Tōkyō Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tōkyō Verdy vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tōkyō Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Yokohama FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 2–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Tōkyō Verdy | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 28 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 29 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 46 |
| -3 | GD | -5 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Tōkyō Verdy this season
Tōkyō Verdy this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Tōkyō Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tōkyō Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Tōkyō Verdy and Fagiano Okayama FC get this one started.
- 5' Werik has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 254 appearances.
- 8' What composure from Itsuki Someno! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 13' Hiroto Iwabuchi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Tōkyō Verdy so far.
- 18' Masaya Matsumoto has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 23' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 28' A quiet spell here at Ajinomoto Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
- 37' Ataru Esaka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 37 minutes.
- 42' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' Fagiano Okayama FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' The whistle greets Yuta Arai as he departs to be replaced by Yuya Fukuda.
- 48' Kazunari Ichimi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 49' A stunning finish from Hayato Hirao — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 54' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 59' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 63' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Ataru Esaka exits the field as Hiroto Iwabuchi enters on 63.
- 68' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 57 games and scored 52 goals.
- 69' A goal from the Japan international Yuya Fukuda! He fires home on 69 to make it 0-5!
- 73' Werik is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hijiri Kato at the 73 minute mark.
- 74' Tokyo Verdy make a change. Yuan Matsuhashi trudges off to be replaced by Yosuke Uchida on 74 minutes.
- 76' Shoji Toyama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayato Hirao on 76 minute.
- 81' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Haruka Motoyama comes on to replace Yuta Kamiya.
- 86' Both keepers have barely been tested. Tōkyō Verdy and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 88' Assisted by Yuya Fukuda with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hiroto Taniguchi makes no mistake. 0-6!
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fagiano Okayama FC.
Lineups
Tōkyō Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 19
- 2
- 4
- 3
- 40
- 71
Bench
- 14
- 38
- 15
- 21
- 20
- 17
- 25
- 26
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
- 43
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 46'
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 63'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Haruka Motoyama 81'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↓ Werik 73'
- 27
- 14
- 4
Bench
- 77
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 63'
- 15
-
98
Werik ↑ 73'
-
26
Haruka Motoyama ↑ 81'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 63'
- 3
- 17
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Taniguchi | 1 |
| Hayato Hirao | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Yuto Tsunashima | 1 |
| Yuya Fukuda | 1 |
| Itsuki Someno | 1 |
Head to Head
Tōkyō Verdy Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-09-20
Tōkyō Verdy
4–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-09-13
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-08-30
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–0
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-08-23
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Shonan Bellmare
W
2025-08-17
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–1
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.49
Tōkyō Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Tōkyō Verdy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Tōkyō Verdy or Draw
76%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
45%
Tōkyō Verdy or Fagiano Okayama FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.5%
4 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Tōkyō Verdy
| Handicap | Tōkyō Verdy covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 16% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 19% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Tōkyō Verdy keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.