Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 46 | Conceded | 38 |
| -5 | GD | +10 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Cerezo Osaka FC
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 3 G |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Cerezo Osaka FC's shape.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hiroto Iwabuchi, as he is very good at scoring at City Light Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 20' Goal! Lucao scores his 7 goal in 61 matches.
- 25' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryunosuke Sato made 442 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 32' Ryunosuke Sato doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 37' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Hiroto Iwabuchi is withdrawn and Takaya Kimura gets his opportunity.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Niko Takahashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 55' Svend Brodersen has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
- 57' Goro Kawanami is replacing Masaya Matsumoto for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 62' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 63' The Brazil Rafael Ratao breaks the deadlock on 63 minutes. 2-1!
- 68' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Werik is hanging Lucao on the field on 68 minute.
- 70' The Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes a substitution. Shion Homma departs to be replaced by Masaya Shibayama.
- 73' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Ayumu Ohata by Niko Takahashi on 73 minute.
- 76' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Ataru Esaka is replaced by Kazunari Ichimi on 76 minute.
- 81' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 85' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Thiago Andrade trudges off to be replaced by Reiya Sakata on 85 minutes.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Ryosuke Shindo is booked for Cerezo Osaka FC — card on 90.
- The final score is 1-2.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 76'
- 28
- 33
- 39
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Tabei 68'
- 99
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 46'
Bench
-
77
Goro Kawanami ↑ 57'
- 88
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 76'
-
98
Werik ↑ 68'
- 50
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 46'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 68'
- 3
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 13
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Niko Takahashi 73'
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 85'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 85'
-
19
Shion Homma ↓ Masaya Shibayama 70'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 85'
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 85'
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 85'
- 55
- 31
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 85'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 70'
- 29
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 73'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 2 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Satoki Uejo | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-10-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tōkyō Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
69%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 19% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.