Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyōto Sanga FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyōto Sanga FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Kyōto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Júbilo Iwata | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 6–2 | W |
| 14 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Kyōto Sanga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 30 | Points | 23 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 32 |
| 33 | Conceded | 39 |
| +8 | GD | -7 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.28 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Kyōto Sanga FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Kyōto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kyōto Sanga FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/8
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Kyōto Sanga FC
| Rafael Elias | 7 G | 4 A |
| Haruki Arai | 4 G | |
| Ryuma Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sanfrecce Hiroshima side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 12' The Kyoto Sanga FC bench stirs into life. Daiki Kaneko is withdrawn and Shimpei Fukuoka gets his opportunity.
- 17' Gakuji Ota has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 174 appearances.
- 22' Sanfrecce Hiroshima looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Akito Suzuki scoring 1 goals.
- 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 32' Sanfrecce Hiroshima currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 37' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 42' Marco Tulio is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kyōto Sanga FC tonight.
- 47' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Kyōto Sanga FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 52' Sota Kawasaki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
- 57' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 62' Kyoto Sanga FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Taiki Hirato on 62.
- 63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Shunki Higashi has done his job and it is now time for Tsukasa Shiotani to step up.
- 64' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Hayao Kawabe is replaced by Makoto Mitsuta on 64 minute.
- 69' The travelling Kyōto Sanga FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tolgay Arslan.
- 77' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Mutsuki Kato exits the field as Marcos Junior enters on 77.
- 78' Takuji Yonemoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyo Sato on 78 minute.
- 79' A change in the Kyoto Sanga FC ranks — Taiki Hirato exits the field as Yuta Miyamoto enters on 79.
- 84' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyōto Sanga FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 86' Yuta Toyokawa is replacing Marco Tulio for the Kyoto Sanga FC side.
- 89' It’s gonna be a card for Papagaio.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marcos Junior on 90.
- Full Time. Kyōto Sanga FC beats Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 64'
- 24
- 4
- 13
- 30
- 15
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Marcos Junior 77'
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 77'
- 22
-
20
Pieros Sotiriou ↑ 64'
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 63'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 77'
-
11
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 64'
- 35
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Kyōto Sanga FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Marco Tulio ↓ Yuta Toyokawa 86'
- 99
- 14
- 2
-
19
Daiki Kaneko ↓ Shimpei Fukuoka 12'
-
39
Taiki Hirato ↓ Yuta Miyamoto 79'
- 50
- 7
-
44
Kyo Sato ↓ Takuji Yonemoto 78'
- 26
- 5
Bench
-
37
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 78'
-
23
Yuta Toyokawa ↑ 86'
- 88
- 96
-
24
Yuta Miyamoto ↑ 79'
-
10
Shimpei Fukuoka ↑ 12'
- 31
Coach
Kwi-Jea Cho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Naoto Arai | 3 |
| Taishi Matsumoto | 2 |
| Akito Suzuki | 2 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 |
| Papagaio | 2 |
| Takumu Kawamura | 2 |
| Yusuke Chajima | 2 |
| Yuta Toyokawa | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-11-03
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Kyōto Sanga FC
L
2024-10-19
Shonan Bellmare
2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2024-10-06
Júbilo Iwata
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-09-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2024-09-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–2
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
2024-09-14
Kashima Antlers
2–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Kyōto Sanga FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.13
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
Kyōto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Kyōto Sanga FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
77%
Draw or Kyōto Sanga FC
47%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kyōto Sanga FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Kyōto Sanga FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 22% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Kyōto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

