Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 2 Nov 2023 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 49' William
Y 56' Anderson
R 56' Anderson
Y 74' Papagaio

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Cruzeiro EC — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 1–0 W
29 Oct CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
25 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–5 L
21 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
19 Oct Goiás EC A 0–2 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov São Paulo FC A 0–1 L
25 Oct EC Bahia H 3–0 W
22 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–0 W
19 Oct CR Flamengo H 0–2 L
15 Oct Cuiaba EC A 0–0 D
01 Oct America FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Cruzeiro EC
#11 Position #6
36 Points 45
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 13 / 6 / 9
32 Scored 42
30 Conceded 40
+2 GD +2
1.33 PPG 1.61
37% Win % 46%

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
15% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Cruzeiro EC are 6th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
3/6
31-45
6/5
46-60
5/2
61-75
6/2
76+
10/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Cruzeiro EC
Matheus Pereira 9 G 4 A
Kaio Jorge 7 G 1 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Morumbi!
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Cruzeiro EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 25' James Rodriguez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Helibelton Palacios has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 88 appearances.
  • 35' Cruzeiro EC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' David has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 45' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for William on 49.
  • 54' Sao Paulo FC is showing some good football. However, Sao Paulo FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 56' Controversy at the stadium! Anderson argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. James Rodriguez is replaced by Luciano.
  • 62' Cruzeiro EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 67' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ferreira scoring 3 goals.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Cruzeiro EC — Papagaio on, Arthur Gomes off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' Poor challenge from Lucas Beraldo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 74' Cruzeiro EC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 74.
  • 79' Cruzeiro EC make a change. Lucas Silva trudges off to be replaced by Wesley on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Wellington Rato is replaced by Juan Santos.
  • 84' The Brazil Luciano breaks the deadlock on 84 minutes. 1-0!
  • 88' Another change for Cruzeiro EC made on 88 minute. Machado leaves to be changed by Robert.
  • 90' Diego Costa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alisson at the 90 minute mark.
  • The points are shared — Sao Paulo FC 1-0 Cruzeiro EC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Cruzeiro EC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC47% Draw31% Cruzeiro EC22%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Cruzeiro EC
53%
São Paulo FC or Cruzeiro EC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC30% Draw55% Cruzeiro EC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
1.3%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Cruzeiro EC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.