Saturday , 26 September 2026

CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Arena da Baixada HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 18' Pablo Maia
Y 24' Erison
Y 55' Nathan
Hugo Moura 57' Y
Y 69' Luciano

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct São Paulo FC H 1–1 D
25 Oct America FC H 3–2 W
22 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–1 D
18 Oct Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
08 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
01 Oct Coritiba FBC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
25 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–5 L
21 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
19 Oct Goiás EC A 0–2 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
30 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense São Paulo FC
#3 Position #11
49 Points 36
28 Played 27
14 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
43 Scored 32
32 Conceded 30
+11 GD +2
1.75 PPG 1.33
50% Win % 37%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 18 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 4 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Arena da Baixada!
  • 5' Vitor Bueno needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
  • 6' GOAL! Pablo Felipe scores on 6. Assisted by Vitor Bueno
  • 7' Goal! Pablo Felipe scores his 53 goal in 380 matches.
  • 10' Pablo Maia has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 10 minutes.
  • 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 18' The referee has no hesitation. Pablo Maia is booked for Sao Paulo FC — Yellow card on 18.
  • 23' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 24' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Erison gets a Yellow card.
  • 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Erick suffering a number of foals already.
  • 34' CA Paranaense is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
  • 44' The 26-year-old Rodrigo Nestor has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 49' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 54' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Nathan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 55' Nathan picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Hugo Moura. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 58' Michel Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alisson on 58 minute.
  • 63' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 68' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 69' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Luciano on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 74 minute. Luciano leaves to be changed by James Rodriguez.
  • 78' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Bruno Zapelli is replaced by Romulo Cruz.
  • 83' Brazil international Bento has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 85' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Luciano Arriagada on, Hugo Moura off on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Juan Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rodrigo Nestor on 89 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Rafael Monteiro on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense46% Draw28% São Paulo FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
74%
Draw or São Paulo FC
54%
CA Paranaense or São Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense32% Draw48% São Paulo FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.