Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

0 – 1
Full Time
Sun 13 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Ceará SC H 0–1 L
12 Jun Santos FC H 2–3 L
01 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–5 L
25 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Fortaleza EC A 1–0 W
04 Jun Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
01 Jun CA Mineiro H 0–1 L
17 May SC Recife H 2–0 W
12 May Santos FC A 0–0 D
03 May EC Vitoria H 1–0 W

Key Stats

30% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Castelao that hosts another battle between Fortaleza EC and Ceará SC.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Willian Machado is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fortaleza EC so far.
  • 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Pedro Henrique is having his name booked by the referee on 25.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Sasha.
  • 35' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Gustavo is replaced by Diogo Barbosa.
  • 50' Emanuel Britez is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
  • 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 57' GOAL! Antonio Galeano fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 62' Deyverson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Juan Lucero at the 62 minute mark.
  • 63' Marinho is replacing Lucas Sasha for the Fortaleza EC side.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Ceara SC team. Pedro Henrique is replaced by Fernandinho on 68 minute.
  • 73' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' The Ceara SC bench stirs into life. Antonio Galeano is withdrawn and Bruno Tubarao gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Poor challenge from Fernandinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 87' Ceará SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 88' A moment of madness from Fabiano Silva on 88 minutes earns him a card. Ceara SC will be frustrated.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Pedro Raul argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Another change for Ceara SC made on 90 minute. Fabiano Silva leaves to be changed by Rafael Ramos.
  • With this win, Ceará SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Ceará SC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Ceará SC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC30% Draw29% Ceará SC41%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
59%
Draw or Ceará SC
70%
Fortaleza EC or Ceará SC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC22% Draw49% Ceará SC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Ceará SC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 21% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.