Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | CA Mineiro | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Recife | A | 4–2 | W |
| 05 Nov | EC Bahia | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fortaleza EC and CA Mineiro has kicked off!
- 5' Hulk has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alexsander Gomes made 386 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dudu, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 473 games and scored 472 goals.
- 30' Diogo Barbosa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 41' What a strike from Tomas Pochettino! The score is 1-0.
- 46' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Guilherme Arana suffering a number of foals already.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Everson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 65' Another change for CA Mineiro made on 65 minute. Hulk leaves to be changed by Gabriel Teixeira.
- 67' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Jose Herrera departs to be replaced by Yago Pikachu.
- 70' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Alexsander Gomes by Gustavo Scarpa on 70 minute.
- 75' CA Mineiro seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 76' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Pierre is replaced by Matheus Pereira.
- 77' Moises is replacing Tomas Pochettino for the Fortaleza EC side.
- 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Junior Alonso on 82.
- 84' CA Mineiro manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cadu is hanging Guilherme Arana on the field on 84 minute.
- 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
- Full Time. Fortaleza EC beats CA Mineiro
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Moises 77'
- 88
- 33
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↓ Deyverson 67'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Lucas Crispim 67'
- 14
-
30
Pierre ↓ Matheus Pereira 76'
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Yago Pikachu 67'
- 12
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 67'
- 20
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 67'
- 23
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↑ 76'
- 13
- 9
- 2
- 36
-
91
Lucas Crispim ↑ 67'
-
96
Moises ↑ 77'
- 34
Coach
Martin Palermo
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 17
- 92
-
11
Bernard ↓ Gabriel Menino 84'
- 6
-
13
Guilherme Arana ↓ Cadu 84'
- 14
-
16
Ruan ↓ Renzo Saravia 70'
- 21
-
7
Hulk ↓ Gabriel Teixeira 65'
- 5
Bench
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↑ 70'
- 38
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↑ 70'
- 8
- 18
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 84'
- 2
-
77
Gabriel Teixeira ↑ 65'
- 1
-
42
Cadu ↑ 84'
- 23
- 31
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Paulinho | 3 |
| Hulk | 3 |
| Deyverson | 3 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Eduardo Vargas | 2 |
| Gabriel Dias | 2 |
| Romarinho | 2 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
74%
Draw or CA Mineiro
53%
Fortaleza EC or CA Mineiro
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | CA Mineiro covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 21% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.