FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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RFPL · 2024-25

FK Rubin Kazan

4 – 2

Full Time

FK Orenburg

Sat 24 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Kazan Arena 10,743 HT 45' · FT 45'

Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 5' 1–0

Mirlind Daku 7' 2–0

2–1 11' Jimmy Marin

2–2 22' Brian Mansilla

Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 24' 3–2

Bogdan Jocic 88' 4–2

Y 18' Yaroslav Mikhailov

Y 57' Danila Prokhin

Dardan Shabanhaxhaj 57' Y

Veldin Hodza 61' Y

Y 74' Kazimcan Karatas

Y 87' Artem Kasimov

Y 90' Saeid Saharkhizan

Overview

Match Preview

FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Kazan Arena.

FK Rubin Kazan 30 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg	30	68
2	FK Krasnodar	30	66
3	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	30	53
4	FK Spartak Moskva	30	52
5	PFC CSKA Moskva	30	51
6	FK Baltika Kaliningrad	30	46
7	FK Dinamo Moskva	30	45
8	FK Rubin Kazan	30	43
9	RFK Akhmat Grozny	30	37
10	FK Rostov	30	33
11	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	30	32
12	FK Orenburg	30	29
13	FK Akron Tolyatti	30	27
14	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	30	26
15	FK Nizhny Novgorod	30	23
16	PFK Sochi	30	22

Head-to-Head

FK Rubin Kazan 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals FK Orenburg

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg 2024-10-27 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Rubin Kazan 2024-04-08 FK Orenburg 3–0 FK Rubin Kazan 2023-07-30 FK Rubin Kazan 1–1 FK Orenburg 2020-07-05 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Orenburg

Recent Form

FK Rubin Kazan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 May	FK Orenburg	H	4–2	W
17 May	FK Khimki	A	2–3	L
11 May	FK Rostov	H	1–0	W
03 May	FK Krasnodar	A	1–2	L
27 Apr	FK Fakel Voronezh	H	2–1	W
20 Apr	FK Dinamo Moskva	A	1–3	L

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 May	FK Rubin Kazan	A	2–4	L
17 May	FK Krasnodar	H	1–2	L
10 May	FK Khimki	H	1–1	D
03 May	FK Lokomotiv Moskva	A	1–1	D
27 Apr	PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara	A	0–2	L
19 Apr	FK Dinamo Makhachkala	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

FK Rubin Kazan		FK Orenburg
#8	Position	#12
43	Points	29
30	Played	30
11 / 10 / 9	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 15
29	Scored	29
30	Conceded	44
-1	GD	-15
1.43	PPG	0.97
37%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (43 pts). FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Kazan Arena as FK Rubin Kazan face off against FK Orenburg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' The Austria Dardan Shabanhaxhaj breaks the deadlock on 5 minutes. 1-0!
7' GOAL! Mirlind Daku scores on 7. Assisted by Dardan Shabanhaxhaj
11' Jimmy Marin doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
16' FK Rubin Kazan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Orenburg backline.
18' The referee has no hesitation. Yaroslav Mikhailov is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 18.
22' The Argentina Brian Mansilla breaks the deadlock on 22 minutes. 2-2!
24' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dardan Shabanhaxhaj makes no mistake. 3-2!
29' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Rubin Kazan must find a spark to ignite this game.
34' Kazimcan Karatas, a Turkey , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
39' It’s high time Rashid Rakhimov made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
44' FK Rubin Kazan are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
46' The whistle greets Yaroslav Mikhailov as he departs to be replaced by Aleksey Baranovsky.
51' FK Rubin Kazan currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
56' FK Orenburg come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
57' Danila Prokhin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
61' Veldin Hodza picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
64' A change in the FK Orenburg ranks — Andrey Malykh exits the field as Kazimcan Karatas enters on 64.
69' Yaroslav Mikhailov is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FK Orenburg tonight.
73' The crowd applauds Ilya Rozhkov as he leaves the pitch. Ruslan Bezrukov steps in for FK Rubin Kazan.
74' That looks like a foul for a card for Kazimcan Karatas.
74' It is a substitution in FK Orenburg team. Jimmy Marin is replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk on 74 minute.
79' A quiet spell here at Kazan Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
80' It is a substitution in FK Rubin Kazan team. Valentin Vada is replaced by Nikita Vasilyev on 80 minute.
83' FK Orenburg make a change. Dmitrii Rybchinskii trudges off to be replaced by Saeid Saharkhizan on 83 minutes.
87' Poor challenge from Artem Kasimov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
88' Bogdan Jocic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 88 minutes.
90' The referee calls foul for Saeid Saharkhizan. He receives a card.
FK Orenburg will have plenty to reflect on. FK Rubin Kazan were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FK Rubin Kazan Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

