FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL .

FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Krasnodar	9	21
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	9	19
3	PFC CSKA Moskva	9	19
4	FK Spartak Moskva	9	19
5	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	9	18
6	FK Rubin Kazan	9	12
7	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	9	12
8	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	9	11
9	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	9	11
10	RFK Akhmat Grozny	9	10
11	FK Orenburg	9	9
12	FK Akron Tolyatti	9	8
13	FK Rostov	9	8
14	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	9	7
15	FK Rodina Moskva	9	5
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	9	3

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-08 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2025-09-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 5–2 FK Orenburg 2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	2–0	W
05 Dec	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	0–2	L
22 Nov	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	0–0	D
09 Nov	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	FK Orenburg	A	1–2	L
27 Feb	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	1–0	W
06 Dec	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	2–0	W
30 Nov	FK Rubin Kazan	H	1–0	W
23 Nov	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	2–0	W
09 Nov	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#11	Position	#5
9	Points	18
9	Played	9
1 / 6 / 2	W / D / L	6 / 0 / 3
7	Scored	19
10	Conceded	9
-3	GD	+10
1.00	PPG	2.00
11%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

25% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 5th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Orenburg

Ruslan Kul	3 G
Andrey Kasadzhikov	1 G	1 A

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Aleksandr Sobolev	7 G	2 A
Maksim Glushenkov	6 G	2 A
Jhon Jhon	1 G	1 A
Gustavo Mantuan	1 G
Felipe Augusto	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for FK Orenburg to score. At the same time, FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Orenburg players.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Ivan Sergeev	2
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2026-03-08 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2026-02-28 FK Orenburg 2–0 FK Akron Tolyatti W 2025-12-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-29 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-22 FK Orenburg 0–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2025-11-09 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2026-03-08 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2026-02-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad W 2025-12-06 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–0 FK Akron Tolyatti W 2025-11-30 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Rubin Kazan W 2025-11-23 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2025-11-09 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

0.93 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.45 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg28% Draw29% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg43%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

57%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

72%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg18% Draw50% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg32%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 1

12.4%

0 – 0

11.4%

0 – 2

9.4%

1 – 2

8.7%

1 – 0

7.5%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 3

4.5%

1 – 3

4.3%

2 – 2

4.1%

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

2.1%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	15%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	24%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	15%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.