Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Fluminense FC

2 – 1

Full Time

São Paulo FC

Sat 16 May 2026 · 22:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'

John Kennedy 19' 1–0

Agustin Canobbio 44' 2–0

2–1 79' Matheus Doria

Y 30' Andre Silva

Y 67' Artur Guimaraes

Y 76' Enzo Diaz

Facundo Bernal 86' Y

Y 90' Damian Bobadilla

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Maracana.

Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	34	76
2	SE Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro EC	34	60
4	Fluminense FC	34	57
5	CA Paranaense	34	54
6	EC Bahia	34	53
7	CA Mineiro	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos FC	34	47
10	São Paulo FC	34	44
11	Botafogo FR	34	42
12	Coritiba FBC	34	42
13	CR Vasco da Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol FC	34	40
15	SC Internacional	34	38
16	EC Vitoria	34	38
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	34	37
18	Gremio FBPA	34	37
19	Clube do Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense AF	33	21

Head-to-Head

Fluminense FC 20 games · Avg 2.8 goals São Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 São Paulo FC 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 São Paulo FC 2025-07-27 São Paulo FC 3–1 Fluminense FC 2024-09-01 Fluminense FC 2–0 São Paulo FC 2024-05-13 São Paulo FC 2–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	São Paulo FC	H	2–1	W
09 May	EC Vitoria	H	2–2	D
03 May	SC Internacional	A	0–2	L
26 Apr	Chapecoense AF	H	2–1	W
19 Apr	Santos FC	A	3–2	W
12 Apr	CR Flamengo	H	1–2	L

São Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 May	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
10 May	SC Corinthians Paulista	A	2–3	L
03 May	EC Bahia	H	2–2	D
26 Apr	Mirassol FC	H	1–0	W
18 Apr	CR Vasco da Gama	A	1–2	L
11 Apr	EC Vitoria	A	0–2	L

Season Stats

Fluminense FC		São Paulo FC
#4	Position	#10
57	Points	44
34	Played	34
16 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	12 / 8 / 14
55	Scored	39
42	Conceded	39
+13	GD	+0
1.68	PPG	1.29
47%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

6/1

31-45

6/5

46-60

4/9

61-75

5/6

76+

18/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

São Paulo FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

8/6

46-60

–/11

61-75

7/2

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Hulk	7 G	6 A
Jefferson Savarino	7 G	2 A
Luciano Acosta	6 G	5 A
Agustin Canobbio	6 G	4 A

São Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	10 G	2 A
Luciano	9 G	1 A
Artur Guimaraes	4 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Fluminense FC get us underway at Maracana.
5' Juan Freytes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 189 appearances.
10' Nonato is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
15' The 28-year-old Agustin Canobbio has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
19' Against the run of play, John Kennedy has scored! This game has turned on its head.
20' The deadlock is broken! John Kennedy gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
25' São Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
30' The referee calls foul for Andre Silva. He receives a card.
35' Venezuela international Jefferson Savarino has been a key figure this campaign — 6 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hercules is clearly more than just a goal scorer for São Paulo FC.
44' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Agustin Canobbio makes it 3-0.
45' What a moment for Agustin Canobbio! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
50' São Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
55' Fabio needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
60' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Zubeldía might look to freshen things up shortly.
65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andre Silva made 332 appearances and scored 41 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
67' The referee calls foul for Artur Guimaraes. He receives a card.
72' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
76' Enzo Diaz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
79' Matheus Doria adds to his 1 season tally! Sao Paulo FC lead 4-1 — and this changes everything.
84' Guga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 1 cards already picked up this season.
86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Facundo Bernal.
90' Damian Bobadilla is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

São Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Roger Machado

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
German Cano	4
Brenner	3
Agustin Canobbio	3
Reinaldo	3
Luciano Neves	2
Luciano	2
Robert Arboleda	2
John Kennedy	2

Head to Head

Fluminense FC Form

2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 São Paulo FC W 2026-05-09 Fluminense FC 2–2 EC Vitoria D 2026-05-03 SC Internacional 2–0 Fluminense FC L 2026-04-26 Fluminense FC 2–1 Chapecoense AF W 2026-04-19 Santos FC 2–3 Fluminense FC W 2026-04-12 Fluminense FC 1–2 CR Flamengo L

São Paulo FC Form

2026-05-16 Fluminense FC 2–1 São Paulo FC L 2026-05-10 SC Corinthians Paulista 3–2 São Paulo FC L 2026-05-03 São Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia D 2026-04-26 São Paulo FC 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-04-18 CR Vasco da Gama 2–1 São Paulo FC L 2026-04-11 EC Vitoria 2–0 São Paulo FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.94 Fluminense FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.16 São Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Fluminense FC55% Draw23% São Paulo FC22%

Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw

79%

Draw or São Paulo FC

45%

Fluminense FC or São Paulo FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Fluminense FC39% Draw42% São Paulo FC19%

Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.4%

1 – 0

0 – 0

6.1%

3 – 1

6.1%

1 – 2

5.7%

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

5.3%

0 – 1

4.5%

3 – 2

3.6%

0 – 2

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap	Fluminense FC covers	Push	São Paulo FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	17%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	22%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	13%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.