FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Mar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | FK Ural | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Dinamo Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #7 |
| 29 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 51 |
| 44 | Conceded | 40 |
| -15 | GD | +11 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 23% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
23%
Clean Sheets
FK Dinamo Moskva this season
FK Dinamo Moskva this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Dinamo Moskva
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FK Orenburg get us underway at Stadion Gazovik.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Orenburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FK Orenburg and FK Dinamo Moskva are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 16' The referee has no hesitation. Matias Perez is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 16.
- 21' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 26' Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Dinamo Moskva so far.
- 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FK Dinamo Moskva winning 50% of all matches.
- 36' It looks surprising FK Dinamo Moskva does not make any changes. Daniil Fomin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 41' Both keepers have barely been tested. FK Orenburg and FK Dinamo Moskva are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 51' Konstantin Tyukavin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
- 55' Konstantin Tyukavin is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 59' The FK Dinamo Moskva manager makes a substitution. Sergey Parshivlyuk departs to be replaced by Milan Majstorovic.
- 64' The travelling FK Dinamo Moskva supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 66' FK Dinamo Moskva ring the changes. Diego Laxalt has done his job and it is now time for Denis Makarov to step up.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Jimmy Marin. He replaces Dmitry Vorobyev on 68 minute.
- 72' Brilliant from the ! Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 72.
- 76' The referee shows FK Orenburg player a card on 76.
- 77' What a moment for Brian Mansilla! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
- 79' Andrey Malykh is replacing Mohammad Ghorbani for the FK Orenburg side.
- 81' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Jordhy Thompson has done his job and it is now time for Stepan Oganesyan to step up.
- 83' Aleksandr Kutitskiy gets the nod from FK Dinamo Moskva. He replaces Jorge Carrascal and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Andrey Malykh gets a card.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anton Shunin on 90.
- Full Time. FK Dinamo Moskva beats FK Orenburg
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Jimmy Marin 68'
- 22
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Lucas Vera 68'
- 4
- 66
- 9
- –
- 81
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 68'
- 2
- 15
- 38
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 81'
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 79'
-
23
Lucas Vera ↑ 68'
- 24
- 3
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↑ 79'
- 95
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↓ Denis Makarov 66'
- 1
- 2
- 8
- 74
- 70
- 4
- 18
- 24
-
89
Bitelo ↓ Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu 66'
Bench
- 7
-
10
Fedor Smolov ↑ 59'
- 31
- 20
-
77
Denis Makarov ↑ 66'
-
50
Aleksandr Kutitskiy ↑ 83'
- 34
- 6
- 76
-
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu ↑ 66'
- 80
-
5
Milan Majstorovic ↑ 59'
Coach
Marcel Licka
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin | 3 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Jorge Carrascal | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Du Queiroz | 2 |
| Bitelo | 2 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 2 |
| Luis Chavez | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or FK Dinamo Moskva 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
59%
Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva
68%
FK Orenburg or FK Dinamo Moskva
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Dinamo Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.