Tuesday , 29 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
CA Mineiro
Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 82' Junior Alonso

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

4
6
4
Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.9 goals CA Mineiro
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-30 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2025-11-12 CA Mineiro 3–3 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-17 Fortaleza EC 1–1 CA Mineiro 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC 2023-11-02 CA Mineiro 3–1 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–0 W
20 Nov EC Bahia A 3–2 W
12 Nov CA Mineiro A 3–3 D
09 Nov Gremio FBPA H 2–2 D
06 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
CA Mineiro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–1 D
16 Nov RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
12 Nov Fortaleza EC H 3–3 D
08 Nov SC Recife A 4–2 W
05 Nov EC Bahia H 3–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Fortaleza EC launch into their encounter with CA Mineiro.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Fortaleza EC in their trying to find a way past CA Mineiro's compact .
  • 10' The 24-year-old Gaston Avila has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against CA Mineiro's shape.
  • 25' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Alexsander Gomes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 41' Tomas Pochettino has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 41 minutes.
  • 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 65' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Hulk is withdrawn and Gabriel Teixeira gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Yago Pikachu comes on to replace Jose Herrera.
  • 70' Gustavo Scarpa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alexsander Gomes at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' The travelling CA Mineiro supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 76' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Pierre is withdrawn and Matheus Pereira gets his opportunity.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Moises on, Tomas Pochettino off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' Junior Alonso catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 82.
  • 84' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Cadu comes on to replace Guilherme Arana.
  • 89' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Martin Palermo

CA Mineiro Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jorge Sampaoli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hulk 3
Deyverson 3
Paulinho 3
Gabriel Dias 2
Romarinho 2
Tomas Pochettino 2
Juninho 2
Eduardo Vargas 2

Head to Head

2025-11-30 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CA Mineiro 2025-11-12 CA Mineiro 3–3 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-17 Fortaleza EC 1–1 CA Mineiro 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC 2023-11-02 CA Mineiro 3–1 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-11-30 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CA Mineiro W 2025-11-26 RB Bragantino 0–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-11-20 EC Bahia 2–3 Fortaleza EC W 2025-11-12 CA Mineiro 3–3 Fortaleza EC D 2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Gremio FBPA D 2025-11-06 Ceará SC 1–1 Fortaleza EC D

CA Mineiro Form

2025-11-30 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-11-26 CA Mineiro 1–1 CR Flamengo D 2025-11-16 RB Bragantino 2–0 CA Mineiro L 2025-11-12 CA Mineiro 3–3 Fortaleza EC D 2025-11-08 SC Recife 2–4 CA Mineiro W 2025-11-05 CA Mineiro 3–0 EC Bahia W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC47% Draw27% CA Mineiro26%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
74%
Draw or CA Mineiro
53%
Fortaleza EC or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC30% Draw49% CA Mineiro21%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.