Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Sep | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 4–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 26 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 41 | Scored | 48 |
| 46 | Conceded | 38 |
| -5 | GD | +10 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at City Light Stadium as Fagiano Okayama FC face off against Cerezo Osaka FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC have won 51 goals from 56 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Goal! Lucao scores his 6 goal in 56 matches.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 32' What composure from Ryunosuke Sato! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 46' Takaya Kimura gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Hiroto Iwabuchi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 55' The referee shows Fagiano Okayama FC player a card on 55.
- 57' Goro Kawanami is replacing Masaya Matsumoto for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 62' Motohiko Nakajima is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
- 63' Against the run of play, Rafael Ratao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 68' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Lucao by Werik on 68 minute.
- 70' Masaya Shibayama gets the nod from Cerezo Osaka FC. He replaces Shion Homma and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' The whistle greets Ayumu Ohata as he departs to be replaced by Niko Takahashi.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Kazunari Ichimi. He replaces Ataru Esaka on 76 minute.
- 81' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 85' Another substitution for Cerezo Osaka FC to replace Thiago Andrade by Reiya Sakata on 85 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ryosuke Shindo.
- The points are shared — Fagiano Okayama FC 1-2 Cerezo Osaka FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 43
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 76'
- 28
- 33
- 39
-
41
Eiji Miyamoto ↓ Ryo Tabei 68'
- 99
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Takaya Kimura 46'
Bench
-
77
Goro Kawanami ↑ 57'
- 88
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 76'
-
98
Werik ↑ 68'
- 50
- 26
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 46'
-
14
Ryo Tabei ↑ 68'
- 3
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 44
- 9
- 13
-
66
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Niko Takahashi 73'
- 10
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 85'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Reiya Sakata 85'
-
19
Shion Homma ↓ Masaya Shibayama 70'
-
16
Hayato Okuda ↓ Dion Cools 85'
- 1
Bench
-
27
Dion Cools ↑ 85'
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 85'
- 55
- 31
- 21
-
17
Reiya Sakata ↑ 85'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 70'
- 29
-
22
Niko Takahashi ↑ 73'
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryunosuke Sato | 2 |
| Yumeki Yokoyama | 2 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 2 |
| Rafael Ratao | 2 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Satoki Uejo | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-10-18
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2025-10-04
Albirex Niigata
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-09-27
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–0
Yokohama FC
D
2025-09-20
Tokyo Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
69%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Cerezo Osaka FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 14% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 19% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.