Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs FC Tōkyō — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Aug | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | FC Tōkyō | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 30 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 33 | Conceded | 42 |
| +8 | GD | +13 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' What a moment for Tolgay Arslan! That strike on 5 puts his side firmly in control.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Sanfrecce Hiroshima in their trying to find a way past FC Tōkyō's compact .
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' The travelling FC Tōkyō supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 29' Hayao Kawabe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 29.
- 32' Tolgay Arslan with the second goal in the match!
- 37' Teruhito Nakagawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 42' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Tōkyō's shape.
- 47' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 52' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 427 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Hayao Kawabe exits the field as Tsukasa Shiotani enters on 56.
- 61' A quiet spell here at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. FC Tōkyō seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 62' Tolgay Arslan does the damage! The net is bulging and Sanfrecce Hiroshima surge ahead!
- 64' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Keita Endo is hanging Ryotaro Araki on the field on 64 minute.
- 66' Tolgay Arslan makes way for Douglas Vieira at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 71' Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Diego Oliveira at the 71 minute mark.
- 76' FC Tōkyō fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 79' Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 84' Hayao Kawabe is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 89' Makoto Mitsuta needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' The referee shows Sanfrecce Hiroshima player a card on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 FC Tōkyō.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 1
- 14
-
66
Hayao Kawabe ↓ Tsukasa Shiotani 56'
- 24
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 66'
-
30
Tolgay Arslan ↓ Douglas Vieira 66'
- 11
- 15
- 51
Bench
- 22
-
33
Tsukasa Shiotani ↑ 56'
-
9
Douglas Vieira ↑ 66'
- 25
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 66'
- 27
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 66'
Coach
Michael Skibbe
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 9
- 99
- 39
-
8
Takahiro Ko ↓ Keigo Higashi 71'
- 37
- 41
- 2
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↓ Keita Endo 64'
-
98
Everton ↓ Kota Tawaratsumida 64'
- 32
Bench
- 5
-
10
Keigo Higashi ↑ 71'
-
22
Keita Endo ↑ 64'
- 13
-
11
Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa ↑ 71'
- 44
-
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↑ 64'
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 5 |
| Adailton | 3 |
| Tsukasa Morishima | 3 |
| Tolgay Arslan | 3 |
| Shuto Abe | 2 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Hayato Araki | 2 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2024-08-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3–2
FC Tōkyō
W
2024-08-25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Kashiwa Reysol
W
2024-08-17
Nagoya Grampus
1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-08-11
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
Cerezo Osaka FC
W
2024-08-07
Tokyo Verdy
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2024-07-21
Sagan Tosu FC
1–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.47
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.82
FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
45%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or FC Tōkyō
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4%
4 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | FC Tōkyō covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

