Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Fakel Voronezh vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion 8,481 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Dmitry Vorobyev

Overview

Match Preview

FK Fakel Voronezh vs FK Lokomotiv MoskvaRFPL at Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
04 May FK Spartak Moskva H 0–0 D
27 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 1–2 L
20 Apr FK Rostov H 0–2 L
13 Apr FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L
05 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May FK Fakel Voronezh A 1–0 W
03 May FK Orenburg H 1–1 D
26 Apr FK Rostov A 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–0 W
12 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–1 L
05 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It looks surprising FK Fakel Voronezh does not make any changes. Anton Mitryushkin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' named a 5-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Fakel Voronezh and FK Lokomotiv Moskva are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 22' The deadlock is broken! Dmitry Vorobyev gets on the scoresheet on 22 minutes.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Lokomotiv Moskva needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 37' FK Fakel Voronezh are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' The crowd applauds Mohamed Brahimi as he leaves the pitch. Nichita Motpan steps in for FK Fakel Voronezh.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 53' Egor Pogostnov picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 58' FK Lokomotiv Moskva fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sergey Pinyaev suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' The FK Fakel Voronezh bench stirs into life. Ilnur Alshin is withdrawn and Dylan Mertens gets his opportunity.
  • 69' A quiet spell here at Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion. FK Lokomotiv Moskva seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 74' Vladimir Ilyin makes way for Nikolay Giorgobiani at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Fakel Voronezh.
  • 76' FK Lokomotiv Moskva manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Timur Suleimanov is hanging Dmitry Vorobyev on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 86' FK Fakel Voronezh are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against FK Lokomotiv Moskva's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 90' Sergey Pinyaev is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. FK Lokomotiv Moskva take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Fakel Voronezh25% Draw31% FK Lokomotiv Moskva44%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

FK Fakel Voronezh or Draw
56%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
75%
FK Fakel Voronezh or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Fakel Voronezh17% Draw55% FK Lokomotiv Moskva28%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 2
9%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Fakel Voronezh

Handicap FK Fakel Voronezh covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 16% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 24% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
32%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.