30
Valentin Vada ↓ Nikita Vasilyev 80'
21
Aleksandr Zotov ↓ Bogdan Jocic 64'
15
Igor Vujacic
10
Mirlind Daku
99
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj
22
Veldin Hodza ↓ Oleg Ivanov 64'
27
Aleksey Gritsaenko ↓ Rustam Ashurmatov 73'
2
Egor Teslenko
70
Dmitriy Kabutov
51
Ilya Rozhkov ↓ Ruslan Bezrukov 73'
38
Evgeniy Staver

Bench

Coach Rashid Rakhimov

FK Orenburg Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Feyttullah Gurluk 74'
20
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↓ Saeid Saharkhizan 83'
99
Nikolai Sysuev
87
Danila Prokhin
8
Ivan Basic
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↓ Aleksey Baranovsky 46'
12
Andrey Malykh ↓ Kazimcan Karatas 64'
9
Brian Mansilla
81
Maksim Sidorov
38
Artem Kasimov
90
Maksim Savelyev ↓ Justin Cuero 74'

Bench

Coach Vladimir Sliskovic

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Dardan Shabanhaxhaj	2
Jimmy Marin	2
Veldin Hodza	2
Evgenii Bashkirov	2
Matias Perez	1
Joel Fameyeh	1
Dmitry Vorobyev	1
Aleksei Sutormin	1

Head to Head

FK Rubin Kazan Form

2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg W 2025-05-17 FK Khimki 3–2 FK Rubin Kazan L 2025-05-11 FK Rubin Kazan 1–0 FK Rostov W 2025-05-03 FK Krasnodar 2–1 FK Rubin Kazan L 2025-04-27 FK Rubin Kazan 2–1 FK Fakel Voronezh W 2025-04-20 FK Dinamo Moskva 3–1 FK Rubin Kazan L

FK Orenburg Form

2025-05-24 FK Rubin Kazan 4–2 FK Orenburg L 2025-05-17 FK Orenburg 1–2 FK Krasnodar L 2025-05-10 FK Orenburg 1–1 FK Khimki D 2025-05-03 FK Lokomotiv Moskva 1–1 FK Orenburg D 2025-04-27 PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara 2–0 FK Orenburg L 2025-04-19 FK Orenburg 2–1 FK Dinamo Makhachkala W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.79 FK Rubin Kazan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 FK Orenburg xG

I would bet for: FK Rubin Kazan to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Rubin Kazan56% Draw24% FK Orenburg20%

Actual: FK Rubin Kazan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

FK Rubin Kazan or Draw

80%

Draw or FK Orenburg

44%

FK Rubin Kazan or FK Orenburg

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FK Rubin Kazan39% Draw45% FK Orenburg16%

Actual: FK Rubin Kazan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

11.8%

1 – 0

10%

2 – 0

9.5%

2 – 1

9.5%

0 – 0

7.9%

3 – 1

5.7%

3 – 0

5.6%

1 – 2

5.4%

0 – 1

5.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 2

3.1%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — FK Rubin Kazan

Handicap	FK Rubin Kazan covers	Push	FK Orenburg covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	17%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	23%	46%
-0.5	54%	—	46%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.