FK Krasnodar vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Krasnodar

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Sat 26 Jul 2025 · 16:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva — RFPL .

FK Krasnodar 14 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva 14 games · 11 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	14	31
2	FK Dinamo Moskva	14	31
3	FK Spartak Moskva	14	29
4	FK Krasnodar	14	26
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	14	26
6	FK Rostov	14	19
7	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	14	18
8	FK Rubin Kazan	14	18
9	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	14	17
10	FK Orenburg	14	17
11	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	14	16
12	RFK Akhmat Grozny	14	14
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	14	12
14	FK Rodina Moskva	14	12
15	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	14	11
16	FK Fakel Voronezh	14	6

Head-to-Head

FK Krasnodar 17 games · Avg 2.6 goals FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-26 FK Krasnodar 1–2 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2024-12-08 FK Krasnodar 0–0 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2024-09-01 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 0–3 FK Krasnodar 2024-03-31 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Krasnodar 2023-08-19 FK Krasnodar 1–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Recent Form

FK Krasnodar

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jul	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–2	L
20 Jul	FK Nizhny Novgorod	A	3–0	W
24 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	3–0	W
17 May	FK Orenburg	A	2–1	W
10 May	PFC CSKA Moskva	A	0–1	L
03 May	FK Rubin Kazan	H	2–1	W

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Jul	FK Krasnodar	A	2–1	W
19 Jul	PFK Sochi	H	3–0	W
24 May	FK Akron Tolyatti	A	4–1	W
19 May	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	2–2	D
11 May	FK Fakel Voronezh	A	1–0	W
03 May	FK Orenburg	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar		FK Lokomotiv Moskva
#4	Position	#15
26	Points	11
14	Played	14
7 / 5 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 5 / 7
26	Scored	16
18	Conceded	21
+8	GD	-5
1.86	PPG	0.79
50%	Win %	14%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season

22% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

FK Krasnodar are 4th (26 pts). FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 15th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Krasnodar

0-15

2/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/2

61-75

3/2

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/2

46-60

2/–

61-75

3/3

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FK Krasnodar

Jhon Cordoba	6 G	1 A
Joao Batxi	5 G	3 A
Christian	3 G	4 A
Nikita Krivtsov	3 G	1 A
Jubal	3 G

FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Nikolay Komlichenko	3 G	1 A
Nikolai Titkov	3 G	1 A
Zelimkhan Bakaev	1 G	1 A
Sergey Pinyaev	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FK Krasnodar welcome FK Lokomotiv Moskva for this crunch clash at .
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FK Krasnodar 1-2 FK Lokomotiv Moskva.

Lineups

FK Krasnodar Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Markus Berg	5
Jhon Cordoba	4
Shapi Suleimanov	3
Grzegorz Krychowiak	2
Dmitrii Barinov	2
Maksim Glushenkov	2
Eduard Spertsyan	2
Fedor Smolov	2

Head to Head

FK Krasnodar Form

2025-07-26 FK Krasnodar 1–2 FK Lokomotiv Moskva L 2025-07-20 FK Nizhny Novgorod 0–3 FK Krasnodar W 2025-05-24 FK Krasnodar 3–0 FK Dinamo Moskva W 2025-05-17 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Krasnodar W 2025-05-10 PFC CSKA Moskva 1–0 FK Krasnodar L 2025-05-03 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Rubin Kazan W

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form

2025-07-26 FK Krasnodar 1–2 FK Lokomotiv Moskva W 2025-07-19 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 3–0 PFK Sochi W 2025-05-24 FK Akron Tolyatti 1–4 FK Lokomotiv Moskva W 2025-05-19 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 2–2 PFC CSKA Moskva D 2025-05-11 FK Fakel Voronezh 0–1 FK Lokomotiv Moskva W 2025-05-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Orenburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.85 FK Krasnodar xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Krasnodar46% Draw26% FK Lokomotiv Moskva28%

Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.09

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw

72%

Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

54%

FK Krasnodar or FK Lokomotiv Moskva

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Krasnodar37% Draw43% FK Lokomotiv Moskva20%

Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 0

7.7%

2 – 0

7.7%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

5.8%

3 – 1

5.7%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 0

4.6%

3 – 2

3.6%

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap	FK Krasnodar covers	Push	FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	15%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	21%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	14%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.