Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024

Fortaleza EC

1 – 1

Full Time

CA Mineiro

Thu 17 Oct 2024 · 00:45 UTC Castelao 23,046 HT 45' · FT 45'

Marinho 15' 1–0

1–1 48' Fausto Vera

Bruno Pacheco 53' Y

Marinho 59' R

Y 60' Brahian Palacios

Y 82' Vitinho

Tinga 83' R

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro — Serie A at Castelao.

Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

Fortaleza EC 14 games · Avg 2.9 goals CA Mineiro

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-17 Fortaleza EC 1–1 CA Mineiro 2024-06-23 CA Mineiro 1–1 Fortaleza EC 2023-11-02 CA Mineiro 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2023-06-24 Fortaleza EC 2–1 CA Mineiro 2022-10-24 Fortaleza EC 0–0 CA Mineiro

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Oct	CA Mineiro	H	1–1	D
05 Oct	Grêmio FBPA	A	1–3	L
29 Sep	Cuiaba EC	H	1–0	W
22 Sep	EC Bahia	H	4–1	W
14 Sep	CA Paranaense	A	1–1	D
11 Sep	SC Internacional	A	1–2	L

CA Mineiro

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Oct	Fortaleza EC	A	1–1	D
09 Oct	Grêmio FBPA	H	2–1	W
05 Oct	EC Vitoria	H	2–2	D
28 Sep	SE Palmeiras	A	1–2	L
25 Sep	Fluminense FC	H	2–0	W
22 Sep	RB Bragantino	H	3–0	W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro

0-15

2/2

16-30

4/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro

Victor Hugo Gomes

3 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Fortaleza EC vs CA Mineiro — let the football do the talking.
5' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
15' A stunning finish from Marinho — that came from absolutely nowhere!
20' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
25' Brahian Palacios is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for CA Mineiro tonight.
30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 473 games and scored 472 goals.
35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
40' Titi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
45' A quiet spell here at Castelao. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
48' GOAL! Fausto Vera scores on 48. Assisted by Brahian Palacios
53' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
58' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
59' A moment of madness from Marinho on 59 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
60' The referee has no hesitation. Brahian Palacios is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 60.
65' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
67' Breno Lopes gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Juan Lucero and will look to change the dynamic.
68' Leandro Martinez makes way for Yago Pikachu at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
73' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Juan Lucero made 147 appearances and scored 37 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
76' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Renato Kayzer on, Alisson Santana off on 76 minutes.
80' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Igor Gomes is withdrawn and Gustavo Scarpa gets his opportunity.
82' Vitinho is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
83' Controversy at the stadium! Tinga argues furiously but the card stands.
85' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Renato Kayzer is replaced by Jose Welison.
86' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 86 minute. Vitinho leaves to be changed by Pedro Augusto.
The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

CA Mineiro Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Deyverson	3
Paulinho	3
Hulk	3
Gabriel Dias	2
Romarinho	2
Tomas Pochettino	2
Juninho	2
Eduardo Vargas	2

Head to Head

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-10-17 Fortaleza EC 1–1 CA Mineiro D 2024-10-05 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC L 2024-09-29 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Cuiaba EC W 2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia W 2024-09-14 CA Paranaense 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-09-11 SC Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC L

CA Mineiro Form

2024-10-17 Fortaleza EC 1–1 CA Mineiro D 2024-10-09 CA Mineiro 2–1 Grêmio FBPA W 2024-10-05 CA Mineiro 2–2 EC Vitoria D 2024-09-28 SE Palmeiras 2–1 CA Mineiro L 2024-09-25 CA Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-09-22 CA Mineiro 3–0 RB Bragantino W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.36 Fortaleza EC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 CA Mineiro xG

I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Fortaleza EC43% Draw29% CA Mineiro28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw

72%

Draw or CA Mineiro

57%

Fortaleza EC or CA Mineiro

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Fortaleza EC30% Draw50% CA Mineiro20%

Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

11.3%

1 – 0

11.3%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

8.3%

2 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

4.7%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap	Fortaleza EC covers	Push	CA Mineiro covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	22%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.