Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs FK Akron Tolyatti, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb FK Akron Tolyatti H 2–0 W
05 Dec RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–1 L
29 Nov PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–2 L
22 Nov FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 0–0 D
09 Nov FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–1 L
02 Nov PFK Sochi H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb FK Orenburg A 0–2 L
06 Dec FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–2 L
29 Nov FK Nizhny Novgorod H 1–2 L
21 Nov PFK Sochi H 3–2 W
08 Nov FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–1 W
01 Nov FK Rostov A 1–0 W

Season Stats

FK Orenburg FK Akron Tolyatti
#12 Position #13
29 Points 27
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 6 / 9 / 15
29 Scored 35
44 Conceded 53
-15 GD -18
0.97 PPG 0.90
23% Win % 20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
13% Clean Sheets
FK Akron Tolyatti this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Akron Tolyatti are 13th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Akron Tolyatti
0-15
1/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

FK Akron Tolyatti Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 FK Akron Tolyatti xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg51% Draw27% FK Akron Tolyatti22%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
77%
Draw or FK Akron Tolyatti
49%
FK Orenburg or FK Akron Tolyatti
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Orenburg35% Draw48% FK Akron Tolyatti17%
Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
11.4%
0 – 0
9.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push FK Akron Tolyatti covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
38%
FK Akron Tolyatti keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.