Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FK Rostov vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2023-24
2 – 1
Full Time
Mon 29 Apr 2024 · 16:45 UTC Rostov Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr FK Orenburg H 2–1 W
25 Apr FK Ural A 1–0 W
21 Apr FK Spartak Moskva H 1–5 L
14 Apr FK Fakel Voronezh A 1–0 W
06 Apr PFK Sochi H 2–2 D
29 Mar FK Dinamo Moskva A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Apr FK Rostov A 1–2 L
24 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–2 L
21 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–1 L
14 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–1 W
08 Apr FK Rubin Kazan H 3–0 W
31 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh A 0–0 D

Season Stats

FK Rostov FK Orenburg
#13 Position #11
8 Points 9
9 Played 9
2 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 6 / 2
10 Scored 7
18 Conceded 10
-8 GD -3
0.89 PPG 1.00
22% Win % 11%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
FK Rostov this season
25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Rostov are 13th (8 pts). FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Rostov
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg
Ruslan Kul 3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: FK Orenburg gets underway.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Rostov Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mohammad Ghorbani suffering a number of foals already.
  • 12' A stunning finish from Jordhy Thompson — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 17' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 22' Oumar Sako has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 27' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 27.
  • 31' That is a card for FK Rostov. Ronaldo will be fuming at that decision.
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Brian Mansilla on 41.
  • 44' Controversy at the stadium! Andrey Langovich argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Ivan Komarov makes way for Evgeniy Chernov at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Rostov.
  • 51' That is a card for FK Orenburg. Mohammad Ghorbani will be fuming at that decision.
  • 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Rostov and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 57' The whistle greets Brian Mansilla as he departs to be replaced by Renato Gojkovic.
  • 62' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 64' Another substitution for FK Rostov to replace Khoren Bairamyan by Nikolay Komlichenko on 64 minute.
  • 69' FK Orenburg are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 73' Another change for FK Rostov made on 73 minute. Ilya Vakhania leaves to be changed by Denis Terentyev.
  • 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 81' Goal! Ronaldo scores his 13 goal in 366 matches.
  • 85' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Mohammad Ghorbani is replaced by Mikhail Sivakov.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Danila Prokhin on 86 minutes.
  • FK Orenburg will have plenty to reflect on. FK Rostov were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 FK Rostov xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Rostov or FK Orenburg 73% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Rostov44% Draw27% FK Orenburg29%
Actual: FK Rostov win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

FK Rostov or Draw
71%
Draw or FK Orenburg
56%
FK Rostov or FK Orenburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Rostov26% Draw49% FK Orenburg25%
Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FK Rostov

Handicap FK Rostov covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.