FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Rostov Arena.
- FK Rostov 30 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FK Orenburg | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | FK Ural | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 1–5 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | PFK Sochi | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Mar | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr | FK Rostov | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Rostov | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 8 / 9 / 13 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 15 |
| 25 | Scored | 29 |
| 32 | Conceded | 44 |
| -7 | GD | -15 |
| 1.10 | PPG | 0.97 |
| 27% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Rostov Arena. FK Rostov are looking to make home advantage count against FK Orenburg.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Rostov and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' FK Rostov are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's shape.
- 12' Brilliant from the ! Jordhy Thompson makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 12.
- 17' FK Orenburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 22' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 27' It’s high time David Deogracia made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ronaldo.
- 36' The 28-year-old Maksim Sidorov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 41' The referee calls foul for Brian Mansilla. He receives a card.
- 44' It’s gonna be a card for Andrey Langovich.
- 46' The whistle greets Ivan Komarov as he departs to be replaced by Evgeniy Chernov.
- 51' The referee has no hesitation. Mohammad Ghorbani is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 51.
- 56' FK Orenburg have won 207 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Brian Mansilla exits the field as Renato Gojkovic enters on 57.
- 62' FK Rostov is showing some good football. However, FK Rostov are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 64' The FK Rostov manager makes a substitution. Khoren Bairamyan departs to be replaced by Nikolay Komlichenko.
- 69' FK Orenburg has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 73' A tactical swap from FK Rostov — Denis Terentyev on, Ilya Vakhania off on 73 minutes.
- 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ilya Vakhania made 364 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 81' Ronaldo adds to his 3 season tally! FK Rostov lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 85' Renato Gojkovic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 85' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Mohammad Ghorbani departs to be replaced by Mikhail Sivakov.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a card for Danila Prokhin.
- Full Time. FK Rostov beats FK Orenburg
Lineups
FK Rostov Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 15
- 55
- 69
-
62
Ivan Komarov ↓ Evgeniy Chernov 46'
-
87
Andrey Langovich ↓ Daniil Utkin 46'
- 88
- –
- 19
-
40
Ilya Vakhania ↓ Denis Terentyev 73'
- 7
Bench
-
47
Daniil Utkin ↑ 46'
-
27
Nikolay Komlichenko ↑ 64'
-
28
Evgeniy Chernov ↑ 46'
- 92
- 78
- –
-
5
Denis Terentyev ↑ 73'
- 67
- 60
- 51
- 97
- 93
Coach
Valeriy Karpin
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Lucas Vera 73'
- –
- 8
- 4
- 66
- 9
-
–
Jordhy Thompson ↓ Justin Cuero 73'
- 81
Bench
- 80
- 2
-
15
Renato Gojkovic ↑ 57'
- 90
- 38
- 11
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 85'
-
23
Lucas Vera ↑ 73'
- 24
-
3
Mikhail Sivakov ↑ 85'
- 12
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 73'
Coach
David Deogracia
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Grigori Chirkin | 1 |
| Vladimir Obukhov | 1 |
| Artem Galadzhan | 1 |
| Mathias Normann | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rostov Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3
FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rostov win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
FK Rostov or Draw
75%
Draw or FK Orenburg
53%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Orenburg win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — FK Rostov
| Handicap | FK Rostov covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 22% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.