Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Recife vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 4
Full Time
Sat 8 Nov 2025 · 19:00 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–4 L
05 Nov EC Juventude H 0–2 L
02 Nov CR Flamengo A 0–3 L
25 Oct Mirassol FC H 1–2 L
19 Oct SC Internacional A 0–2 L
15 Oct Ceará SC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Nov SC Recife A 4–2 W
05 Nov EC Bahia H 3–0 W
02 Nov SC Internacional A 0–0 D
25 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W
18 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
16 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Bernard 5 G 4 A
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SC Recife and CA Mineiro get this one started.
  • 5' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 18' Leo Augusto makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and SC Recife are in front.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Recife and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 33' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Recife and CA Mineiro are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 38' Junior Alonso is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Mineiro so far.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' Caio Paulista makes way for Dudu at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' Hulk gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Gabriel Teixeira and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Leo Augusto makes it 2-0.
  • 65' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Ivan Roman is withdrawn and Alexsander Gomes gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Hulk adds to his 6 season tally! CA Mineiro lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 70' Against the run of play, Rony has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 72' The referee calls foul for Matheus Alexandre. He receives a card.
  • 77' The whistle greets Matheusinho as he departs to be replaced by Romarinho.
  • 81' Sensational shot from Alexsander Gomes. CA Mineiro is back in the lead.
  • 82' Another change for SC Recife made on 82 minute. Lucas Kal leaves to be changed by Sergio Oliveira.
  • 83' Goal! Rony scores his 34 goal in 386 matches.
  • 88' With 3 assists to his name this season, Natanael is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Recife.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Pablo Felipe as he leaves the pitch. Ignacio Ramirez steps in for SC Recife.
  • The points are shared — SC Recife 2-4 CA Mineiro. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife24% Draw25% CA Mineiro51%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
50%
Draw or CA Mineiro
76%
SC Recife or CA Mineiro
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Recife20% Draw44% CA Mineiro36%
Actual: SC Recife win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted
2 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 22% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.