Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Fakel Voronezh vs FK Lokomotiv Moskva, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sun 11 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion 8,481 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 22' Dmitry Vorobyev

Overview

Match Preview

FK Fakel Voronezh vs FK Lokomotiv MoskvaRFPL at Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 0–1 L
04 May FK Spartak Moskva H 0–0 D
27 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 1–2 L
20 Apr FK Rostov H 0–2 L
13 Apr FK Akron Tolyatti A 0–1 L
05 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May FK Fakel Voronezh A 1–0 W
03 May FK Orenburg H 1–1 D
26 Apr FK Rostov A 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 3–0 W
12 Apr FK Rubin Kazan A 0–1 L
05 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg H 1–1 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion will turn into a battlefield for FK Fakel Voronezh and FK Lokomotiv Moskva.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' The travelling FK Lokomotiv Moskva supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 22' What a strike from Dmitry Vorobyev! The score is 0-1.
  • 27' It looks surprising FK Fakel Voronezh does not make any changes. Vyacheslav Yakimov has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' Egor Pogostnov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 37' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Lokomotiv Moskva is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Lokomotiv Moskva that had 355 games and scored 378 goals.
  • 46' FK Fakel Voronezh manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nichita Motpan is hanging Mohamed Brahimi on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' FK Fakel Voronezh started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Egor Pogostnov on 53.
  • 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Andrey Ivlev made 90 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 63' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aleksey Kashtanov, as he is very good at scoring at Centralniy Profsoyuz Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 64' Time for substitution for FK Fakel Voronezh. Ilnur Alshin is replaced by Dylan Mertens.
  • 69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Fakel Voronezh needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' Another change for FK Fakel Voronezh made on 74 minute. Vladimir Ilyin leaves to be changed by Nikolay Giorgobiani.
  • 76' The FK Lokomotiv Moskva manager makes a substitution. Dmitry Vorobyev departs to be replaced by Timur Suleimanov.
  • 81' FK Fakel Voronezh is showing some good football. However, FK Fakel Voronezh are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 90' It’s a booking for FK Lokomotiv Moskva player. Sergey Pinyaev gets a card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FK Fakel Voronezh.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82 FK Fakel Voronezh xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
I would bet for: FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Fakel Voronezh25% Draw31% FK Lokomotiv Moskva44%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 1.99
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

FK Fakel Voronezh or Draw
56%
Draw or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
75%
FK Fakel Voronezh or FK Lokomotiv Moskva
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Fakel Voronezh17% Draw55% FK Lokomotiv Moskva28%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
14%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 2
9%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
1.4%

Asian Handicap — FK Fakel Voronezh

Handicap FK Fakel Voronezh covers Push FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 16% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 24% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

FK Fakel Voronezh keeps clean sheet
32%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.