Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Recife vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 4
Full Time
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs CA MineiroSerie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–4 L
05 Nov EC Juventude H 0–2 L
02 Nov CR Flamengo A 0–3 L
25 Oct Mirassol FC H 1–2 L
19 Oct SC Internacional A 0–2 L
15 Oct Ceará SC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov SC Recife A 4–2 W
05 Nov EC Bahia H 3–0 W
02 Nov SC Internacional A 0–0 D
25 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
18 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
16 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/
31-45
5/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SC Recife and CA Mineiro get this one started.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' It looks surprising CA Mineiro does not make any changes. Rafael Thyere has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Recife and CA Mineiro are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 18' GOAL! Leo Augusto scores on 18. Assisted by Pablo Felipe
  • 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 28' The 31-year-old Rony has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' CA Mineiro is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 38' A quiet spell here at Ilha do Retiro. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 43' SC Recife currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dudu is hanging Caio Paulista on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Recife and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 59' Hulk has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriel Teixeira on 59 minute.
  • 63' A goal from the Brazil international Leo Augusto! He fires home on 63 to make it 2-0!
  • 65' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Ivan Roman has done his job and it is now time for Alexsander Gomes to step up.
  • 68' GOAL! Hulk fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 70' The Brazil Rony breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 2-2!
  • 72' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matheus Alexandre on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Fresh legs for SC Recife! Romarinho comes on to replace Matheusinho.
  • 81' Magnificent from Alexsander Gomes! That is 1 goals in 387 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 82' A change in the SC Recife ranks — Lucas Kal exits the field as Sergio Oliveira enters on 82.
  • 83' Magnificent from Rony! That is 33 goals in 373 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 89' Ignacio Ramirez is replacing Pablo Felipe for the SC Recife side.
  • 2-4 the final result. SC Recife will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife24% Draw25% CA Mineiro51%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
50%
Draw or CA Mineiro
76%
SC Recife or CA Mineiro
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife20% Draw44% CA Mineiro36%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
18%
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.