CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2023

CA Paranaense

1 – 1

Full Time

São Paulo FC

Sun 29 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Arena da Baixada HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 18' Pablo Maia

Y 24' Erison

Y 55' Nathan

Hugo Moura 57' Y

Y 69' Luciano

Y 90' Rafael Monteiro

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena da Baixada.

CA Paranaense 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	34	76
2	SE Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro EC	34	60
4	Fluminense FC	34	57
5	CA Paranaense	34	54
6	EC Bahia	34	53
7	CA Mineiro	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos FC	34	47
10	São Paulo FC	34	44
11	Botafogo FR	34	42
12	Coritiba FBC	34	42
13	CR Vasco da Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol FC	34	40
15	SC Internacional	34	38
16	EC Vitoria	34	38
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	34	37
18	Gremio FBPA	34	37
19	Clube do Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense AF	33	21

Head-to-Head

CA Paranaense 15 games · Avg 1.9 goals São Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-29 CA Paranaense 1–1 São Paulo FC 2023-06-21 São Paulo FC 2–1 CA Paranaense 2022-07-31 CA Paranaense 1–0 São Paulo FC 2022-04-10 São Paulo FC 4–0 CA Paranaense 2021-11-25 São Paulo FC 0–0 CA Paranaense

Recent Form

CA Paranaense

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	São Paulo FC	H	1–1	D
25 Oct	América FC	H	3–2	W
22 Oct	Botafogo FR	A	1–1	D
18 Oct	Gremio FBPA	A	2–1	W
08 Oct	RB Bragantino	H	1–1	D
01 Oct	Coritiba FBC	A	0–2	L

São Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Oct	CA Paranaense	A	1–1	D
25 Oct	SE Palmeiras	A	0–5	L
21 Oct	Gremio FBPA	H	3–0	W
19 Oct	Goiás EC	A	0–2	L
07 Oct	CR Vasco da Gama	A	0–0	D
30 Sep	SC Corinthians Paulista	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense		São Paulo FC
#5	Position	#10
54	Points	44
34	Played	34
15 / 9 / 10	W / D / L	12 / 8 / 14
51	Scored	39
43	Conceded	39
+8	GD	+0
1.59	PPG	1.29
44%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season

26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

CA Paranaense are 5th (54 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense

0-15

7/6

16-30

5/6

31-45

6/4

46-60

6/1

61-75

3/6

76+

8/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

São Paulo FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

8/6

46-60

–/11

61-75

7/2

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense

Kevin Viveros	21 G	3 A
Stiven Mendoza	6 G	1 A
Leozinho	5 G
Julimar	3 G	1 A

São Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	10 G	2 A
Luciano	9 G	1 A
Artur Guimaraes	4 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. CA Paranaense kicks off things out of here…
5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with CA Paranaense winning 100% of all matches.
6' Pablo Felipe puts CA Paranaense on the lead.
7' Brilliant from the ! Pablo Felipe makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 7.
10' Pablo Maia doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
15' CA Paranaense currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
18' Sao Paulo FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
23' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
24' Controversy at the stadium! Erison argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Dorival Júnior might look to freshen things up shortly.
34' CA Paranaense are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against São Paulo FC's shape.
39' With 1 assists to his name this season, Nathan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CA Paranaense.
44' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined São Paulo FC backline.
49' Bento has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
54' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
55' Poor challenge from Nathan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
57' Hugo Moura catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 57.
58' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Alisson departs to be replaced by Michel Araujo.
63' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. São Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
68' São Paulo FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
69' Sao Paulo FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
74' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Rodriguez is hanging Luciano on the field on 74 minute.
78' The CA Paranaense manager makes a substitution. Bruno Zapelli departs to be replaced by Romulo Cruz.
83' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 387 games and scored 422 goals.
85' Luciano Arriagada has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hugo Moura on 85 minute.
89' Juan Santos is replacing Rodrigo Nestor for the Sao Paulo FC side.
90' Rafael Monteiro is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

CA Paranaense Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Wesley Carvalho

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

25
Alisson ↓ Michel Araujo 58'
10
Luciano ↓ James Rodriguez 74'
28
Alan Franco
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Juan Santos 89'
6
Welington
27
Wellington Rato ↓ Nahuel Ferraresi 89'
29
Pablo Maia
4
Diego Costa
49
Erison ↓ David 74'
23
Rafael Monteiro
45
Nathan

Bench

22
David ↑ 74'
93
Jandrei
38
Caio Paulista
19
James Rodriguez ↑ 74'
21
Jhegson Mendez
3
Nahuel Ferraresi ↑ 89'
37
Talles Costa
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 58'
35
Lucas Beraldo
20
Gabriel Neves
34
Rai Ramos
31
Juan Santos ↑ 89'

Coach Dorival Júnior

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jonathan Calleri	5
Pablo Felipe	4
Luciano	3
Renato Kayzer	2
Leozinho	2
Pablo Felipe	2
Ferreira	1
Tche Tche	1

Head to Head

CA Paranaense Form

2023-10-29 CA Paranaense 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2023-10-25 CA Paranaense 3–2 América FC W 2023-10-22 Botafogo FR 1–1 CA Paranaense D 2023-10-18 Gremio FBPA 1–2 CA Paranaense W 2023-10-08 CA Paranaense 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2023-10-01 Coritiba FBC 2–0 CA Paranaense L

São Paulo FC Form

2023-10-29 CA Paranaense 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2023-10-25 SE Palmeiras 5–0 São Paulo FC L 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA W 2023-10-19 Goiás EC 2–0 São Paulo FC L 2023-10-07 CR Vasco da Gama 0–0 São Paulo FC D 2023-09-30 São Paulo FC 2–1 SC Corinthians Paulista W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.48 CA Paranaense xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.07 São Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

CA Paranaense45% Draw28% São Paulo FC27%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.55

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw

73%

Draw or São Paulo FC

55%

CA Paranaense or São Paulo FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CA Paranaense32% Draw48% São Paulo FC20%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10.5%

0 – 0

9.8%

2 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

8.3%

0 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

6.4%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.4%

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap	CA Paranaense covers	Push	São Paulo FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	22%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	16%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.