Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 46 | Conceded | 38 |
| -5 | GD | +10 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
31%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/5
61-75
5/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 4 G |
| Pablo Sabbag | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds City Light Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Fagiano Okayama FC and Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 20' Fagiano Okayama FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Lucao on 20.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fagiano Okayama FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 32' Goal! Ryunosuke Sato scores his 9 goal in 450 matches.
- 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Papas will be considering his options from the bench.
- 42' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Takaya Kimura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hiroto Iwabuchi at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Fagiano Okayama FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 55' Svend Brodersen has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
- 57' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Goro Kawanami comes on to replace Masaya Matsumoto.
- 62' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 63' The deadlock is broken! Rafael Ratao gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
- 68' Werik is replacing Lucao for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 70' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masaya Shibayama is hanging Shion Homma on the field on 70 minute.
- 73' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niko Takahashi is hanging Ayumu Ohata on the field on 73 minute.
- 76' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Ataru Esaka exits the field as Kazunari Ichimi enters on 76.
- 81' Reiya Sakata has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 382 appearances.
- 85' Time for substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC. Thiago Andrade is replaced by Reiya Sakata.
- 90' Ryosuke Shindo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- With this win, Cerezo Osaka FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 76'
- 28
- 33
- 39
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Tabei 68'
- 99
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 46'
Bench
-
77
Goro Kawanami ↑ 57'
- 88
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 76'
-
98
Werik ↑ 68'
- 50
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 46'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 68'
- 3
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 13
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Niko Takahashi 73'
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 85'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 85'
-
19
Shion Homma ↓ Masaya Shibayama 70'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 85'
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 85'
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 85'
- 55
- 31
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 85'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 70'
- 29
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 73'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-10-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tōkyō Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
69%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 19% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.