Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 2 Nov 2023 · 00:30 UTC ARENA MRV HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Fortaleza EC H 3–1 W
29 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
25 Oct RB Bragantino A 2–1 W
22 Oct Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
19 Oct SE Palmeiras A 2–0 W
08 Oct Coritiba FBC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
21 Oct EC Bahia A 0–2 L
19 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
08 Oct America FC H 3–2 W
30 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. CA Mineiro get us underway at ARENA MRV.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Juan Vojvoda might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CA Mineiro needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Lucas Crispim, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 16' Paulinho doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their trying to find a way past Fortaleza EC's compact .
  • 36' Brazil international Otavio has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 44' A goal from the Argentina international Juan Lucero! He fires home on 44 to make it 1-1!
  • 49' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 51' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Gonzalo Escobar.
  • 56' Against the run of play, Paulinho has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 61' A goal from the Brazil international Hulk! He fires home on 61 to make it 3-1!
  • 66' A quiet spell here at ARENA MRV. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 67' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Gonzalo Escobar exits the field as Dudu enters on 67.
  • 72' Fortaleza EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 77' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fortaleza EC backline.
  • 78' Lucas Crispim gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Tomas Pochettino and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Fortaleza EC make a change. Thiago Galhardo trudges off to be replaced by Imanol Machuca on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Tobias Figueiredo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 85' Fresh legs for CA Mineiro! Edenilson comes on to replace Paulinho.
  • 89' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Pedro Rocha.
  • 90' Matias Zaracho makes way for Igor Gomes at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from CA Mineiro.
  • The points are shared — CA Mineiro 3-1 Fortaleza EC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.6 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro53% Draw26% Fortaleza EC21%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
79%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
47%
CA Mineiro or Fortaleza EC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro35% Draw47% Fortaleza EC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.