FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Dinamo Moskva — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2026/27)
- FK Dinamo Moskva 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FK Dinamo Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Apr | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Apr | FK Rubin Kazan | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | FK Fakel Voronezh | A | 0–0 | D |
| 10 Mar | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr | FK Orenburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | FK Ural | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–4 | L |
| 09 Mar | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Dinamo Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #7 |
| 29 | Points | 45 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 9 |
| 29 | Scored | 51 |
| 44 | Conceded | 40 |
| -15 | GD | +11 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 23% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Dinamo Moskva are 7th (45 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FK Orenburg launch into their encounter with FK Dinamo Moskva.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Danila Khotulev is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FK Dinamo Moskva.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 16' Matias Perez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 16.
- 21' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 26' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and FK Dinamo Moskva are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nikolai Sysuev suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 41' FK Dinamo Moskva fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 46' It looks surprising FK Dinamo Moskva does not make any changes. Daniil Fomin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 51' FK Dinamo Moskva has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 55' What a strike from Konstantin Tyukavin! The score is 0-1.
- 59' Milan Majstorovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sergey Parshivlyuk on 59 minute.
- 64' It is a cagey affair so far. FK Orenburg in their trying to find a way past FK Dinamo Moskva's compact .
- 66' The crowd applauds Diego Laxalt as he leaves the pitch. Denis Makarov steps in for FK Dinamo Moskva.
- 68' The FK Orenburg bench stirs into life. Dmitry Vorobyev is withdrawn and Jimmy Marin gets his opportunity.
- 72' The Cameroon Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu breaks the deadlock on 72 minutes. 0-2!
- 76' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mohammad Ghorbani on 76 minutes.
- 77' GOAL! Brian Mansilla fires home to make it 1-2!
- 79' Another change for FK Orenburg made on 79 minute. Mohammad Ghorbani leaves to be changed by Andrey Malykh.
- 81' FK Orenburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Stepan Oganesyan is hanging Jordhy Thompson on the field on 81 minute.
- 83' FK Dinamo Moskva make a change. Jorge Carrascal trudges off to be replaced by Aleksandr Kutitskiy on 83 minutes.
- 86' Andrey Malykh was booked on 86.
- 90' Anton Shunin is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Dinamo Moskva players.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 99
- 5
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Jimmy Marin 68'
- 22
-
8
Ivan Basic ↓ Lucas Vera 68'
- 4
- 66
- 9
- –
- 81
Bench
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↑ 68'
- 2
- 15
- 38
-
11
Stepan Oganesyan ↑ 81'
-
14
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 79'
-
23
Lucas Vera ↑ 68'
- 24
- 3
-
12
Andrey Malykh ↑ 79'
- 95
- 19
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Dinamo Moskva Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
93
Diego Laxalt ↓ Denis Makarov 66'
- 1
- 2
- 8
- 74
- 70
- 4
- 18
- 24
-
89
Bitelo ↓ Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu 66'
Bench
- 7
-
10
Fedor Smolov ↑ 59'
- 31
- 20
-
77
Denis Makarov ↑ 66'
-
50
Aleksandr Kutitskiy ↑ 83'
- 34
- 6
- 76
-
13
Nicolas Moumi Ngamaleu ↑ 66'
- 80
-
5
Milan Majstorovic ↑ 59'
Coach
Marcel Licka
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Konstantin Tyukavin | 3 |
| Du Queiroz | 2 |
| Bitelo | 2 |
| Vladimir Sychevoi | 2 |
| Luis Chavez | 2 |
| Saeid Saharkhizan | 2 |
| Jorge Carrascal | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
FK Dinamo Moskva Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
FK Dinamo Moskva xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or FK Dinamo Moskva 73% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FK Dinamo Moskva win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
59%
Draw or FK Dinamo Moskva
68%
FK Orenburg or FK Dinamo Moskva
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
6%
1 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Dinamo Moskva covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
FK Dinamo Moskva keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.