FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 4–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Aug | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Tōkyō | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 46 |
| 42 | Conceded | 44 |
| +13 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Tōkyō are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Ajinomoto Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between FC Tōkyō and Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 7' Poor challenge from Kasper Junker. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 12' The 34-year-old Sho Inagaki has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 13' The deadlock is broken! Keigo Higashi gets on the scoresheet on 13 minutes.
- 17' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sho Inagaki.
- 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 27' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Tōkyō and Nagoya Grampus are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 29' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 29.
- 31' Diego Oliveira has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 31 minutes.
- 36' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 41' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 46' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Takuya Uchida by Katsuhiro Nakayama on 46 minute.
- 50' Henrique Trevisan picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 55' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
- 60' FC Tokyo make a change. Henrique Trevisan trudges off to be replaced by Yasuki Kimoto on 60 minutes.
- 65' The deadlock is broken! Takahiro Ko gets on the scoresheet on 65 minutes.
- 66' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Taichi Kikuchi on, Ryosuke Yamanaka off on 66 minutes.
- 71' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 75' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Katsuhiro Nakayama is hanging Keiya Shiihashi on the field on 75 minute.
- 78' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Leon Nozawa on, Ryotaro Araki off on 78 minutes.
- 81' Teruhito Nakagawa makes no mistake. The score reads 0-4 and FC Tokyo are in front.
- 85' Brilliant from the ! Sho Inagaki makes it 0-5 with a superb finish on 85.
- 86' Teruhito Nakagawa makes way for Keita Yamashita at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
- 87' A meaty challenge results in booking for Taishi Nozawa on 87.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-1.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 10
- 9
- 39
- 8
- 37
- 30
- 41
- 71
- 44
- 33
Bench
- 5
- 22
- 4
- 13
- 14
- 32
- 28
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 34
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Patric 66'
- 1
- 66
- 2
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Ryuji Izumi 46'
- 15
- 77
- 24
- 20
Bench
-
10
Patric ↑ 66'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↑ 46'
- 17
-
27
Katsuhiro Nakayama ↑ 75'
-
33
Taichi Kikuchi ↑ 66'
- 3
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Masato Morishige | 1 |
| Takahiro Ko | 1 |
| Adailton | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.98
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 4.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
FC Tōkyō or Nagoya Grampus
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tōkyō win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
4.8%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
3.9%
3 – 3
3.9%
2 – 0
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 12% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 7% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

