FC Tōkyō vs Albirex Niigata, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tōkyō vs Albirex Niigata — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tōkyō 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | FC Tōkyō | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–5 | L |
| 26 Oct | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Oct | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season
FC Tōkyō this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
8/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ajinomoto Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' FC Tōkyō is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 9' Goal! Matheus Moraes scores his 3 goal in 110 matches.
- 14' Fumiya Hayakawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 19' Albirex Niigata seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
- 29' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 33' The referee calls foul for Michael Fitzgerald. He receives a card.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 43' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 47' What a strike from Keita Endo! The score is 0-2.
- 52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kazuhiko Chiba made 335 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' FC Tōkyō started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 57.
- 60' The referee calls foul for Sei Muroya. He receives a card.
- 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Albirex Niigata that had 110 games and scored 119 goals.
- 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 73' The whistle greets Soma Anzai as he departs to be replaced by Leon Nozawa.
- 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marcelo Ryan suffering a number of foals already.
- 83' The travelling Albirex Niigata supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 85' Kazuhiko Chiba has so much to prove this time. He replaces Michael Fitzgerald on 85 minute.
- 89' Motoki Nagakura has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kein Sato on 89 minute.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Eiji Shirai. He receives a card.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
FC Tōkyō Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 2
- 22
- 8
- 37
- 24
- 13
- 19
- 7
- 16
Bench
- 99
- 39
- 40
- 30
- 31
- 32
- 28
- 26
- 27
Coach
Rikizo Matsuhashi
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 25
- 31
- 15
- 65
- 8
- 41
-
46
Keisuke Kasai ↓ Taiki Arai 73'
- 14
- 1
-
55
Matheus Moraes ↓ Jin Okumura 73'
Bench
-
35
Kazuhiko Chiba ↑ 85'
- 42
- 33
- 50
- 4
-
30
Jin Okumura ↑ 73'
- 21
-
22
Taiki Arai ↑ 73'
- 48
Coach
Toru Irie
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcelo Ryan | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Teruhito Nakagawa | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 2 |
| Danilo | 1 |
| Keisuke Kasai | 1 |
| Matheus Moraes | 1 |
| Ryotaro Ito | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tōkyō Form
Albirex Niigata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66
FC Tōkyō xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Albirex Niigata xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
FC Tōkyō or Draw
79%
Draw or Albirex Niigata
46%
FC Tōkyō or Albirex Niigata
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — FC Tōkyō
| Handicap | FC Tōkyō covers | Push | Albirex Niigata covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.