Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 46 | Conceded | 38 |
| -5 | GD | +10 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fagiano Okayama FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Fagiano Okayama FC in their trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact .
- 20' Lucao has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
- 25' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 32' The Japan midfielder Ryunosuke Sato breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 2-0!
- 37' Cerezo Osaka FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Yumeki Yokoyama scoring 2 goals.
- 42' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 396 goals from 369 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Takaya Kimura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroto Iwabuchi on 46 minute.
- 51' Thiago Andrade has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 289 appearances.
- 55' The referee calls foul for Svend Brodersen. He receives a card.
- 57' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Masaya Matsumoto exits the field as Goro Kawanami enters on 57.
- 62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 63' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rafael Ratao makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 68' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Lucao departs to be replaced by Werik.
- 70' Masaya Shibayama gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Shion Homma and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Ayumu Ohata trudges off to be replaced by Niko Takahashi on 73 minutes.
- 76' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 76 minute. Ataru Esaka leaves to be changed by Kazunari Ichimi.
- 81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 85' Reiya Sakata gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Thiago Andrade and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' The referee shows Cerezo Osaka FC player a card on 90.
- 1-2 the final result. Fagiano Okayama FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 76'
- 28
- 33
- 39
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Tabei 68'
- 99
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 46'
Bench
-
77
Goro Kawanami ↑ 57'
- 88
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 76'
-
98
Werik ↑ 68'
- 50
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 46'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 68'
- 3
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 13
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Niko Takahashi 73'
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 85'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 85'
-
19
Shion Homma ↓ Masaya Shibayama 70'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 85'
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 85'
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 85'
- 55
- 31
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 85'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 70'
- 29
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 73'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Satoki Uejo | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-10-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tokyo Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
69%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 19% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.