FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

2 – 1

Full Time

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Sun 8 Mar 2026 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg — RFPL .

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 games · 68 pts (2025/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 16 games · Avg 3.6 goals FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-08 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2025-09-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 5–2 FK Orenburg 2024-11-23 FK Orenburg 0–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2024-10-05 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-04-21 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	2–0	W
05 Dec	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	0–2	L
22 Nov	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	0–0	D
09 Nov	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	FK Orenburg	A	1–2	L
27 Feb	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	1–0	W
06 Dec	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	2–0	W
30 Nov	FK Rubin Kazan	H	1–0	W
23 Nov	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	2–0	W
09 Nov	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
#12	Position	#1
29	Points	68
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	20 / 8 / 2
29	Scored	53
44	Conceded	19
-15	GD	+34
0.97	PPG	2.27
23%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

2/4

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

5/–

61-75

–/2

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Orenburg and FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg is underway.
With this win, FK Orenburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sardar Azmoun	5
Gustavo Mantuan	4
Wendel	3
Aleksandr Erokhin	3
Artem Dzyuba	2
Malcom	2
Aleksandr Erokhin	2
Ivan Sergeev	2

Head to Head

FK Orenburg Form

2026-03-08 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2026-02-28 FK Orenburg 2–0 FK Akron Tolyatti W 2025-12-05 RFK Akhmat Grozny 1–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-29 PFC CSKA Moskva 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-11-22 FK Orenburg 0–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad D 2025-11-09 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–0 FK Orenburg L

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Form

2026-03-08 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg L 2026-02-27 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad W 2025-12-06 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 2–0 FK Akron Tolyatti W 2025-11-30 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 1–0 FK Rubin Kazan W 2025-11-23 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–2 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg W 2025-11-09 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

0.88 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.61 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg26% Draw28% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg46%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.49

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

53%

Draw or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

74%

FK Orenburg or FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg15% Draw48% FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg37%

Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

0 – 1

12.4%

0 – 2

10.4%

0 – 0

10.3%

1 – 2

9.1%

1 – 0

6.3%

0 – 3

5.5%

1 – 3

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

4.1%

2 – 0

3.1%

2 – 3

2.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	13%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	24%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	17%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.