FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Kazan Arena.
- FK Rubin Kazan 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 9 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Krasnodar | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | FK Rubin Kazan | 9 | 12 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 12 |
| 8 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | FK Orenburg | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | FK Rostov | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | FK Rodina Moskva | 9 | 5 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | FK Orenburg | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | FK Khimki | A | 2–3 | L |
| 11 May | FK Rostov | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | FK Khimki | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Rubin Kazan | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #11 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 2 / 6 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 6 / 2 |
| 12 | Scored | 7 |
| 11 | Conceded | 10 |
| +1 | GD | -3 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 22% | Win % | 11% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Rubin Kazan this season
25%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Rubin Kazan are 6th (12 pts). FK Orenburg are 11th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Rubin Kazan
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Rubin Kazan
| Anderson Arroyo | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacques Siwe | 3 G | |
| Bogdan Jocic | 1 G | |
| Aleksandar Jukic | 1 G | |
| Ilya Rozhkov | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FK Rubin Kazan and FK Orenburg has kicked off!
- 5' FK Rubin Kazan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Dardan Shabanhaxhaj on 5.
- 7' Mirlind Daku adds to his 1 season tally! FK Rubin Kazan lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 11' A goal from the Costa Rica international Jimmy Marin! He fires home on 11 to make it 2-1!
- 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 18' Yaroslav Mikhailov has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 18.
- 22' A stunning finish from Brian Mansilla — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 24' Dardan Shabanhaxhaj adds to his 0 season tally! FK Rubin Kazan lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
- 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Rubin Kazan and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 34' Aleksey Baranovsky is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Rubin Kazan tonight.
- 39' Justin Cuero has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 44' FK Orenburg come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 46 minute. Yaroslav Mikhailov leaves to be changed by Aleksey Baranovsky.
- 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 56' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Rubin Kazan and FK Orenburg are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 57' It’s gonna be a card for Danila Prokhin.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Veldin Hodza.
- 64' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Kazimcan Karatas on, Andrey Malykh off on 64 minutes.
- 69' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Rubin Kazan in their 5-3-2 trying to find a way past FK Orenburg's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 73' A change in the FK Rubin Kazan ranks — Ilya Rozhkov exits the field as Ruslan Bezrukov enters on 73.
- 74' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 74' The FK Orenburg manager makes a substitution. Jimmy Marin departs to be replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk.
- 79' The 28-year-old Evgeniy Staver has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 80' The whistle greets Valentin Vada as he departs to be replaced by Nikita Vasilyev.
- 83' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 83 minute. Dmitrii Rybchinskii leaves to be changed by Saeid Saharkhizan.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Artem Kasimov argues furiously but the card stands.
- 88' What composure from Bogdan Jocic! The Serbia international strokes it home. 4-2.
- 90' Saeid Saharkhizan is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Another three points for FK Rubin Kazan.
Lineups
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
30
Valentin Vada ↓ Nikita Vasilyev 80'
-
21
Aleksandr Zotov ↓ Bogdan Jocic 64'
- 15
- 10
- 99
-
22
Veldin Hodza ↓ Oleg Ivanov 64'
- 27
- 2
- 70
-
51
Ilya Rozhkov ↓ Ruslan Bezrukov 73'
- 38
Bench
- 25
-
19
Oleg Ivanov ↑ 64'
- 24
-
8
Bogdan Jocic ↑ 64'
-
23
Ruslan Bezrukov ↑ 73'
- 71
- 18
-
5
Rustam Ashurmatov ↑ 73'
- 86
- 11
-
96
Nikita Vasilyev ↑ 80'
- 87
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Feyttullah Gurluk 74'
- 20
- 99
- 87
- 8
- 14
- 12
- 9
- 81
- 38
-
90
Maksim Savelyev ↓ Justin Cuero 74'
Bench
- 31
- 11
- 4
- 24
-
35
Kazimcan Karatas ↑ 64'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 74'
- 59
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 46'
-
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↑ 83'
- 50
- 85
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Mikhail Sivakow | 1 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 1 |
| Dmitrii Poloz | 1 |
| Brian Mansilla | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
FK Rubin Kazan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
FK Rubin Kazan to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rubin Kazan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
FK Rubin Kazan or Draw
80%
Draw or FK Orenburg
44%
FK Rubin Kazan or FK Orenburg
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Rubin Kazan win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
12%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
3%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — FK Rubin Kazan
| Handicap | FK Rubin Kazan covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 23% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.