FK Orenburg vs FK Akron Tolyatti, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Orenburg

2 – 0

Full Time

FK Akron Tolyatti

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs FK Akron Tolyatti — RFPL .

FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
FK Akron Tolyatti 30 games · 27 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Akron Tolyatti

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 FK Orenburg 2–0 FK Akron Tolyatti 2025-08-17 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–2 FK Orenburg 2024-11-30 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–0 FK Orenburg 2024-08-10 FK Orenburg 2–2 FK Akron Tolyatti

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	FK Akron Tolyatti	H	2–0	W
05 Dec	RFK Akhmat Grozny	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	0–2	L
22 Nov	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	H	0–0	D
09 Nov	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	0–1	L
02 Nov	PFK Sochi	H	3–1	W

FK Akron Tolyatti

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	FK Orenburg	A	0–2	L
06 Dec	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	A	0–2	L
29 Nov	FK Nizhny Novgorod	H	1–2	L
21 Nov	PFK Sochi	H	3–2	W
08 Nov	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	2–1	W
01 Nov	FK Rostov	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg		FK Akron Tolyatti
#12	Position	#13
29	Points	27
30	Played	30
7 / 8 / 15	W / D / L	6 / 9 / 15
29	Scored	35
44	Conceded	53
-15	GD	-18
0.97	PPG	0.90
23%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Akron Tolyatti are 13th (27 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Orenburg and FK Akron Tolyatti is underway.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Akron Tolyatti.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Akron Tolyatti Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mohammad Ghorbani	1
Saeid Saharkhizan	1
Konstantin Savichev	1
Kirill Danilin	1
Stefan Loncar	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.57 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 FK Akron Tolyatti xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg51% Draw27% FK Akron Tolyatti22%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.54

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

77%

Draw or FK Akron Tolyatti

49%

FK Orenburg or FK Akron Tolyatti

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Orenburg35% Draw48% FK Akron Tolyatti17%

Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.9%

1 – 0

11.4%

0 – 0

9.9%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

9.1%

0 – 1

6.6%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.9%

3 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

4.5%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	FK Akron Tolyatti covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	23%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

FK Akron Tolyatti keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.