Jamie McGrath steps in for Aberdeen FC.
  • 60' Mikael Mandron makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and St. Mirren FC are in front.
  • 65' St. Mirren FC currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Oday Dabbagh. He replaces Topi Keskinen on 66 minute.
  • 67' Fresh legs for St. Mirren FC! Caolan Boyd Munce comes on to replace Oisin Smyth.
  • 72' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' St. Mirren FC have won 281 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 79' St. Mirren FC ring the changes. Mark O'Hara has done his job and it is now time for James Scott to step up.
  • 83' A change in the Aberdeen FC ranks — Alfie Dorrington exits the field as Fletcher Boyd enters on 83.
  • 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. St. Mirren FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • Aberdeen FC will have plenty to reflect on. St. Mirren FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.33 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC48% Draw28% Aberdeen FC24%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
52%
St. Mirren FC or Aberdeen FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC30% Draw51% Aberdeen FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.