Sunday , 16 August 2026

PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK Krasnodar, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
Sat 10 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC VEB Arena 21,393 HT 45' · FT 45'
Saul Guarirapa 69' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

PFC CSKA Moskva vs FK KrasnodarRFPL at VEB Arena.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May FK Krasnodar H 1–0 W
04 May RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–1 D
26 Apr FK Spartak Moskva A 2–1 W
20 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara H 1–1 D
12 Apr FK Orenburg A 2–0 W
06 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May PFC CSKA Moskva A 0–1 L
03 May FK Rubin Kazan H 2–1 W
25 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 3–2 W
19 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny H 3–1 W
13 Apr FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 1–4 L
05 Apr FK Akron Tolyatti H 1–0 W

Season Stats

PFC CSKA Moskva FK Krasnodar
#5 Position #2
51 Points 66
30 Played 30
15 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 20 / 6 / 4
44 Scored 60
33 Conceded 23
+11 GD +37
1.70 PPG 2.20
50% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

PFC CSKA Moskva are 5th (51 pts). FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for PFC CSKA Moskva to score. At the same time, FK Krasnodar does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Willyan Rocha, a Brazil , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' The travelling FK Krasnodar supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' PFC CSKA Moskva are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Krasnodar backline.
  • 30' Aleksandr Chernikov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Krasnodar so far.
  • 35' The 29-year-old Rifat Zhemaletdinov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' PFC CSKA Moskva are deployed in a 4-3-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against FK Krasnodar's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' PFC CSKA Moskva currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Krasnodar that had 266 games and scored 423 goals.
  • 62' It is a substitution in PFC CSKA Moskva team. Igor Diveev is replaced by Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov on 62 minute.
  • 63' Another change for PFC CSKA Moskva made on 63 minute. Tamerlan Musaev leaves to be changed by Saul Guarirapa.
  • 67' A change in the PFC CSKA Moskva ranks — Kirill Glebov exits the field as Sekou Koita enters on 67.
  • 69' Magnificent from Saul Guarirapa! That is 13 goals in 177 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 72' Another substitution for FK Krasnodar to replace Sergey Petrov by Giovanni Gonzalez on 72 minute.
  • 76' Nikita Krivtsov is replacing Kevin for the FK Krasnodar side.
  • 81' Stanislav Agkatsev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Krasnodar tonight.
  • 84' Moses Cobnan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Batxi at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' The whistle greets Ivan Oblyakov as he departs to be replaced by Artem Bandikyan.
  • FK Krasnodar will have plenty to reflect on. PFC CSKA Moskva were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.19 PFC CSKA Moskva xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 FK Krasnodar xG
I would bet for: PFC CSKA Moskva or FK Krasnodar 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PFC CSKA Moskva40% Draw28% FK Krasnodar32%
Actual: PFC CSKA Moskva win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

PFC CSKA Moskva or Draw
68%
Draw or FK Krasnodar
60%
PFC CSKA Moskva or FK Krasnodar
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PFC CSKA Moskva25% Draw50% FK Krasnodar25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — PFC CSKA Moskva

Handicap PFC CSKA Moskva covers Push FK Krasnodar covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% 66%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

PFC CSKA Moskva keeps clean sheet
30%
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.