Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2024-25
FK Rubin Kazan
4 – 2
Full Time
FK Orenburg
Sat 24 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Kazan Arena 10,743 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 5' 1–0
Mirlind Daku 7' 2–0
2–1 11' Jimmy Marin
2–2 22' Brian Mansilla
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 24' 3–2
Bogdan Jocic 88' 4–2
Y 18' Yaroslav Mikhailov
Y 57' Danila Prokhin
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 57' Y
Veldin Hodza 61' Y
Y 74' Kazimcan Karatas
Y 87' Artem Kasimov
Y 90' Saeid Saharkhizan

Overview

Match Preview

FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Kazan Arena.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg 30 68
2 FK Krasnodar 30 66
3 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 30 53
4 FK Spartak Moskva 30 52
5 PFC CSKA Moskva 30 51
6 FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 46
7 FK Dinamo Moskva 30 45
8 FK Rubin Kazan 30 43
9 RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 37
10 FK Rostov 30 33
11 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 32
12 FK Orenburg 30 29
13 FK Akron Tolyatti 30 27
14 FK Dinamo Makhachkala 30 26
15 FK Nizhny Novgorod 30 23
16 PFK Sochi 30 22

Head-to-Head

4
3
3
FK Rubin Kazan 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Orenburg
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan 2024-04-08 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Rubin Kazan 2023-07-30 FK Rubin Kazan 1–1 FK Orenburg 2020-07-05 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Rubin Kazan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May FK Orenburg H 4–2 W
17 May FK Khimki A 2–3 L
11 May FK Rostov H 1–0 W
03 May FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L
27 Apr FK Fakel Voronezh H 2–1 W
20 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva A 1–3 L
FK Orenburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 May FK Rubin Kazan A 2–4 L
17 May FK Krasnodar H 1–2 L
10 May FK Khimki H 1–1 D
03 May FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–1 D
27 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 0–2 L
19 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala H 2–1 W

Season Stats

FK Rubin Kazan FK Orenburg
#8 Position #12
43 Points 29
30 Played 30
11 / 10 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 15
29 Scored 29
30 Conceded 44
-1 GD -15
1.43 PPG 0.97
37% Win % 23%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season

FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Rubin Kazan
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/3
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Kazan Arena that hosts another battle between FK Rubin Kazan and FK Orenburg.
  • 5' Magnificent from Dardan Shabanhaxhaj! That is 5 goals in 141 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 7' Against the run of play, Mirlind Daku has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 11' The Costa Rica Jimmy Marin breaks the deadlock on 11 minutes. 2-1!
  • 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Rubin Kazan and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 18' Yaroslav Mikhailov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 18.
  • 22' What composure from Brian Mansilla! The Argentina international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 24' Magnificent from Dardan Shabanhaxhaj! That is 5 goals in 141 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 29' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 39' FK Rubin Kazan is showing some good football. However, FK Rubin Kazan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 46' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Yaroslav Mikhailov is withdrawn and Aleksey Baranovsky gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Orenburg winning 0% of all matches.
  • 57' Danila Prokhin is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 61' The referee has no hesitation. Veldin Hodza is booked for FK Rubin Kazan — card on 61.
  • 64' Kazimcan Karatas gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Andrey Malykh and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 73' The whistle greets Ilya Rozhkov as he departs to be replaced by Ruslan Bezrukov.
  • 74' Kazimcan Karatas has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 74' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Jimmy Marin is replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk on 74 minute.
  • 79' FK Rubin Kazan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
  • 80' FK Rubin Kazan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nikita Vasilyev is hanging Valentin Vada on the field on 80 minute.
  • 83' Fresh legs for FK Orenburg! Saeid Saharkhizan comes on to replace Dmitrii Rybchinskii.
  • 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Artem Kasimov.
  • 88' GOAL! Bogdan Jocic fires home to make it 4-2!
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Saeid Saharkhizan.
  • The final score is 4-2.

Lineups

FK Rubin Kazan Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rashid Rakhimov

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jimmy Marin 2
Veldin Hodza 2
Evgenii Bashkirov 2
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 2
Dmitry Vorobyev 1
Aleksei Sutormin 1
Danila Khotulev 1
Mikhail Sivakow 1

Head to Head

2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan 2024-04-08 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Rubin Kazan 2023-07-30 FK Rubin Kazan 1–1 FK Orenburg 2020-07-05 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Orenburg

FK Rubin Kazan Form

2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg W 2025-05-17 FK Khimki 3–2 FK Rubin Kazan L 2025-05-11 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Rostov W 2025-05-03 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2025-04-27 FK Rubin Kazan 2–1 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2025-04-20 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–1 FK Rubin Kazan L

FK Orenburg Form

2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg L 2025-05-17 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Krasnodar L 2025-05-10 FK Orenburg 1–1 FK Khimki D 2025-05-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Orenburg D 2025-04-27 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-04-19 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 FK Rubin Kazan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for: FK Rubin Kazan to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Rubin Kazan56% Draw24% FK Orenburg20%
Actual: FK Rubin Kazan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FK Rubin Kazan or Draw
80%
Draw or FK Orenburg
44%
FK Rubin Kazan or FK Orenburg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FK Rubin Kazan39% Draw45% FK Orenburg16%
Actual: FK Rubin Kazan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — FK Rubin Kazan

Handicap FK Rubin Kazan covers Push FK Orenburg covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.