Sunday , 16 August 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 05:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Gamba Osaka H 3–3 D
15 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 0–1 L
08 Mar Tokyo Verdy H 2–2 D
02 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–2 D
26 Feb Kashima Antlers A 1–2 L
22 Feb Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Albirex Niigata A 3–3 D
16 Mar Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–2 L
08 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
02 Mar Tokyo Verdy A 1–0 W
26 Feb Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Feb Avispa Fukuoka H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Denka Big Swan Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Albirex Niigata and Gamba Osaka.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' Hiroki Akiyama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 18' What a moment for Motoki Hasegawa! That strike on 18 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 23' Albirex Niigata are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Albirex Niigata and Gamba Osaka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 33' Kazuhiko Chiba is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Albirex Niigata so far.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Deniz Hummet, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 43' GOAL! Issam Jebali scores on 43.
  • 46' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Kaito Taniguchi has done his job and it is now time for Jin Okumura to step up.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 66' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Yuji Ono departs to be replaced by Ken Yamura.
  • 67' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Issam Jebali makes it 1-2.
  • 70' Shoji Toyama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juan Alano at the 70 minute mark.
  • 74' Jin Okumura makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Albirex Niigata are in front.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 80' A tactical swap from Gamba OsakaTakashi Usami on, Shu Kurata off on 80 minutes.
  • 82' Ken Yamura makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and Albirex Niigata are in front.
  • 87' Over 87 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 89' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 89 minute. Kazuhiko Chiba leaves to be changed by Jason Geria.
  • The final score is 3-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Gamba Osaka 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata37% Draw27% Gamba Osaka36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
63%
Albirex Niigata or Gamba Osaka
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata29% Draw44% Gamba Osaka27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 19% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
24%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.