FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2025-26

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

3 – 2

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Sun 3 Aug 2025 · 12:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Baltika Kaliningrad vs FK Orenburg — RFPL .

FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Baltika Kaliningrad 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-03 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 3–2 FK Orenburg 2024-03-10 FK Orenburg 1–0 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 2023-10-07 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 1–0 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Aug	FK Orenburg	H	3–2	W
26 Jul	FK Spartak Moskva	A	3–0	W
18 Jul	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	1–1	D
25 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	H	1–3	L
19 May	FK Rostov	A	1–2	L
11 May	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	2–3	L

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Aug	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	A	2–3	L
27 Jul	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	1–1	D
21 Jul	PFC CSKA Moskva	H	0–0	D
24 May	FK Rubin Kazan	A	2–4	L
17 May	FK Krasnodar	H	1–2	L
10 May	FK Khimki	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FK Baltika Kaliningrad		FK Orenburg
#6	Position	#12
46	Points	29
30	Played	30
11 / 13 / 6	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 15
38	Scored	29
21	Conceded	44
+17	GD	-15
1.53	PPG	0.97
37%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FK Baltika Kaliningrad is hosting FK Orenburg for another epic battle.
The points are shared — FK Baltika Kaliningrad 3-2 FK Orenburg. Honours even.

Lineups

FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gedeon Guzina	1
Jimmy Marin	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Baltika Kaliningrad56% Draw23% FK Orenburg21%

Actual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.18

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	61%	39%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or Draw

79%

Draw or FK Orenburg

44%

FK Baltika Kaliningrad or FK Orenburg

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Baltika Kaliningrad40% Draw42% FK Orenburg18%

Actual: FK Baltika Kaliningrad win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

8.2%

1 – 0

7.7%

3 – 1

6.3%

0 – 0

5.7%

1 – 2

5.6%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

5.4%

0 – 1

4.2%

3 – 2

Actual

4 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — FK Baltika Kaliningrad

Handicap	FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	17%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	22%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.