Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Shonan Bellmare

2 – 1

Full Time

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 06:00 UTC Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka HT 45' · FT 45'

Taiga Hata 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shonan Bellmare vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka.

Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shonan Bellmare 18 games · Avg 1.8 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-19 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2024-04-07 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Shonan Bellmare 2023-08-05 Shonan Bellmare 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2023-05-27 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Shonan Bellmare 2022-07-10 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	2–1	W
06 Oct	Tōkyō Verdy	A	2–0	W
28 Sep	Kashima Antlers	H	3–2	W
22 Sep	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	1–2	L
14 Sep	Albirex Niigata	A	1–3	L
31 Aug	Sagan Tosu FC	A	2–1	W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
06 Oct	Júbilo Iwata	A	2–1	W
28 Sep	FC Machida Zelvia	H	2–0	W
22 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	6–2	W
14 Sep	Kashima Antlers	A	2–2	D
31 Aug	FC Tōkyō	H	3–2	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

5/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Akito Suzuki	6 G	2 A
Shun Ayukawa	3 G	1 A
Sebastien Haller	3 G	1 A
Mutsuki Kato	2 G	3 A
Shuto Nakano	2 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka will turn into a battlefield for Shonan Bellmare and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
5' Shonan Bellmare are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
20' It’s high time Satoshi Yamaguchi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Michael Skibbe will be considering his options from the bench.
28' What a strike from Shuto Nakano! The score is 0-1.
33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
43' Japan international Mutsuki Kato has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
46' Shonan Bellmare make a change. Sere Matsumura trudges off to be replaced by Taiga Hata on 46 minutes.
48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sho Fukuda makes it 1-1.
53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
58' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shonan Bellmare must find a spark to ignite this game.
63' Naoto Kamifukumoto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 99 appearances.
68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Osako suffering a number of foals already.
71' It is a substitution in Shonan Bellmare team. Akito Suzuki is replaced by Ryo Nemoto on 71 minute.
75' Pieros Sotiriou gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Yotaro Nakajima and will look to change the dynamic.
79' Naoto Arai is replacing Hayato Araki for the Sanfrecce Hiroshima side.
84' With 1 assists to his name this season, Tsukasa Shiotani is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
87' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 87 minute. Tolgay Arslan leaves to be changed by Makoto Mitsuta.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Taiga Hata is booked for Shonan Bellmare — card on 90.
90' A change in the Shonan Bellmare ranks — Konsuke Onose exits the field as Kohei Okuno enters on 90.
2-1 the final result. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

27
Luiz Phellype
7
Hiroyuki Abe
15
Kohei Okuno ↑ 90'
14
Akimi Barada ↑ 46'
3
Taiga Hata ↑ 46'
16
Ryo Nemoto ↑ 71'
1
Bum-keun Song

Coach Satoshi Yamaguchi

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups

Starting XI

19
Sho Sasaki
1
Keisuke Osako
14
Taishi Matsumoto
66
Hayao Kawabe
24
Shunki Higashi
33
Tsukasa Shiotani
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Naoto Arai 79'
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 87'
15
Shuto Nakano
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↓ Pieros Sotiriou 75'
51
Mutsuki Kato

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patric	3
Patric	3
Satoshi Tanaka	2
Yuki Ohashi	2
Douglas Vieira	2
Hayao Kawabe	2
Yoshifumi Kashiwa	1
Ryogo Yamasaki	1

Head to Head

Shonan Bellmare Form

2024-10-19 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-10-06 Tōkyō Verdy 0–2 Shonan Bellmare W 2024-09-28 Shonan Bellmare 3–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-09-22 Shonan Bellmare 1–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-09-14 Albirex Niigata 3–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form

2024-10-19 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2024-10-06 Júbilo Iwata 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-09-28 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-09-22 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–2 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-09-14 Kashima Antlers 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tōkyō W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.4 Shonan Bellmare xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG

I would bet for: Shonan Bellmare or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shonan Bellmare43% Draw27% Sanfrecce Hiroshima30%

Actual: Shonan Bellmare win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.63

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Shonan Bellmare or Draw

70%

Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

57%

Shonan Bellmare or Sanfrecce Hiroshima

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Shonan Bellmare29% Draw48% Sanfrecce Hiroshima23%

Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.3%

0 – 0

9.2%

1 – 0

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

7.4%

2 – 0

6.9%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Shonan Bellmare

Handicap	Shonan Bellmare covers	Push	Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	20%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	18%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.