AC Milan vs Juventus FC, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Juventus FC — Serie A at San Siro.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Juventus FC 38 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Alessandro Giallatini
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Daniele Chiffi
- Referee Ciro Carbone
- Referee Valerio Marini
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | Juventus FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Oct | Chelsea FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Oct | Empoli FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Sep | SSC Napoli | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | H | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | UC Sampdoria | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Maccabi Haifa FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | AC Monza | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Juventus FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 70 | Points | 69 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 19 / 12 / 7 |
| 53 | Scored | 61 |
| 35 | Conceded | 34 |
| +18 | GD | +27 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 53% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Juventus FC are 6th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, Juventus FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Juventus FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' A quiet spell here at San Siro. Juventus FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Leonardo Bonucci is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Juventus FC tonight.
- 26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Juan Cuadrado on 26.
- 31' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and Juventus FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 36' Bremer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 41' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Another substitution for Juventus FC to replace Juan Cuadrado by Weston McKennie on 46 minute.
- 46' Fikayo Tomori does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 54' What a strike from Brahim Diaz! The score is 2-0.
- 55' Brahim Diaz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 55.
- 56' Juventus FC ring the changes. Manuel Locatelli has done his job and it is now time for Leandro Paredes to step up.
- 59' The crowd applauds Tommaso Pobega as he leaves the pitch. Rade Krunic steps in for AC Milan.
- 64' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Olivier Giroud is replaced by Ante Rebic on 64 minute.
- 65' AC Milan make a change. Brahim Diaz trudges off to be replaced by Charles De Ketelaere on 65 minutes.
- 70' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
- 75' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 78' Dusan Vlahovic makes way for Moise Kean at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Juventus FC.
- 80' The crowd applauds Adrien Rabiot as he leaves the pitch. Matias Soule steps in for Juventus FC.
- 84' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Ismael Bennacer by Aster Vranckx on 84 minute.
- 89' Manuel Locatelli has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 384 appearances.
- 90' Sandro Tonali is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Juventus FC will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Olivier Giroud ↓ Ante Rebic 64'
- 10
- 23
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Divock Origi 84'
- 1
- 19
- 8
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Aster Vranckx 84'
- 46
- 20
-
32
Tommaso Pobega ↓ Rade Krunic 59'
Bench
-
27
Divock Origi ↑ 84'
- 7
- 5
-
12
Ante Rebic ↑ 64'
- 83
- 14
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 59'
-
40
Aster Vranckx ↑ 84'
- 21
-
90
Charles De Ketelaere ↑ 65'
- 28
- 96
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Juventus FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
25
Adrien Rabiot ↓ Matias Soule 80'
-
17
Filip Kostic ↓ Fabio Miretti 56'
- 19
- 1
- 12
-
11
Juan Cuadrado ↓ Weston McKennie 46'
- 14
- 3
-
9
Dusan Vlahovic ↓ Moise Kean 78'
- 5
Bench
-
8
Weston McKennie ↑ 46'
- 36
- 23
- 24
-
18
Moise Kean ↑ 78'
-
32
Leandro Paredes ↑ 56'
- 44
-
20
Fabio Miretti ↑ 56'
-
30
Matias Soule ↑ 80'
- 15
Coach
Massimiliano Allegri
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ante Rebic | 3 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 2 |
| Federico Chiesa | 2 |
| Paulo Dybala | 2 |
| Brahim Diaz | 2 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 2 |
| Weston McKennie | 1 |
| Mario Mandzukic | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Juventus FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.32
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
79%
Draw or Juventus FC
48%
AC Milan or Juventus FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Juventus FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Juventus FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.