FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

FC Tōkyō

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 06:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 54' Wataru Harada

Yasuki Kimoto 60' Y

Y 65' Tae-hyeon Kim

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tōkyō 16 games · Avg 2.4 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tōkyō

Recent Form

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
28 Sep	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	3–1	W
21 Sep	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	2–0	W
14 Sep	Nagoya Grampus	H	4–1	W
31 Aug	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	2–3	L
24 Aug	Kyōto Sanga FC	A	0–3	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	FC Tōkyō	A	1–1	D
28 Sep	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
22 Sep	Tōkyō Verdy	A	0–2	L
13 Sep	Kawasaki Frontale	A	2–3	L
31 Aug	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–2	L
25 Aug	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

2/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and FC Tokyo launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kosuke Yamazaki made 279 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Naoyuki Iwata will be considering his options from the bench.
20' Diego Oliveira, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
25' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Cayman Togashi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Tokyo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuto Nagatomo suffering a number of foals already.
50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
54' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wataru Harada on 54.
59' Keisuke Sakaiya needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
60' The referee calls foul for Yasuki Kimoto. He receives a card.
61' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Yuki Horigome trudges off to be replaced by Ryohei Watanabe on 61 minutes.
65' Sagan Tosu FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
68' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Kota Tawaratsumida exits the field as Keita Endo enters on 68.
73' Vykintas Slivka doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
78' A quiet spell here at Ajinomoto Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
82' Takahiro Ko makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Tokyo are in front.
84' Daichi Suzuki gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Akito Fukuta and will look to change the dynamic.
87' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Soma Anzai is withdrawn and Leon Nozawa gets his opportunity.
90' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuta Imazu is hanging Hikaru Nakahara on the field on 90 minute.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FC Tōkyō Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Daichi Suzuki 84'
77
Vykintas Slivka ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 84'
99
Marcelo Ryan
71
Il-kyu Park
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↓ Yuta Imazu 90'
21
Yuki Horigome ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 61'
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
18
Shota Hino ↓ Cayman Togashi 61'
20
Tae-hyeon Kim
33
Kento Nishiya

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 61'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
4
Yuta Imazu ↑ 90'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 84'
47
Daichi Suzuki ↑ 84'
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 61'

Coach Naoyuki Iwata

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kaisei Ishii	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Ryoya Morishita	2
Yuki Kakita	2
Yasuki Kimoto	1
Hiromu Mitsumaru	1
Yuta Higuchi	1
Vykintas Slivka	1

Head to Head

FC Tōkyō Form

2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-09-28 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–3 FC Tōkyō W 2024-09-21 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–2 FC Tōkyō W 2024-09-14 FC Tōkyō 4–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2024-08-31 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–2 FC Tōkyō L 2024-08-24 Kyōto Sanga FC 3–0 FC Tōkyō L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-10-05 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-09-28 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2024-09-22 Tōkyō Verdy 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-09-13 Kawasaki Frontale 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-08-31 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Shonan Bellmare L 2024-08-25 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.49 FC Tōkyō xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tōkyō47% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.67

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

FC Tōkyō or Draw

73%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

53%

FC Tōkyō or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tōkyō31% Draw47% Sagan Tosu FC22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.4%

0 – 0

8.9%

2 – 1

8.7%

2 – 0

7.6%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

6.9%

2 – 2

5.2%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.4%

3 – 0

3.7%

1 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō

Handicap	FC Tōkyō covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	21%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	16%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.