Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep FK Orenburg H 5–2 W
21 Sep FK Krasnodar A 2–0 W
14 Sep FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 0–0 D
30 Aug FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–0 W
23 Aug FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 4–0 W
16 Aug FK Spartak Moskva A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 2–5 L
21 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–3 L
13 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 1–3 L
30 Aug FK Rubin Kazan H 2–2 D
22 Aug RFK Akhmat Grozny H 2–2 D
17 Aug FK Akron Tolyatti A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg FK Orenburg
#1 Position #12
68 Points 29
30 Played 30
20 / 8 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
53 Scored 29
19 Conceded 44
+34 GD -15
2.27 PPG 0.97
67% Win % 23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg are 1st (68 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/
31-45
/1
46-60
5/
61-75
/2
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.71 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg73% Draw17% FK Orenburg10%
Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or Draw
89%
Draw or FK Orenburg
27%
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg or FK Orenburg
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg56% Draw35% FK Orenburg9%
Actual: FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
10.6%
3 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 1
7.2%
4 – 0
6.2%
4 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
4.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
5 – 0
3.4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg

Handicap FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 34% 66%
-2 34% 21% 45%
-1.5 55% 45%
-1 55% 20% 25%
-0.5 75% 25%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg keeps clean sheet
43%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.