FK Krasnodar vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Krasnodar vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at Krasnodar Stadium.
- FK Krasnodar 30 games · 66 pts (2025/26)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Apr | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 4–3 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | FK Rostov | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 7–1 | W |
| 07 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Mar | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Mar | FK Orenburg | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FK Krasnodar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 66 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 20 / 6 / 4 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 60 | Scored | 38 |
| 23 | Conceded | 21 |
| +37 | GD | +17 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 67% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
FK Krasnodar this season
FK Krasnodar this season
47%
Clean Sheets
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Baltika Kaliningrad this season
FK Krasnodar are 2nd (66 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Krasnodar
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FK Krasnodar and FK Baltika Kaliningrad has kicked off!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Baltika Kaliningrad winning 0% of all matches.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alex Fernandes, as he is very good at scoring at Krasnodar Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' FK Krasnodar are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Sergey Ignashevich will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' FK Krasnodar are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FK Baltika Kaliningrad's shape.
- 31' A goal from the Colombia international Jhon Cordoba! He fires home on 31 to make it 1-0!
- 36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Olakunle Olusegun is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Krasnodar.
- 41' Evgeniy Latyshonok has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 42' Vitaliy Lisakovich catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 42.
- 47' The travelling FK Baltika Kaliningrad supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 50' Against the run of play, Eduard Spertsyan has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 54' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad bench stirs into life. Vitaliy Lisakovich is withdrawn and Maksim Kuzmin gets his opportunity.
- 55' FK Baltika Kaliningrad receives a card for a hard tackle on 55.
- 55' The FK Baltika Kaliningrad manager makes a substitution. Kristijan Bistrovic departs to be replaced by Kirill Kaplenko.
- 57' What a moment for Danila Kozlov! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
- 61' Assisted by Eduard Spertsyan with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jhon Cordoba makes no mistake. 3-1!
- 62' Another substitution for FK Krasnodar to replace Kaio Pantaleao by Vitor Tormena on 62 minute.
- 67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FK Baltika Kaliningrad that had 60 games and scored 40 goals.
- 69' The crowd applauds Alex Fernandes as he leaves the pitch. Dmitrii Rybchinskii steps in for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
- 70' Tigran Avanesyan gets the nod from FK Baltika Kaliningrad. He replaces Yuriy Kovalev and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' Kevin Castano makes way for Nikita Krivtsov at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Krasnodar.
- 77' The energy levels are beginning to show. Murad Musaev might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 81' Controversy at the stadium! Olakunle Olusegun argues furiously but the card stands.
- 86' FK Baltika Kaliningrad seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 87' The FK Krasnodar bench stirs into life. Eduard Spertsyan is withdrawn and Mihajlo Banjac gets his opportunity.
- 89' What composure from Danila Kozlov! The Russia international strokes it home. 3-2.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.
Lineups
FK Krasnodar Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 4
-
31
Kaio Pantaleao ↓ Vitor Tormena 62'
- 15
- –
- 39
- 8
- 10
- 40
-
20
Kady Borges ↓ Joao Batxi 72'
-
–
Kevin Castano ↓ Nikita Krivtsov 72'
Bench
-
3
Vitor Tormena ↑ 62'
- 1
-
23
Aleksandr Ektov ↑ 87'
-
14
Mihajlo Banjac ↑ 87'
-
88
Nikita Krivtsov ↑ 72'
-
19
Joao Batxi ↑ 72'
- 82
- 73
- 90
- 16
Coach
Murad Musaev
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 17
- 7
- 18
- –
- –
- –
- 1
- –
- –
- –
Bench
-
8
Kirill Kaplenko ↑ 55'
- –
-
–
Dmitrii Rybchinskii ↑ 69'
- 3
-
59
Tigran Avanesyan ↑ 70'
- –
-
6
Maksim Kuzmin ↑ 54'
- 26
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↑ 87'
- 67
- 89
- 5
Coach
Sergey Ignashevich
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jhon Cordoba | 3 |
| Eduard Spertsyan | 2 |
| Danila Kozlov | 2 |
| Jubal Junior | 1 |
| Mingiyan Beveev | 1 |
| Maksim Petrov | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
| Maksim Kuzmin | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Krasnodar Form
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2024-04-24
FK Krasnodar
3–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2024-04-20
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–1
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
W
2024-04-13
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–7
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
W
2024-04-07
FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
2024-03-30
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–0
FK Nizhny Novgorod
W
2024-03-10
FK Orenburg
1–0
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
FK Krasnodar xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Krasnodar win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FK Krasnodar or Draw
73%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
52%
FK Krasnodar or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FK Krasnodar win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — FK Krasnodar
| Handicap | FK Krasnodar covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FK Krasnodar keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

