Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Gamba Osaka H 3–3 D
15 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 0–1 L
08 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Albirex Niigata A 3–3 D
16 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos A 0–2 L
08 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
02 Mar Tokyo Verdy A 1–0 W
26 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Albirex Niigata to score. At the same time, Gamba Osaka does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shu Kurata made 403 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 18' Goal! Motoki Hasegawa scores his 9 goal in 110 matches.
  • 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 28' Deniz Hummet needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 33' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 38' Eiji Miyamoto has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' GOAL! Issam Jebali scores on 43.
  • 46' Jin Okumura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kaito Taniguchi on 46 minute.
  • 51' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 56' Gamba Osaka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
  • 66' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 66 minute. Yuji Ono leaves to be changed by Ken Yamura.
  • 67' Sensational shot from Issam Jebali. Gamba Osaka is back in the lead.
  • 70' Shoji Toyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Alano on 70 minute.
  • 74' What an equalizer from Jin Okumura!
  • 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 80' Takashi Usami has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shu Kurata on 80 minute.
  • 82' What a strike from Ken Yamura! The score is 3-2.
  • 87' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 89' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 89 minute. Kazuhiko Chiba leaves to be changed by Jason Geria.
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Gamba Osaka 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata37% Draw27% Gamba Osaka36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
63%
Albirex Niigata or Gamba Osaka
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw44% Gamba Osaka27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
24%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.