Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Lokomotiv Moskva vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sat 19 Jul 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul PFK Sochi H 3–0 W
24 May FK Akron Tolyatti A 4–1 W
19 May PFC CSKA Moskva H 2–2 D
11 May FK Fakel Voronezh A 1–0 W
03 May FK Orenburg H 1–1 D
26 Apr FK Rostov A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 0–3 L
25 May FK Rubin Kazan A 1–1 D
18 May FK Krasnodar H 2–3 L
12 May FK Nizhny Novgorod H 6–1 W
05 May FK Dinamo Moskva A 2–3 L
29 Apr FK Fakel Voronezh H 0–0 D

Season Stats

FK Lokomotiv Moskva PFK Sochi
#3 Position #16
53 Points 22
30 Played 30
14 / 11 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 20
54 Scored 29
39 Conceded 60
+15 GD -31
1.77 PPG 0.73
47% Win % 20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Lokomotiv Moskva are 3rd (53 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Lokomotiv Moskva Lineups

PFK Sochi Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.71 FK Lokomotiv Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + FK Lokomotiv Moskva to win 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Lokomotiv Moskva69% Draw18% PFK Sochi13%
Actual: FK Lokomotiv Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

FK Lokomotiv Moskva or Draw
87%
Draw or PFK Sochi
31%
FK Lokomotiv Moskva or PFK Sochi
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Lokomotiv Moskva54% Draw35% PFK Sochi11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
6.5%
4 – 0
5.4%
4 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Lokomotiv Moskva

Handicap FK Lokomotiv Moskva covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 32% 68%
-2 32% 20% 48%
-1.5 52% 48%
-1 52% 20% 28%
-0.5 72% 28%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

FK Lokomotiv Moskva keeps clean sheet
38%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.