FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg, RFPL 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg — RFPL at Kazan Arena.
- FK Rubin Kazan 14 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- FK Orenburg 14 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 14 | 31 |
| 3 | FK Spartak Moskva | 14 | 29 |
| 4 | FK Krasnodar | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | FK Rostov | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 14 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 14 | 17 |
| 10 | FK Orenburg | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 14 | 16 |
| 12 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 14 | 12 |
| 14 | FK Rodina Moskva | 14 | 12 |
| 15 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FK Fakel Voronezh | 14 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | FK Orenburg | H | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | FK Khimki | A | 2–3 | L |
| 11 May | FK Rostov | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | FK Krasnodar | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | FK Rubin Kazan | A | 2–4 | L |
| 17 May | FK Krasnodar | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | FK Khimki | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Rubin Kazan | FK Orenburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #10 |
| 18 | Points | 17 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 4 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 3 |
| 14 | Scored | 14 |
| 18 | Conceded | 14 |
| -4 | GD | +0 |
| 1.29 | PPG | 1.21 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
FK Rubin Kazan this season
FK Rubin Kazan this season
44%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
FK Rubin Kazan are 8th (18 pts). FK Orenburg are 10th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Rubin Kazan
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FK Rubin Kazan
| Anderson Arroyo | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacques Siwe | 3 G | |
| Bogdan Jocic | 1 G | |
| Aleksandar Jukic | 1 G | |
| Ilya Rozhkov | 1 G |
FK Orenburg
| Jordhy Thompson | 3 G | 3 A |
| Gedeon Guzina | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ruslan Kul | 3 G | 1 A |
| Andrey Kasadzhikov | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FK Rubin Kazan and FK Orenburg is underway.
- 5' Dardan Shabanhaxhaj does the damage! The net is bulging and FK Rubin Kazan surge ahead!
- 7' GOAL! Mirlind Daku scores on 7. Assisted by Dardan Shabanhaxhaj
- 11' Jimmy Marin adds to his 0 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Rubin Kazan and FK Orenburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 18' The referee has no hesitation. Yaroslav Mikhailov is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 18.
- 22' Magnificent from Brian Mansilla! That is 9 goals in 351 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 24' A stunning finish from Dardan Shabanhaxhaj — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 29' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 34' A quiet spell here at Kazan Arena. FK Orenburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dmitrii Rybchinskii made 364 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 44' FK Rubin Kazan are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against FK Orenburg's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Aleksey Baranovsky. He replaces Yaroslav Mikhailov on 46 minute.
- 51' Evgeniy Staver is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Andrey Malykh, as he is very good at scoring at Kazan Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 57' Controversy at the stadium! Danila Prokhin argues furiously but the card stands.
- 61' The referee shows FK Rubin Kazan player a card on 61.
- 64' A tactical swap from FK Orenburg — Kazimcan Karatas on, Andrey Malykh off on 64 minutes.
- 69' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Rashid Rakhimov will be considering his options from the bench.
- 73' It is a substitution in FK Rubin Kazan team. Ilya Rozhkov is replaced by Ruslan Bezrukov on 73 minute.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Kazimcan Karatas is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 74.
- 74' Feyttullah Gurluk has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jimmy Marin on 74 minute.
- 79' FK Rubin Kazan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
- 80' A change in the FK Rubin Kazan ranks — Valentin Vada exits the field as Nikita Vasilyev enters on 80.
- 83' Fresh legs for FK Orenburg! Saeid Saharkhizan comes on to replace Dmitrii Rybchinskii.
- 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Artem Kasimov.
- 88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bogdan Jocic makes it 4-2.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Saeid Saharkhizan on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 4-2.
Lineups
FK Rubin Kazan Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
30
Valentin Vada ↓ Nikita Vasilyev 80'
-
21
Aleksandr Zotov ↓ Bogdan Jocic 64'
- 15
- 10
- 99
-
22
Veldin Hodza ↓ Oleg Ivanov 64'
- 27
- 2
- 70
-
51
Ilya Rozhkov ↓ Ruslan Bezrukov 73'
- 38
Bench
- 25
-
19
Oleg Ivanov ↑ 64'
- 24
-
8
Bogdan Jocic ↑ 64'
-
23
Ruslan Bezrukov ↑ 73'
- 71
- 18
-
5
Rustam Ashurmatov ↑ 73'
- 86
- 11
-
96
Nikita Vasilyev ↑ 80'
- 87
Coach
Rashid Rakhimov
FK Orenburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Feyttullah Gurluk 74'
- 20
- 99
- 87
- 8
- 14
- 12
- 9
- 81
- 38
-
90
Maksim Savelyev ↓ Justin Cuero 74'
Bench
- 31
- 11
- 4
- 24
-
35
Kazimcan Karatas ↑ 64'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 74'
-
19
Justin Cuero ↑ 74'
- 59
-
96
Aleksey Baranovsky ↑ 46'
-
10
Saeid Saharkhizan ↑ 83'
- 50
- 85
Coach
Vladimir Sliskovic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dardan Shabanhaxhaj | 2 |
| Jimmy Marin | 2 |
| Veldin Hodza | 2 |
| Evgenii Bashkirov | 2 |
| Denis Makarov | 1 |
| Matias Perez | 1 |
| Joel Fameyeh | 1 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Rubin Kazan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
FK Rubin Kazan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11
FK Orenburg xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Rubin Kazan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FK Rubin Kazan or Draw
76%
Draw or FK Orenburg
50%
FK Rubin Kazan or FK Orenburg
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Rubin Kazan win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–2 not predicted4 – 2Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FK Rubin Kazan
| Handicap | FK Rubin Kazan covers | Push | FK Orenburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
FK Rubin Kazan keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.