CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.
- CA Paranaense 28 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | America FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Oct | Botafogo FR | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Oct | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Coritiba FBC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct | CA Paranaense | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–5 | L |
| 21 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Goiás EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Paranaense | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 49 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 14 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 43 | Scored | 32 |
| 32 | Conceded | 30 |
| +11 | GD | +2 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 50% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
CA Paranaense this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Paranaense
| Kevin Viveros | 18 G | 3 A |
| Stiven Mendoza | 5 G | 1 A |
| Leozinho | 4 G | |
| Julimar | 3 G | 1 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Arena da Baixada!
- 5' Vitor Bueno needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
- 6' GOAL! Pablo Felipe scores on 6. Assisted by Vitor Bueno
- 7' Goal! Pablo Felipe scores his 53 goal in 380 matches.
- 10' Pablo Maia has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 10 minutes.
- 15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Paranaense side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 18' The referee has no hesitation. Pablo Maia is booked for Sao Paulo FC — Yellow card on 18.
- 23' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 24' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Erison gets a Yellow card.
- 29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Erick suffering a number of foals already.
- 34' CA Paranaense is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
- 44' The 26-year-old Rodrigo Nestor has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
- 49' Both keepers have barely been tested. CA Paranaense and Sao Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 54' It looks surprising CA Paranaense does not make any changes. Nathan has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 55' Nathan picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 57' The referee calls foul for Hugo Moura. He receives a Yellow card.
- 58' Michel Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alisson on 58 minute.
- 63' A quiet spell here at Arena da Baixada. CA Paranaense seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 68' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 69' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Luciano on 69 minutes.
- 74' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 74 minute. Luciano leaves to be changed by James Rodriguez.
- 78' Time for substitution for CA Paranaense. Bruno Zapelli is replaced by Romulo Cruz.
- 83' Brazil international Bento has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 85' A tactical swap from CA Paranaense — Luciano Arriagada on, Hugo Moura off on 85 minutes.
- 89' Juan Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rodrigo Nestor on 89 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Rafael Monteiro on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
CA Paranaense Lineups
Starting XI
- 25
- 44
- 92
- 28
-
17
Hugo Moura ↓ Luciano Arriagada 85'
- 26
-
10
Bruno Zapelli ↓ Romulo Cruz 78'
- 1
- 37
- 8
- 14
Bench
- 11
- 4
-
32
Luciano Arriagada ↑ 85'
- 19
- 21
- 21
-
35
Romulo Cruz ↑ 78'
- 24
- 42
- 87
- –
- –
Coach
Wesley Carvalho
São Paulo FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Alisson ↓ Michel Araujo 58'
-
10
Luciano ↓ James Rodriguez 74'
- 28
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Juan Santos 89'
- 6
- 27
- 29
- 4
- 49
- 23
- 45
Bench
-
22
David ↑ 74'
- 93
- 38
-
19
James Rodriguez ↑ 74'
- 21
-
3
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 89'
- 37
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 58'
- 35
- 20
- 34
-
31
Juan Santos ↑ 89'
Coach
Dorival Júnior
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 5 |
| Pablo Felipe | 4 |
| Luciano | 3 |
| Pablo Felipe | 2 |
| Renato Kayzer | 2 |
| Leozinho | 2 |
| Vitor Bueno | 1 |
| Nene | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Paranaense Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.48
CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
CA Paranaense or Draw
74%
Draw or São Paulo FC
54%
CA Paranaense or São Paulo FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense
| Handicap | CA Paranaense covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

