Gamba Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Mar | Albirex Niigata | A | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Mar | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Mar | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Mar | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | Yokohama FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #13 |
| 28 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 61 | Scored | 42 |
| 53 | Conceded | 33 |
| +8 | GD | +9 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Gamba Osaka and FC Machida Zelvia get this one started.
- 5' Yuta Nakayama has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kosei Tani, as he is very good at scoring at Suita City Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' Gamba Osaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' FC Machida Zelvia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 30.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gamba Osaka needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 43' Yuki Soma makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FC Machida Zelvia are in front.
- 48' FC Machida Zelvia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 53' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 58' Makoto Mitsuta gets the nod from Gamba Osaka. He replaces Tokuma Suzuki and will look to change the dynamic.
- 63' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 69' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Keiya Sento on, Yuki Soma off on 69 minutes.
- 73' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Kanji Kuwayama on, Se-hun Oh off on 73 minutes.
- 78' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
- 79' A moment of madness from Kotaro Hayashi on 79 minutes earns him a card. FC Machida Zelvia will be frustrated.
- 80' The crowd applauds Takashi Usami as he leaves the pitch. Juan Alano steps in for Gamba Osaka.
- 85' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 89' It is a substitution in FC Machida Zelvia team. Hokuto Shimoda is replaced by Shota Fujio on 89 minute.
- 90' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Takuma Nishimura is withdrawn and Mitchell Duke gets his opportunity.
- Another three points for FC Machida Zelvia.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Takashi Usami ↓ Juan Alano 80'
- 11
- 20
- 4
- 6
- 22
- 2
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Makoto Mitsuta 58'
- 3
-
27
Rin Mito ↓ Shu Kurata 90'
- 23
Bench
- 1
- 5
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 80'
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 90'
- 67
- 40
- 15
-
51
Makoto Mitsuta ↑ 58'
- 42
Coach
Dani Poyatos
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↓ Shota Fujio 89'
- 20
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Keiya Sento 69'
- 5
-
16
Hiroyuki Mae ↓ Ryohei Shirasaki 73'
- 50
- 26
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 73'
Bench
- 99
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↑ 73'
- 13
- 4
-
8
Keiya Sento ↑ 69'
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 89'
-
15
Mitchell Duke ↑ 90'
- 6
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 73'
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Welton | 1 |
| Keiya Sento | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Yuki Soma | 1 |
| Deniz Hummet | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.96
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Gamba Osaka or FC Machida Zelvia 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
66%
Gamba Osaka or FC Machida Zelvia
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.3%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 10% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 18% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
15%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.