FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Rostov Arena.
- FK Rostov 30 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Aug | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Jul | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FK Rostov | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| 28 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Rostov | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 8 / 9 / 13 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 25 | Scored | 29 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -7 | GD | -15 |
| 1.10 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 27% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FK Rostov this season
FK Rostov this season
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Rostov
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Rostov Arena!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Rostov Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Rostov and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 18' Brian Mansilla adds to his 0 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 23' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Matias Perez gets a card.
- 28' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 32' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brian Mansilla.
- 35' What composure from Jimmy Marin! The Costa Rica international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Bogdan Moskvichev.
- 46' The FK Rostov bench stirs into life. Daniil Utkin is withdrawn and Nikolay Komlichenko gets his opportunity.
- 51' GOAL! Nikolay Komlichenko fires home to make it 1-2!
- 52' A goal from the Russia international Nikolay Komlichenko! He fires home on 52 to make it 2-2!
- 53' Dmitrii Rybchinskii has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aleksandr Kovalenko on 53 minute.
- 58' FK Orenburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 67' Another change for FK Rostov made on 67 minute. Kirill Shchetinin leaves to be changed by Khoren Bairamyan.
- 72' Danila Prokhin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for German Ignatov. He replaces Andrey Langovich on 75 minute.
- 80' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 83' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Saeid Saharkhizan is replaced by Stepan Oganesyan.
- 86' FK Rostov ring the changes. Rodrigo Saravia has done his job and it is now time for Konstantin Kuchaev to step up.
- 87' FK Orenburg make a change. Jimmy Marin trudges off to be replaced by Justin Cuero on 87 minutes.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ronaldo.
- The points are shared — FK Rostov 3-2 FK Orenburg. Honours even.
Lineups
FK Rostov Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 15
- 47
- 55
- 69
- 87
- 10
- 3
- 40
- 7
- 89
- 1
Bench
-
18
Konstantin Kuchaev ↑ 86'
-
27
Nikolay Komlichenko ↑ 46'
- 13
-
–
Aleksey Sutormin ↑ 67'
- 71
- 28
- 4
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↑ 67'
-
67
German Ignatov ↑ 75'
- 34
- 73
Coach
Valeriy Karpin
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Justin Cuero 87'
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 12
- 6
- 18
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 53'
- 13
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 83'
- 4
- 14
- 35
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 87'
- 38
- 96
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Dorde Despotovic | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
| Aleksey Ionov | 1 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rostov Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83
FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rostov win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
FK Rostov or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Orenburg
45%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Rostov
| Handicap | FK Rostov covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.