FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Rostov Arena.
- FK Rostov 30 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FK Orenburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Aug | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Aug | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Jul | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FK Rostov | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FK Akron Tolyatti | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–5 | L |
| 28 Jul | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Jul | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Rostov | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 8 / 9 / 13 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 25 | Scored | 29 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -7 | GD | -15 |
| 1.10 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 27% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Rostov launch into their encounter with FK Orenburg.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Stepan Oganesyan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
- 18' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brian Mansilla makes it 0-1.
- 23' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Rostov side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 32' Brian Mansilla has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
- 35' Jimmy Marin makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and FK Orenburg are in front.
- 40' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 45' Bogdan Moskvichev catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 46' Nikolay Komlichenko gets the nod from FK Rostov. He replaces Daniil Utkin and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Nikolay Komlichenko makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and FK Rostov are in front.
- 52' The Russia Nikolay Komlichenko breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 2-2!
- 53' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dmitrii Rybchinskii is hanging Aleksandr Kovalenko on the field on 53 minute.
- 58' Dmitrii Rybchinskii has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Rostov and FK Orenburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 67' Khoren Bairamyan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kirill Shchetinin on 67 minute.
- 72' The 25-year-old Ronaldo has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 75' The whistle greets Andrey Langovich as he departs to be replaced by German Ignatov.
- 80' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
- 83' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Saeid Saharkhizan is withdrawn and Stepan Oganesyan gets his opportunity.
- 86' Konstantin Kuchaev is replacing Rodrigo Saravia for the FK Rostov side.
- 87' Justin Cuero is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jimmy Marin at the 87 minute mark.
- 90' FK Rostov receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FK Rostov Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 15
- 47
- 55
- 69
- 87
- 10
- 3
- 40
- 7
- 89
- 1
Bench
-
18
Konstantin Kuchaev ↑ 86'
-
27
Nikolay Komlichenko ↑ 46'
- 13
-
–
Aleksey Sutormin ↑ 67'
- 71
- 28
- 4
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↑ 67'
-
67
German Ignatov ↑ 75'
- 34
- 73
Coach
Valeriy Karpin
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Justin Cuero 87'
- 87
- 22
- 8
- 12
- 6
- 18
- 9
- 81
- 1
- 10
Bench
- 31
-
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 53'
- 13
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 83'
- 4
- 14
- 35
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 87'
- 38
- 96
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Mathias Normann | 1 |
| Egor Golenkov | 1 |
| Dorde Despotovic | 1 |
| Gedeon Guzina | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rostov Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83
FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rostov win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
FK Rostov or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Orenburg
45%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FK Rostov
| Handicap | FK Rostov covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 22% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.