Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Krasnodar vs FK Rubin Kazan, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 3 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Krasnodar Stadium 34,037 HT 45' · FT 45'
Eduard Spertsyan pen 5' 1–0
Vitor Tormena 40' 2–0
2–1 83' Ilya Rozhkov

Overview

Match Preview

FK Krasnodar vs FK Rubin KazanRFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Rubin Kazan H 2–1 W
25 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 3–2 W
19 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 3–1 W
13 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–4 L
05 Apr FK Akron Tolyatti H 1–0 W
30 Mar FK Fakel Voronezh H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L
27 Apr FK Fakel Voronezh H 2–1 W
20 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–3 L
12 Apr FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–0 W
05 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 1–1 D
30 Mar FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–4 L

Season Stats

FK Krasnodar FK Rubin Kazan
#2 Position #8
66 Points 43
30 Played 30
20 / 6 / 4 W / D / L 11 / 10 / 9
60 Scored 29
23 Conceded 30
+37 GD -1
2.20 PPG 1.43
67% Win % 37%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! FK Krasnodar welcome FK Rubin Kazan for this crunch clash at Krasnodar Stadium.
  • 5' Eduard Spertsyan doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 6' Aleksandr Chernikov catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 6.
  • 7' FK Rubin Kazan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 12' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 14' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Vitor Tormena on 14 minutes.
  • 19' Olakunle Olusegun is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Krasnodar tonight.
  • 24' FK Rubin Kazan come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 34' FK Rubin Kazan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 39' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' Assisted by Eduard Spertsyan with the perfectly-timed delivery and Vitor Tormena makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kaio Pantaleao suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Nikita Krivtsov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aleksandr Chernikov on 46 minute.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 56' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Rubin Kazan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 61' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Veldin Hodza made 16 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 66' FK Rubin Kazan is showing some good football. However, FK Rubin Kazan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 71' It is a substitution in FK Krasnodar team. Joao Victor is replaced by Moses Cobnan on 71 minute.
  • 75' A change in the FK Rubin Kazan ranks — Valentin Vada exits the field as Oleg Ivanov enters on 75.
  • 80' The travelling FK Rubin Kazan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 83' What a strike from Ilya Rozhkov! The score is 2-1.
  • 86' Joao Batxi makes way for Olakunle Olusegun at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Krasnodar.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin is booked for FK Krasnodar — card on 90.
  • 90' FK Krasnodar manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Danila Kozlov is hanging Eduard Spertsyan on the field on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for FK Krasnodar.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.99 FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 FK Rubin Kazan xG
I would bet for: FK Krasnodar to win 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar67% Draw21% FK Rubin Kazan12%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

FK Krasnodar or Draw
88%
Draw or FK Rubin Kazan
33%
FK Krasnodar or FK Rubin Kazan
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Krasnodar47% Draw44% FK Rubin Kazan9%
Actual: FK Krasnodar win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14%
1 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
9.8%
3 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
4.5%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
1 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar

Handicap FK Krasnodar covers Push FK Rubin Kazan covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 21% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 25% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
53%
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.