Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CR Flamengo, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 5 Nov 2023 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CR Flamengo — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
02 Nov CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
21 Oct EC Bahia A 0–2 L
19 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
08 Oct America FC H 3–2 W
30 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
01 Nov Santos FC H 1–2 L
26 Oct Gremio FBPA A 2–3 L
22 Oct CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
19 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 2–0 W
08 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–1 D

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
CR Flamengo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Flamengo
0-15
7/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Flamengo
Pedro 16 G 6 A
Samuel Lino 9 G 7 A
Jorge Carrascal 5 G 7 A
Lucas Paqueta 5 G
Giorgian De Arrascaeta 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Fortaleza EC and CR Flamengo get this one started.
  • 5' Fortaleza EC have won 352 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Filipe Luis, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and CR Flamengo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' CR Flamengo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 41' It’s a booking for CR Flamengo player. Thiago Maia gets a Yellow card.
  • 42' Imanol Machuca catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 42.
  • 45' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pedro makes it 0-1.
  • 46' Lucas Crispim gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Tomas Pochettino and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Ayrton Lucas has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Filipe Luis. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 62' Controversy at the stadium! Erick Pulgar argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 65' Thiago Galhardo gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Caio Alexandre and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Victor Hugo Gomes gets the nod from CR Flamengo. He replaces Giorgian De Arrascaeta and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 72' Thiago Maia makes way for Rodrigo Caio at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from CR Flamengo.
  • 75' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Marinho has done his job and it is now time for Yago Pikachu to step up.
  • 80' CR Flamengo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 82' Another change for CR Flamengo made on 82 minute. Pedro leaves to be changed by Everton Ribeiro.
  • 87' Luiz Araujo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
  • 88' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Lucas Sasha by Jose Welison on 88 minute.
  • CR Flamengo celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 CR Flamengo xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or CR Flamengo 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC29% Draw28% CR Flamengo43%
Actual: CR Flamengo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
58%
Draw or CR Flamengo
71%
Fortaleza EC or CR Flamengo
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC22% Draw47% CR Flamengo31%
Actual: CR Flamengo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CR Flamengo covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
CR Flamengo keeps clean sheet
32% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.