FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs FK Krasnodar — RFPL at RZD-Arena.
- FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 games · 53 pts (2025/26)
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–3 | L |
| 25 Aug | FK Rostov | H | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Aug | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 5–0 | W |
| 27 Jul | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Aug | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Aug | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Jul | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Lokomotiv Moskva | FK Krasnodar | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 53 | Points | 66 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 14 / 11 / 5 | W / D / L | 20 / 6 / 4 |
| 54 | Scored | 60 |
| 39 | Conceded | 23 |
| +15 | GD | +37 |
| 1.77 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 47% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva this season
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at RZD-Arena!
- 3' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nair Tiknizyan on 3 minutes.
- 5' Joao Victor makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FK Krasnodar are in front.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' FK Krasnodar fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' FK Lokomotiv Moskva are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Krasnodar backline.
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' FK Lokomotiv Moskva are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 37' That looks like a foul for a card for Ilya Samoshnikov.
- 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Lokomotiv Moskva side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' Ilya Lantratov is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' A change in the FK Lokomotiv Moskva ranks — Maksim Nenakhov exits the field as Vladislav Sarveli enters on 46.
- 48' A goal from the Armenia international Eduard Spertsyan! He fires home on 45 to make it 0-2!
- 53' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Murad Musaev will be considering his options from the bench.
- 58' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Lokomotiv Moskva must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 62' Timur Suleimanov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dmitry Vorobyev at the 62 minute mark.
- 64' Goal! Jhon Cordoba scores his 76 goal in 398 matches.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Aleksandr Chernikov. He replaces Kevin Castano on 68 minute.
- 73' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 76' Nikita Krivtsov gets the nod from FK Krasnodar. He replaces Eduard Spertsyan and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' The whistle greets Joao Batxi as he departs to be replaced by Moses Cobnan.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jhon Cordoba.
- 80' A change in the FK Krasnodar ranks — Joao Victor exits the field as Fedor Smolov enters on 80.
- 84' It’s gonna be a card for Lucas Olaza.
- 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jhon Cordoba.
- 90' That is a card for FK Lokomotiv Moskva. Vladislav Sarveli will be fuming at that decision.
- It finishes all square. FK Lokomotiv Moskva and FK Krasnodar share the spoils 0-3.
Lineups
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5
-
71
Nair Tiknizyan ↓ Vadim Rakov 46'
- 10
- 24
- 77
- 45
- 22
- 85
- 94
- 6
- 83
Bench
-
99
Timur Suleimanov ↑ 62'
-
8
Vladislav Sarveli ↑ 46'
- 21
- 1
-
9
Sergey Pinyaev ↑ 46'
-
93
Artem Karpukas ↑ 77'
- 59
-
27
Vadim Rakov ↑ 46'
- 14
- 37
- 16
Coach
Mikhail Galaktionov
FK Krasnodar Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 3
- 15
-
7
Joao Victor ↓ Fedor Smolov 80'
- 1
- 10
- 4
- 98
-
11
Joao Batxi ↓ Moses Cobnan 77'
- 6
- 5
Bench
-
19
Fedor Smolov ↑ 80'
-
53
Aleksandr Chernikov ↑ 68'
-
20
Giovanni Gonzalez ↑ 80'
- 18
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 76'
- 40
- 8
-
90
Moses Cobnan ↑ 77'
- 13
- 33
- 30
Coach
Murad Musaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Markus Berg | 5 |
| Shapi Suleimanov | 3 |
| Jhon Cordoba | 3 |
| Grzegorz Krychowiak | 2 |
| Dmitrii Barinov | 2 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | 2 |
| Eduard Spertsyan | 2 |
| Fedor Smolov | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Lokomotiv Moskva Form
2024-09-01
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
0–3
FK Krasnodar
L
2024-08-25
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
3–2
FK Rostov
W
2024-08-18
PFC CSKA Moskva
0–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2024-08-10
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
2–0
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
W
2024-08-04
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–5
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
W
2024-07-27
FK Dinamo Moskva
3–1
FK Lokomotiv Moskva
L
FK Krasnodar Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07
FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 57% + Both teams to score 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
50%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
76%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or FK Krasnodar
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 3
6.2%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva
| Handicap | FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers | Push | FK Krasnodar covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 23% | 34% |
| +1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +2 | 66% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

