FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Rostov Arena.
- FK Rostov 9 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Aug | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Jul | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FK Rostov | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| 28 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Rostov | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #11 |
| 8 | Points | 9 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 2 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 1 / 6 / 2 |
| 10 | Scored | 7 |
| 18 | Conceded | 10 |
| -8 | GD | -3 |
| 0.89 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 22% | Win % | 11% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
FK Rostov this season
FK Rostov this season
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Rostov are 13th (8 pts). FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Rostov
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Rostov
| Timur Suleimanov | 2 G | 1 A |
| Oumar Sako | 2 G | |
| Andrey Langovich | 1 G | 2 A |
| Ivan Komarov | 1 G | |
| Viktor Melekhin | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Rostov launch into their encounter with FK Orenburg.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Rostov side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivan Basic suffering a number of foals already.
- 18' Brian Mansilla puts FK Orenburg on the lead.
- 23' Matias Perez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 23.
- 28' Daniil Utkin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Brian Mansilla on 32 minutes.
- 35' Jimmy Marin adds to his 0 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Rostov that had 365 games and scored 304 goals.
- 45' Bogdan Moskvichev is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' Fresh legs for FK Rostov! Nikolay Komlichenko comes on to replace Daniil Utkin.
- 51' Nikolay Komlichenko has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 51 minutes.
- 52' A goal from the Russia international Nikolay Komlichenko! He fires home on 52 to make it 2-2!
- 53' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Aleksandr Kovalenko is replaced by Dmitrii Rybchinskii.
- 58' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Rostov and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 67' FK Rostov manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Khoren Bairamyan is hanging Kirill Shchetinin on the field on 67 minute.
- 72' The energy levels are beginning to show. Valeriy Karpin might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 75' Andrey Langovich makes way for German Ignatov at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Rostov.
- 80' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Rostov and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 83' Stepan Oganesyan is replacing Saeid Saharkhizan for the FK Orenburg side.
- 86' Konstantin Kuchaev is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rodrigo Saravia at the 86 minute mark.
- 87' Justin Cuero is replacing Jimmy Marin for the FK Orenburg side.
- 90' The referee shows FK Rostov player a card on 90.
- The points are shared — FK Rostov 3-2 FK Orenburg. Honours even.
Lineups
FK Rostov Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 15
- 47
- 55
- 69
- 87
- 10
- 3
- 40
- 7
- 89
- 1
Bench
-
18
Konstantin Kuchaev ↑ 86'
-
27
Nikolay Komlichenko ↑ 46'
- 13
-
–
Aleksey Sutormin ↑ 67'
- 71
- 28
- 4
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↑ 67'
-
67
German Ignatov ↑ 75'
- 34
- 73
Coach
Valeriy Karpin
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Justin Cuero 87'
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 12
- 6
- 18
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 53'
- 13
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 83'
- 4
- 14
- 35
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 87'
- 38
- 96
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Egor Golenkov | 1 |
| Dorde Despotovic | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rostov Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79
FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rostov win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
FK Rostov or Draw
76%
Draw or FK Orenburg
48%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — FK Rostov
| Handicap | FK Rostov covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 21% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.