Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 3 Aug 2025 · 12:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug FK Orenburg H 3–2 W
26 Jul FK Spartak Moskva A 3–0 W
18 Jul FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–1 D
25 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva H 1–3 L
19 May FK Rostov A 1–2 L
11 May FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 2–3 L
27 Jul FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 1–1 D
21 Jul PFC CSKA Moskva H 0–0 D
24 May FK Rubin Kazan A 2–4 L
17 May FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
10 May FK Khimki H 1–1 D

Season Stats

FK Baltika Kaliningrad FK Orenburg
#6 Position #12
46 Points 29
30 Played 30
11 / 13 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
38 Scored 29
21 Conceded 44
+17 GD -15
1.53 PPG 0.97
37% Win % 23%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Baltika Kaliningrad56% Draw23% FK Orenburg21%
Actual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw
79%
Draw or FK Orenburg
44%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Orenburg
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Baltika Kaliningrad40% Draw42% FK Orenburg18%
Actual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.3%
0 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Handicap FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
31%
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.