Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 21:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
26 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–0 W
20 Nov EC Bahia A 3–2 W
12 Nov CA Mineiro A 3–3 D
09 Nov Gremio FBPA H 2–2 D
06 Nov Ceará SC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Nov Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
26 Nov CR Flamengo H 1–1 D
16 Nov RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
12 Nov Fortaleza EC H 3–3 D
08 Nov SC Recife A 4–2 W
05 Nov EC Bahia H 3–0 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Bernard 5 G 4 A
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Fortaleza EC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Guilherme Arana made 427 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Mineiro backline.
  • 25' Brazil international Diogo Barbosa has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' Gabriel Teixeira has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 401 appearances.
  • 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 40' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 41' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tomas Pochettino makes it 1-0.
  • 46' Ruan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 51' Bernard needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jorge Sampaoli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 65' Another substitution for CA Mineiro to replace Hulk by Gabriel Teixeira on 65 minute.
  • 67' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Jose Herrera departs to be replaced by Yago Pikachu.
  • 70' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Alexsander Gomes has done his job and it is now time for Gustavo Scarpa to step up.
  • 75' CA Mineiro come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 76' Fortaleza EC make a change. Pierre trudges off to be replaced by Matheus Pereira on 76 minutes.
  • 77' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Moises is hanging Tomas Pochettino on the field on 77 minute.
  • 82' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 84' A tactical swap from CA Mineiro — Cadu on, Guilherme Arana off on 84 minutes.
  • 89' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and CA Mineiro are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • CA Mineiro will have plenty to reflect on. Fortaleza EC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 CA Mineiro xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC47% Draw27% CA Mineiro26%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
74%
Draw or CA Mineiro
53%
Fortaleza EC or CA Mineiro
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC30% Draw49% CA Mineiro21%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push CA Mineiro covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 21% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.